breaking: Reliance Industries shares slid further in afternoon trading on January 13, dipping as much as 2.3% to an intraday low of Rs 1,448 as investors brace for the December-quarter results due Friday. The oil-to-telecom conglomerate is slated to report earnings with market watchers weighing the trajectory of refining, retail, and Jio’s telecom momentum in a still-choppy 2026.
The sell-off comes after the stock touched a fresh record near Rs 1,610 but has since retraced, dropping below the short-term 20-day moving average and the medium-term 100-day moving average. Analysts describe the move as a normalization pullback within a broader uptrend, rather than an outright reversal.
What traders are watching
Table of Contents
- 1. What traders are watching
- 2. Analyst viewpoints
- 3. Key facts at a glance
- 4. evergreen insights for longer-term readers
- 5. Have your say
- 6. >
- 7. 1. Q3 FY26 Results – What the market Is expecting
- 8. 2. Technical Landscape – Key Levels to Watch
- 9. 3. Chart Patterns Signalling a Potential Entry
- 10. 4. Practical Buying Strategies
- 11. 5. Macro & Sector Influences Shaping the Move
- 12. 6. Recent Historical Performance (Last 6 Months)
- 13. 7. Actionable Checklist for Traders (as of 13 Jan 2026)
Analysts note that volumes during this pullback remain modest, suggesting a lack of panic selling. A crucial support zone sits between Rs 1,380 and Rs 1,440, with the 200-day moving average converging around the Rs 1,440–1,450 area. On the upside, resistance is seen in the Rs 1,520–1,600 region, which coudl cap near-term gains unless the stock gains traction above that zone.
For investors with a medium-to-long-term view, the pullback may present a constructive entry point near the support area, provided the price holds above the 200-day moving average. If the stock fails to sustain above this level, the next key support could emerge near Rs 1,400.
Analyst viewpoints
Ajit Mishra, senior vice president at a leading brokerage, characterizes the current decline as a healthy consolidation within the overarching uptrend. He suggests the dip could stabilize if the stock remains above the critical support around the 200-day EMA near Rs 1,440.
Aakash Shah, technical research analyst at another brokerage, mirrors this view. He notes that after a robust rise from October lows, the stock pulled back from the Rs 1,580–1,600 zone and is now testing the 100 EMA and approaching the 200 EMA, which act as essential mid- to long-term supports. The 1,440–1,450 band aligns with the 200 EMA and is viewed as a pivotal demand area. A break below this level might push the stock toward Rs 1,400, while a sustained move above Rs 1,520 could rekindle upside momentum toward Rs 1,580–1,600.
On the global research front, Goldman Sachs has raised it’s 12-month target on Reliance to Rs 1,835 with a Buy rating, arguing that refining improvements and steady telecom momentum can offset near-term retail moderation. Nomura projects a consolidated EBITDA of roughly Rs 47,600 crore for 3QFY26,signaling a quarter-on-quarter improvement supported by refining strength,even as petrochemicals margins and retail trends pose some offsetting risks. Jio’s quarterly results are anticipated to reflect steady operating momentum, according to analysts who remain constructive on the stock’s medium-term trajectory.
This market sentiment comes amid the broader backdrop of drones of brokerage views and target revisions, underscoring the stock’s sensitivity to moving averages and quarterly performance metrics. For readers seeking deeper context, industry observers at major financial outlets continue to monitor the evolving balance between refining margins, retail performance, and the telecom arm’s subscriber growth.
Key facts at a glance
| Metric | Details |
|---|---|
| Intraday low (Jan 13) | Rs 1,448; down about 2.3% |
| Primary support zone | Rs 1,380–1,440 (coincides with near-term 200 EMA) |
| Immediate resistance | Rs 1,520–1,600 |
| Key moving average to watch | 200-day EMA around Rs 1,440–1,450 |
evergreen insights for longer-term readers
Pullbacks after a rally are not unusual in heavyweight equities. Such dips can offer prudent entry points for patient investors, especially when the stock maintains above critical moving averages and support zones. The mix of improving refining fundamentals and steady telecom momentum can definately help cushion the overall earnings trajectory,but investors should remain mindful of sector-specific headwinds in petrochemicals and retail.
Beyond Reliance, monitoring how the stock behaves around the 200-day EMA and the Rs 1,440 area over the next few sessions can provide a clearer view of whether the uptrend retains its footing. Diversification and a measured,incremental approach to adding exposure can help manage risk during a period of volatility.
Have your say
Do you view this pullback as a buying opportunity or a potential pause before a fresh leg higher?
Which indicators do you rely on most when evaluating heavyweight Indian stocks amid quarterly results?
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before making investment decisions.
For additional perspectives, readers may consult reports from global financial firms and established news outlets.
Share your thoughts below or join the discussion on social platforms.
