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Taiwan
Chinese military exercises threaten global supply chain
Published on : 06/08/2022 – 19:10
Taiwan on Saturday (August 6th) accused the Chinese army of simulating an attack on the island, with China continuing its retaliation following the visit to Taipei by Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic speaker of the House of Representatives. The largest military maneuvers around the island of Taiwan are blocking busy navigable trade routes and threatening global supply chains.
Military exercises take place on some of the most important trade routes on the planet. Above all, they make it possible to transport semiconductors manufactured in factories in East Asia, of which Taiwan is the largest producer, all over the world.
According to Bloomberg, during the first 7 months of the year, nearly half of the container ships in the world fleet passed through the Taiwan Strait.
As a security measure, China’s Maritime Security Administration has ” prohibited » vessels to enter the areas concerned by the exercises. Their eastern bypass of the island would cause delays, risking disruption to global supply chains.
► Read also Chinese naval and air exercises in the Taiwan Strait
A situation that global maritime transport would do well following the logistical problems caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine.
Everything now depends on what Beijing intends to do in the future. If the military maneuvers end this Sunday August 7 as announced by the Chinese authorities, the impact on maritime transport will be minimal. The option of a commercial blockade of the island is ruled out by analysts, as it would hurt the Chinese economy just as much.
► Read also : Taiwan accuses China of simulating an attack on the island
China tightens retaliation: sanctions Pelosi for her visit to Taiwan and cuts ties with the US | International
China raised this Friday the level of its retaliation for Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan with actions that include the suspension of cooperation mechanisms with Washington, sanctions on the president of the US Legislative. and the crossing of ships and planes of the middle line of the Strait of Formosa.
Two days following the controversial trip of the veteran politician, Beijing announced eight measures, including the suspension of cooperation in matters such as the judicial, climate change, repatriation of illegal immigrants, criminal legal assistance, fight once morest transnational crimes and talks on combating climate change.
It also canceled the telephone calls between the leaders of the military commands and the work meetings between the defense portfolios of both powers, as well as those of the Military Maritime Security Consultation Mechanism.
These cancellations mean that there is no longer a mechanism of trust between the armed forces of both superpowers at a time when the levels of tension in the Taiwan Strait are at a level not seen since the 1990s.
The Asian giant made this decision public just an hour following imposing sanctions on Pelosi and her direct relatives for “ignoring China’s concern and firm opposition” to her trip and for “undermining the sovereignty and territorial integrity” of the country. asian country.
The measures include a ban on entry to China for Pelosi and her associates, without further details at the moment.
Likewise, China also summoned European diplomatic representatives, the European Union, Japan and Canada in the last hours due to the declarations made by the G7 foreign ministers in relation to Taiwan.
The ministers had asked Beijing on Thursday to refrain from using Pelosi’s recent visit as “a pretext to carry out aggressive military action in the Taiwan Strait.”
midline crossing
For its part, Taiwan denounced today that up to 68 planes and thirteen Chinese Army ships continued to operate in the Taiwan Strait and that some of them crossed the middle line of the Formosa Strait during the second day of the military maneuvers initiated by Beijing this Thursday. .
If at first it was Beijing that condemned Washington for crossing its red line with Pelosi’s trip, today the Taiwanese president, Tsai Ing-wen, described the Chinese military maneuvers that allegedly crossed the dividing line as an “irresponsible act”.
This imaginary line in the strait functions as an unofficial but tacitly respected border for China and Taiwan for the past decades.
A “qualitative leap”
The Chinese exercises take place in six areas around the island, one of them regarding 20 kilometers from the coast of Kaohsiung, the main city in southern Taiwan, and despite the fact that in recent years China has carried out other drills in the Strait of Taiwan, this week’s are different because “they cover a larger area, involve more military elements and are expected to be highly effective,” Chinese defense experts quoted by local media reported.
These large-scale war games, which will last until Sunday and which Taiwan has described as “a blockade”, “represent a qualitative leap in the previous dynamics and, probably, irreversible. It is something that will go beyond these maneuvers and a trend that is here to stay,” Xulio Ríos, director of the Chinese Policy Observatory, told Efe.
Ríos predicted that, as of this crisis, China “will surely be more incisive in military pressure on Taiwan” and “will try to ensure greater control over the island and its surroundings through de facto means”, while He explained that the maneuvers represent “the prelude to an essential change in China’s military approach to Taiwan.”
Doubts regarding the trajectory of the missiles
This Thursday, the Chinese exercises included long-range artillery target practice off the east coast of Taiwan, with “multiple types of conventional missiles”, a mission in which the projectiles “hit the target with precision”, according to the Army. of the Asian giant.
