2023-10-22 22:43:06
Argentina Election Results 2023 LIVE TODAY, Sunday, October 22, 2023 | Javier Milei | Who won the presidential elections in Argentina? Results and last minute of the elections in Argentina | Exit Mouth | Sergio Massa | Patricia Bullrich | National Electoral Chamber | CNE | Alberto Fernandez | Cristina Kirchner | Peronism | WORLD | THE PERU COMMERCE
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Sergio Massa
Argentina Presidential Elections 2023: Milei vs Massa – Predictions, Surveys, and Possible Second Round
written by Alexandra Hartman Editor-in-Chief
2023-10-22 08:33:30
The majority of the most recent surveys of voting intentions ahead of the presidential elections on October 22 in Argentina predict that there will be a second electoral round in November to define in that instance who will govern the country from December 10 and for one term. of four years. Of the eight polls taken so far in October and published until Friday of last week, seven project that the libertarian candidate Javier Milei (La Libertad Avanza, extreme right) will be the most voted in the next elections, followed by the minister of Economy, Sergio Massa (Unión por la Patria, ruling Peronism) and Patricia Bullrich (Together for Change, center-right).
These polls attribute to Milei a voting intention of between 25.2% and 35.6%, while Massa would achieve between 26.2% and 32.7%, and Bullrich would achieve between 21.8% and 28.9%.
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If these percentages actually occur on election day on October 22, it will be necessary to hold a second electoral round between Milei and Massa on November 19.
The electoral law in Argentina establishes that to win in the first round a candidate needs to obtain 45% of the votes, or 40% and ten points ahead of the second most voted candidate.
Presidential candidate Javier Milei gives a speech during the closing of his campaign. (EFE/ Juan Ignacio Roncoroni).
/ JUAN IGNACIO RONCORONI
Of the polls published until this Friday, none place Milei in that position, although there are surveys that bring him closer to that mark with percentages that fall within the margin of error and with the background that for the August primaries no survey projected the flow of votes won by the libertarian economist, so the scenario does not exclude surprises in this month’s election.
Of the polls published until this Friday, only one gives Massa the most votes, but not the winner in the first round, and also only one places Bullrich second and not third as the majority places her.
In the August primaries, Milei, who did not contest internal elections within his political party, obtained 29.86% of the votes.
Massa was the second most voted force, with 21.43% of the votes, although Unión por la Patria was third as the most voted force (27.28%).
The Minister of Economy of Argentina and presidential candidate for the Union for the Homeland party, Sergio Massa, greets his followers on October 17, 2023. (Photo by JUAN MABROMATA / AFP).
/ JUAN MABROMATA
Together for Change was the second most voted on that primary day (28%), but Bullrich obtained 16.81% of the votes if the votes that in that election went to the capital’s mayor, Horacio Rodríguez Larreta, are discounted.
Those primaries revealed an unknown scenario of “three thirds” in the Argentine electorate, which, according to the polls, seems to be maintained, although with biases in favor of Milei and Massa and with the possibility of last-minute changes in trend and the errors of the pollsters that have not shown reliability in the last electoral processes.
Patricia Bullrich, candidate for Together for Change. (LUIS ROBAYO / AFP).
/ LUIS ROBAYO
Juan Schiaretti (We do for Our Country, dissident Peronism) and Myriam Bregman (Frente de Izquierda y los Trabajadores) will also participate in this month’s elections as presidential candidates.
On Friday, October 20, first thing in the morning, the reflection period will begin, during which all proselytizing is prohibited.
A total of 35.8 million Argentines are called to the polls on October 22 to elect president and vice president, in addition to partially renewing the composition of the two chambers of the national Congress and electing 43 representatives in the Mercosur Parliament ( Parlasur).
Simultaneously with the national general elections, elections will be held for governor in the provinces of Buenos Aires, Entre Ríos and Catamarca and for head of Government in the Argentine capital, in addition to elections for municipal positions in several districts of various provinces.
