Nigeria’s Buhari Legacy: Beyond Mourning, a Test for Tinubu’s Leadership

Over 80% of Nigerians are under the age of 35, a demographic largely defined by a desire for systemic change – and the recent passing of former President **Muhammadu Buhari** at age 82, coupled with the logistical complexities surrounding his funeral, underscores a critical juncture for Nigeria’s political stability and future trajectory. The delay in the initial funeral schedule, attributed to logistical challenges, isn’t merely a procedural hiccup; it’s a symbolic representation of the enduring infrastructural and organizational hurdles facing the nation, issues Buhari pledged to address during his two terms in office.

A Dual Legacy: Security and Economic Challenges

Buhari’s presidency, marked by a transition from military rule to a democratically elected leader, was defined by two central pillars: tackling the Boko Haram insurgency and revitalizing the Nigerian economy. While he made gains against Boko Haram, particularly in reclaiming territory, the security landscape broadened to include banditry, farmer-herder conflicts, and a rising tide of regional instability. These challenges, as detailed in a recent report by the International Crisis Group on Nigeria’s security threats (https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/west-africa/nigeria), persist and now form a significant part of the burden inherited by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Economically, Buhari’s administration faced headwinds from falling oil prices and a reliance on a single commodity. Despite efforts to diversify, Nigeria’s economic vulnerability remained largely unchanged. The recent removal of fuel subsidies by Tinubu, while lauded by some economists, highlights the difficult economic choices facing the nation – choices that were largely deferred during Buhari’s tenure. This creates a potential for social unrest if not managed effectively.

The Tinubu Test: Navigating a Post-Buhari Nigeria

President Tinubu’s handling of Buhari’s funeral – the personal reception of the remains, the national mourning period, and the military honors – is a carefully orchestrated display of respect and continuity. However, the true test lies in addressing the underlying issues that defined Buhari’s presidency. The outpouring of grief, while genuine, is also a reflection of a longing for strong leadership and a more secure and prosperous Nigeria.

Security Sector Reform: A Critical Imperative

Tinubu’s administration must prioritize comprehensive security sector reform. This includes not only increased funding and equipment but also addressing issues of corruption, accountability, and intelligence gathering. The current fragmented approach to security, with multiple agencies operating with limited coordination, is unsustainable. A more integrated and intelligence-led approach is crucial to effectively counter the evolving security threats.

Economic Diversification and Investment

Reducing Nigeria’s dependence on oil requires attracting foreign investment and fostering a more conducive business environment. Tinubu’s economic policies, including the removal of subsidies and efforts to streamline regulations, are steps in the right direction. However, sustained economic growth will depend on addressing infrastructure deficits, improving education and skills development, and tackling corruption.

The Rise of Regionalism and Political Alliances

Buhari’s northern roots and political base played a significant role in his electoral success. His passing could potentially exacerbate existing regional tensions and lead to a realignment of political alliances. Tinubu, representing the southwest, will need to navigate these dynamics carefully to maintain national unity and build a broad coalition of support. The upcoming elections will be a key indicator of the shifting political landscape.

Looking Ahead: A Generational Shift in Nigerian Politics?

The death of Muhammadu Buhari marks the end of an era in Nigerian politics. His legacy will be debated for years to come, but one thing is certain: Nigeria is at a crossroads. The demographic shift towards a younger, more digitally connected population demands a new approach to governance. Tinubu’s success will depend on his ability to connect with this generation, address their concerns, and deliver on the promise of a better future. The logistical challenges surrounding the funeral, while seemingly minor, serve as a potent reminder of the systemic issues that must be overcome to unlock Nigeria’s full potential. What will be the defining characteristics of the next generation of Nigerian leaders, and how will they address the complex challenges inherited from the past?