Wall Street’s main indexes closed sharply lower on Friday, following strong September employment data raised the likelihood that the Federal Reserve would press ahead with its campaign to raise interest rates that many investors fear will push the economy into recession.
Despite this, the S&P 500 gained 1.5% for the week, while the Dow Jones and Nasdaq gained 2% and 0.7%, respectively.
Standard & Poor’s closed sharply lower on Friday, by 103.90 points, or 2.77%, to close at 3640.62 points. The Nasdaq index lost 418.49 points, or 3.78%, in the last sessions of the week, to record 10654.83 points, while the Dow Jones index fell 620.95 points, or 2.07%, to 29305.99 points.
Labor market
The US labor market slowed slightly in September in a welcome development in the fight once morest inflation, but it remained so solid that the unemployment rate returned to the level it was before the Covid-19 pandemic.
And the US Department of Labor announced on Friday that the unemployment rate fell slightly in September, to 3.5 percent, the rate it reached in July and that recorded before the epidemic. This rate had reached 3.7% in August.
Job creation has also slowed. The US economy added 263,000 jobs last month, especially in the entertainment, hotel and health services sectors, compared to 315,000 in August.
Analysts had unanimously expected the unemployment rate to remain at 3.7 percent, which was recorded in August, and expected the creation of between 250 and 275,000 jobs.
Biden welcomes
US President Joe Biden, whose popularity has declined with rising prices, welcomed the numbers, which he described as an “encouraging indication” that the economy is on the right track, stressing at the same time that more efforts must be made to help American families.
“The job numbers released today are an encouraging indication that we are moving into a phase of stability and steady growth,” Biden said in a tweet, noting that the number of American workers “is greater than ever.”
“More efforts must be made to develop our economy,” he said, adding, “But we are making progress.”
Analysts closely follow the situation of jobs because it is linked to the fight once morest inflation. Paradoxically, any decline in the labor market is both desirable and expected.
In fact, the labor market has been experiencing tension for more than a year due to the shortage of manpower.
Employers face difficulty in hiring and raising salaries to attract candidates and retain their employees, which contributes to raising prices.
Presenting a monthly investigation into creating jobs in the private sector, Nella Richardson, chief economist at IDP Business Services, said Wednesday that “demand from employers remains strong and (labor) availability is improving from workers at the moment.”
In August, the unemployment rate rose slightly to 3.7 percent, following returning to its pre-pandemic level, which was the lowest in more than fifty years.
However, this obscured the good news represented in the return of a large number of those who left the labor market due to Covid, especially women.
reduce inflation
The US Federal Reserve is making efforts to curb inflation. It raises interest rates to slow the economy by discouraging consumption and investment. But it risks causing a recession.
The September job creation numbers match expectations.
Christopher Waller, one of the Federal Reserve’s governors, said Thursday that a level of this kind would show that “the labor market is slowing down a little but remains tense,” and this reinforces his view that the Fed should “focus 100% on reducing inflation” and thus continue to raise interest rates. .
Also, Lisa Cook, a Federal Reserve governor, warned that “policy must remain focused on restoring price stability, which will also lay the foundation for a strong and sustainable labor market.”
European stocks
In Europe, stocks fell sharply, on Friday, following data indicating strong employment growth in the United States reinforced the argument of the Federal Reserve (the US central bank) to continue to raise interest rates by large percentages in its effort to curb inflation.
The pan-European Stoxx 600 index fell 1.2% in the weekend’s session, marking the third consecutive session of losses.
The US jobs data came on the heels of the release of the minutes of the European Central Bank’s latest meeting, on Thursday, which fueled fears of a sharp interest rate hike to contain hyperinflation in the euro zone.
But the pan-European Stoxx 600 index achieved a weekly gain of regarding 1%, as expectations that major central banks might calm a little from the approach of tightening monetary policy contributed to boosting stocks in the first few sessions of the week and pushed the index to the best weekly performance in a month.
(agencies)
Standard & Poor’s
The Standard & Poor’s 500 declines, affected by fears of a global slowdown
New York (Archyde.com)
The Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell below 3,900 points at the start of trading on Wall Street yesterday, breaking a level that traders consider important, following a profit alert from FedEx Shipping Services alarmed investors and increased their concerns related to an interest rate hike.
Wall Street indices recorded their lowest level in two months, as the Standard & Poor’s 500 fell by 20.40 points, or 0.52 percent, to 3880.95 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 95.21 points, or 0.31 percent, at the open to 30,866.61 points.
The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 151.15 points, or 1.31 percent, to 11,401.21 points at the open.
Markets are awaiting today’s labor market report to try to predict the interest path
The Standard & Poor’s index managed to achieve slight gains, Thursday, and closed up 0.31% to 3,967.23 points, ending a series of losses that extended four sessions thanks to a late rise in the session as investors awaited a major report on the labor market, Friday.
While the Nasdaq index fell 0.26% at the close on Thursday, the Dow Jones index rose 145.92 points, or 0.46%, to 31656.35 points.
Data showed that weekly US jobless claims fell more than expected to a two-month low last week, and layoffs fell in August, suggesting the Federal Reserve will need to keep raising interest rates sharply to slow the labor market.
Investors are now waiting for the monthly non-farm payrolls report on Friday to get more indications regarding the labor market.
Unemployment claims
The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to a two-month low last week, and layoffs fell in August, suggesting the Federal Reserve will need to keep raising interest rates sharply to slow the labor market.
The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates significantly to tame inflation by curbing demand in all sectors of the economy.
The Labor Department said Thursday that first-time applications for state unemployment benefits fell by 5,000 to a seasonally adjusted number of 232,000 in the week ending August 27.
A survey conducted by the Institute for Supply Management on Thursday confirmed strong demand for workers and revealed a sharp recovery in employment in the manufacturing sector in August following three months of contraction.
The survey showed that “companies continued to hire at strong rates in August, with little evidence of layoffs, hiring freezes, or staff reductions through attrition.”
The data for the previous week was revised to show a decrease of 5,000 orders from what was previously announced. Economists polled by Archyde.com had expected 248,000 orders in the last week.
Despite the large increases in interest rates approved by the Federal Reserve to curb inflation, which raised the risk of a recession, there are no signs yet of widespread layoffs.
Demands remain below the 270-300K range that economists say indicates an actual slowdown in the labor market.
The government said this week that 11.2 million jobs were created at the end of July, with two jobs for every unemployed person. The flexibility of the labor market continues to dispel fears that the economy is in recession following the GDP contraction in the first half of the year.
The survey confirmed the evidence that the economy is expanding. The manufacturing PMI remained stable at 52.8 points last month. A reading above the 50 threshold indicates an expansion in the manufacturing industries, which represent 11.9 percent of the US economy.
Five of the six largest manufacturing sectors, including machinery and transportation equipment, computer and electronic products, posted moderate to strong growth.
Economists still expect job growth to slow, especially as worker productivity continues to decline at unsustainable rates, putting further pressure on labor costs.
(Archyde.com)