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The Latest Polls and Updates on the Presidential Election in Argentina 2023: Who is Leading the Race?
written by Alexandra Hartman Editor-in-Chief
2023-10-17 02:50:11
The results are even between the candidates and there might be a second round in November. Photo: composition by Jazmin Ceras/La República/EFE/RTVE
This Sunday, October 22, the presidential election in Argentina. Millions of Argentines will have to decide who to have as president for the next period. Javier Milei, Patricia Bullrich and Sergio Massa are the favorite candidates, according to the polls, but only one can be Alberto Fernández’s successor. Find out who is winning, according to the latest polls.
Who leads the latest polls in Argentina?
According to the latest survey carried out by RTVEthe far-right Javier Milei would win the 2023 presidential elections with 30.6%, but would go to the second round with Sergio Massa (29,6%). Patricia Bullrich would be in third place due to a greater difference in figures. Regarding the other two candidates, Juan Schiaretti would obtain 6.7% and the leftist Myriam Bregman solo 3,2%.
Latest polls of the elections in Argentina 2023. Photo: RTVE
DC Consultants shows a different result than the previous one. Although Milei would continue in first place with 35.6%, it would be Patricia Bullrich with whom she would go to the second round with 28.9%. Sergio Massa would be in third position with 26.2%.
For its part, Projections It coincides with the previous pollster and places Milei as the winner with 35.5%, compared to the 30.9% that Sergio Massa would have.
According FixerMilei wins with 34.3% and would be followed by Massa (26.1%) and Bullrich (25.4%).
Finally, the polls of CEOP, CB Consultora y Zuban Córdoba They give Milei the winner (33.9%, 33.2% and 34.7%, respectively). In second place would be Massa with 31.8%, 32.3% and 32.7%.
Milei growth in surveys since January 2022. Photo: RTVE
Will there be a second round?
To be elected president in the first round, the candidate must obtain 45% of the vote or 40% and a difference of 10 points compared to the second candidate. Otherwise there will be a ballot; that is, according to the law, it must be carried out a second round within the next 30 days.
Results between Milei and Massa, according to 2023 surveys. Photo: RTVE
In this hypothetical scenario, the National Electoral Chamber (CNE) points out that Argentines must return to the polls on Sunday, November 19, 2023.
Results between Massa and Bullrich, according to 2023 surveys. Photo: RTVE
Who is Javier Milei, the favorite candidate to win the elections in Argentina?
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Bullrich’s change in strategy that led to doubling Milei’s mentions
written by Alexandra Hartman Editor-in-Chief
2023-10-09 19:04:20
The second presidential debate marked some notable changes in relation to the first, held in Santiago del Estero. The most notable, perhaps, was Patricia Bullrich’s strategy that notably increased her mentions to Javier Milei and led him to focus part of her exchanges between them.
The Together for Change candidate went from just 4 mentions of Milei in Santiago del Estero to 10 in Buenos Aires. More than double.
The consequence was that Milei, who in Santiago had mentioned the Together for Change candidate on 3 occasions, this time did so 6 times.
In the first debate, the focus of the libertarian’s attention had been Sergio Massa. Although in the second, the Minister of Economy continued to be at the top of Milei’s mentions, he did so on equal terms with Bullrich (6 each).
Juan Schiaretti also achieved greater attention from Milei, since he added 2 mentions in Buenos Aires ( once morest 1 in Santiago); something that Myriam Bregman might not achieve, who remained the candidate that the libertarian “attacked” the least (1 time).
Words
Beyond a higher tone of voice, a less tiring physical posture and a barricade attitude that he had not had in the first debate, in general terms Bullrich’s discursive strategy remained similar to what happened in Santiago del Estero.
The word “Argentina” was once once more the most used by Bullrich, although less frequently; and “Massa” was present with almost the same weight.
The novelty was that Bullrich left aside the terms “inflation” and “exchange rate”, very present in Santiago del Estero; and he replaced them with “defend” and “change.”
The use of “Argentina” was a constant in almost all the other candidates, since it was also the most used by Massa and Schiaretti, and came second in the case of Milei.
The exception was Bregman, who repeated “worker” more times than any of the others, followed by “Milei” (also in Santiago del Estero, the Left candidate mentioned “Argentina” among the most used words).
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