The Taiwanese Defense Ministry assured shortly following that it had “instant knowledge” of the missile launch thanks to “reconnaissance and surveillance” tasks during the drills, which were described as “a success” by Beijing.
However, Japanese military spokesmen reported last night not only the alleged fall of five Chinese ballistic missiles in waters belonging to the special economic zone (EEZ) of the Japanese country, but also that five of the Chinese missiles had flown over the island of Taiwan itself. .
The island Army has not confirmed or denied this point, limiting itself to saying that its surveillance systems “detected the trajectory” of the missiles, which “represented no danger” to the island.
China, which described Pelosi’s visit as a “farce” and “deplorable betrayal”, claims sovereignty over the island and considers Taiwan a rebellious province since the Kuomintang nationalists withdrew there in 1949, following losing the civil war once morest the Chinese. communists
Taipei on Saturday accused the Chinese army of simulating an attack on the island as Beijing began its largest ever military exercises around the territory claimed by China, despite protests from the international community.
Taiwan on Saturday (6 August) accused the Chinese military of simulating an attack on the island, with China stepping up its retaliation following the visit to Taipei of the American number three Nancy Pelosisuspending the Beijing-Washington climate dialogue.
The stay of Nancy Pelosi, president of the House of Representatives, is experienced as a “provocation” by Beijing, because Washington had pledged not to have official relations with the island territory claimed by China.
In response, Chinese diplomacy announced on Friday evening the “suspension” of several cooperations with the United Statesparticularly in terms of justice, the fight once morest drugs, but also on climate change.
The two countries, the largest emitters of greenhouse gases in absolute terms, had nevertheless signed a surprise agreement on the climate at the COP26 summit in Glasgow last year.
On the military front, China is continuing Saturday its largest exercises ever organized around Taiwan. They must last until Sunday noon (04:00 GMT) and are presented as training for a “blockade” of the island.
Taiwanese authorities announced on Saturday that they had detected “multiple” Chinese planes and ships in the Taiwan Strait between the island and mainland China.
“Some of them have crossed the median line” which bisects the strait and “are considered to be carrying out a simulation of an attack once morest the main island of Taiwan”, indicated the Taiwanese Ministry of Defense.
The Chinese army announced that it had deployed fighters, bombers and numerous destroyers and escort boats the day before to participate in these maneuvers carried out “day and night”, she said.
Chinese ambassador summoned to Washington
A warning sent to the Taiwanese president, from an independence party, and to the United States, accused by Beijing of having “betrayed” their word by strengthening their relations with the Taiwanese authorities in recent years.
The Chinese army published in the night from Friday to Saturday the video of an air force pilot filming, from his cockpit, the coast and the mountains of Taiwan.
Impressive images supposed to demonstrate Beijing’s ability to approach very close to the coast of the island.
For the first time, missiles flew over Taiwan during these military exercises, said Chinese state television CCTV. Neither the Chinese army nor the Taiwanese army, however, confirmed this information.
On the Taipei side, the authorities denounced the actions of their “malicious neighbor” and announced that 68 planes and 13 Chinese military ships had crossed the “median line” on Friday.
Drawn unilaterally by the United States during the Cold War, this line has never been recognized by Beijing.
The scale of the exercises has drawn condemnation from G7 countries, the United States and their allies. The White House has summoned the Chinese ambassador, Qin Gang, to castigate behavior deemed “irresponsible”.
Beijing’s decision to suspend climate dialogue with Washington has drawn another wave of criticism.
“It’s obviously worrying,” Alden Meyer, an analyst at the E3G think tank, specializing in climate change, told AFP. “It is impossible to tackle the climate emergency if the two main economies and the two biggest emitters do not act, and it is always better that they do so in collaboration.”
A risk of armed confrontation?
The spokesman for the American executive for national security affairs, John Kirby, castigated him on Friday for a “fundamentally irresponsible” decision. “China is not just punishing the United States, it is punishing the whole world,” he added.
UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres expressed his dismay. For him, “it is impossible to solve the most pressing problems in the world without an effective dialogue and cooperation between the two countries”, declared his spokesperson.
With China-Taiwan tensions at their highest in nearly 30 years and an admittedly measured risk of military conflict, the deterioration in Beijing-Washington relations might be lasting, experts note.
“The US-China relationship is currently in very bad shape,” Bonnie Glaser, a China specialist at the German Marshall Fund of the United States research center in Washington, told AFP.
She cites as “particularly worrying” the suspension of cooperation agreements crucial for the stability of the region, such as that on maritime military cooperation aimed precisely at preserving escalation.
For Bonnie Glaser, the United States has undoubtedly “underestimated” the anger of Chinese public opinion.
Most analysts agree, however, that despite these military exercises, Beijing does not want an armed confrontation for the time being.
With AFP