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Reliance Industries Ltd.(RELIANCE) – ₹1,448 Snapshot (13 Jan 2026, 20:38 IST)
- Last price: ₹1,448
- Intraday high / low: ₹1,466 / ₹1,432
- Average daily volume (30 days): 4.8 M shares
- Market cap: ~₹15.2 trillion
1. Q3 FY26 Results – What the market Is expecting
| Segment | FY25 FY‑End | FY26 Q3 Est. (Analyst Consensus) | Key Drivers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Refining & Marketing | ₹1.06 trn | ₹1.08 trn | Strong diesel demand, higher refining margins |
| Petrochemicals | ₹825 bn | ₹860 bn | New PP capacity utilisation, demand for specialty polymers |
| Retail | ₹375 bn | ₹395 bn | expansion of Reliance Fresh & JioMart, festive season sales |
| Digital Services (Jio) | ₹310 bn | ₹345 bn | 5G rollout, increased data ARPU, enterprise cloud deals |
| Green Energy | ₹48 bn | ₹62 bn | hydrogen pilot, solar‑power EPC contracts |
– Consensus EPS (Q3 FY26): ₹71.5 – ₹73.0 (≈ +12 % YoY)
- Revenue outlook ₹4.78 – ₹4.84 trn (≈ +8 % YoY)
Analysts from Bloomberg, Reuters and Moneycontrol flag double‑digit EPS growth driven by higher EBITDA in the refining and digital segments. The market’s “buy‑the‑rumor” sentiment has kept the stock hovering near key technical zones.
2. Technical Landscape – Key Levels to Watch
2.1 Support & Resistance
- Immediate support: ₹1,430 (200‑day SMA, strong buying interest)
- Secondary support: ₹1,398 (previous swing low, psychological round‑number)
- Immediate resistance: ₹1,470 (weekly high, Fibonacci 61.8 % retracement)
- Upper target: ₹1,520 (projected breakout zone, aligns with 52‑week high)
2.2 Moving Averages (Daily)
| MA | Current Value | position Relative to Price |
|---|---|---|
| 20‑day EMA | ₹1,452 | Price below EMA – short‑term bearish bias |
| 50‑day SMA | ₹1,468 | Price below SMA – medium‑term correction |
| 200‑day SMA | ₹1,430 | Price above SMA – long‑term bullish trend intact |
Cross‑overs: The 20‑day EMA is approaching the 50‑day SMA from below; a bullish “golden cross” coudl appear if the price reclaims ₹1,460 within the next 5‑7 trading days.
2.3 Momentum Indicators
- RSI (14): 44 – neutral territory, no over‑sold signal yet.
- MACD (12,26,9): Histogram turning positive on 12 Jan 2026, indicating early momentum shift.
3. Chart Patterns Signalling a Potential Entry
- Descending Triangle (weekly chart) – Base formed between ₹1,440 – ₹1,458, with a flat lower trendline at ₹1,440. A breakout above the upper trendline would confirm a bullish move.
- Bullish Engulfing (daily candle on 10 Jan 2026) – Closed 1.5 % above the previous day’s open, suggesting short‑term buying pressure.
- Higher Lows (4‑week timeframe) – Demonstrates accumulation by institutional players.
4. Practical Buying Strategies
| Strategy | Entry Zone | Stop‑Loss | Target | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swing Trade | ₹1,444 – ₹1,452 (near 20‑day EMA) | ₹1,418 (below 200‑day SMA) | ₹1,500 (≈ +4 % from entry) | 2‑4 weeks |
| Intraday Momentum | ₹1,452 – ₹1,460 (after EMA bounce) | 0.5 % below entry price | ₹1,480 (≈ +2 % intraday) | Same day |
| Long‑term Accumulation | ≤ ₹1,430 (respecting 200‑day SMA) | 5 % below entry (₹1,359) | ₹1,620 (≈ +12 % over 12 months) | 6‑12 months |
risk‑management tip: Allocate no more than 2‑3 % of total portfolio capital per trade, and adjust stop‑loss levels dynamically as the price moves above the 20‑day EMA.
5. Macro & Sector Influences Shaping the Move
- Crude oil price trend: Brent settled at $84 / bbl (12 jan 2026). Higher crude supports refining margins but compresses net‑back on petrochemicals.
- 5G rollout: Jio’s 5G subscriber base crossed 180 mn users in Q2 FY26,boosting data‑ARPU by 7 % YoY.
- Green energy policy: Indian government’s “National Hydrogen Mission” offers tax incentives; Reliance’s upcoming hydrogen hub in Gujarat could add ₹4‑5 bn to FY27 revenue.
- Retail sentiment: Consumer‑price‑index (CPI) inflation eased to 4.1 % in Dec 2025, freeing disposable income for FMCG purchases through Reliance Retail’s omnichannel network.
6. Recent Historical Performance (Last 6 Months)
- Oct 2025 – Dec 2025: Price rallied from ₹1,300 to ₹1,460 (+12 %).
- Jan 2026: Minor pullback to ₹1,438 before current slip to ₹1,448 – typical pre‑earnings volatility.
- Volume spikes: avg. daily volume surged to 6.2 M shares on earnings‑related news (Nov 2025 Q2 FY25 results).
7. Actionable Checklist for Traders (as of 13 Jan 2026)
- Verify upcoming Q3 FY26 earnings call (scheduled 24 Jan 2026).
- Confirm technical breach: Price must close above ₹1,470 with volume > 1.5× average to validate breakout.
- Set alerts:
- Alert at ₹1,460 (potential EMA bounce).
- Alert at ₹1,430 (protective support).
- Review macro data: Track Brent crude, RBI repo rate announcements, and GST changes on retail sector.
- Update position sizing:** Use ATR (Average True Range) of ₹12 to calculate stop‑loss distance for intraday trades.
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