TMC’s Internal Conflicts: A Harbinger for 2026 and Beyond?
West Bengal’s ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) is facing a critical test – not from opposition parties, but from within. Recent public displays of discord surfacing during post-Durga Puja meetings signal a deeper struggle for power as the party prepares for the 2026 assembly elections. This isn’t merely political maneuvering; it’s a potential fracturing that could reshape the state’s political landscape, and the implications extend far beyond Bengal.
The Enemy Within: Factionalism and the 2026 Elections
The blunt assessment by Anubrata Mondal – that the TMC is its own worst enemy – encapsulates the current reality. While the BJP, Congress, and CPI(M) remain contenders, the immediate threat to the TMC’s dominance stems from internal rivalries. The clashes between Mondal and Kajal Sheikh in Birbhum, escalating from closed-door confrontations to public sloganeering, are symptomatic of a broader power struggle. This isn’t isolated; similar tensions were evident in North 24 Parganas’ Haroa, with key leaders absent from crucial meetings.
Abhishek Banerjee’s Tightrope Walk
TMC national general secretary Abhishek Banerjee is attempting to navigate this treacherous terrain. His intervention in the Mondal-Sheikh dispute, urging unity “in the interest of the party,” highlights the urgency of the situation. However, simply demanding cohesion isn’t enough. The underlying causes – ambition, access to resources, and control over local party structures – need to be addressed. The rapid formation of new organizational committees, while strategically aimed at the 2026 elections, could inadvertently exacerbate these tensions if not handled with extreme sensitivity and fairness.
Beyond Personal Rivalries: A Systemic Challenge
The infighting isn’t solely about individual personalities. It reflects a systemic issue within the TMC: a concentration of power and a lack of clear succession planning. With Mamata Banerjee at the helm for over a decade, a vacuum is inevitably forming as potential successors jostle for position. This creates fertile ground for factionalism, as leaders attempt to build their own power bases and secure their future within the party. The warning issued by Shatabdi Roy – labeling infighting as “treachery” – underscores the seriousness with which the leadership views these internal divisions.
The Electoral Roll Revision and Strategic Implications
Adding another layer of complexity is the Election Commission’s planned Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls in Bengal. This process, while intended to ensure a fair and accurate voter list, is being viewed by the TMC as a potential political maneuver. Focusing on this issue during the Bijaya sammilani events suggests the party is preparing to mobilize its support base and counter any perceived attempts to disenfranchise voters. The SIR could become a flashpoint, further fueling political tensions and potentially exacerbating internal divisions within the TMC as different factions vie for control over the mobilization efforts.
The BJP’s Opportunity and the Future of Bengal Politics
While the TMC currently holds a significant majority in the state assembly (213 out of 294 seats), the internal strife presents a golden opportunity for the BJP. The BJP’s relatively modest showing in 2021 (77 seats) demonstrated its potential to challenge the TMC’s dominance. A weakened and divided TMC would significantly improve the BJP’s prospects in the 2026 elections. However, the BJP must also avoid appearing to exploit the TMC’s internal problems, as this could backfire and rally support around Mamata Banerjee.
A Shift in Political Dynamics?
The current situation suggests a potential shift in Bengal’s political dynamics. The TMC’s long-held narrative of unity and strength is being challenged by the visible cracks within the party. If the infighting continues unchecked, it could lead to a fragmentation of the TMC, creating space for other parties to gain ground. The 2026 elections will be a crucial test of the TMC’s resilience and its ability to overcome these internal challenges. The outcome will not only determine the future of Bengal politics but could also have broader implications for the national political landscape.
What are your predictions for the TMC’s internal struggles and their impact on the 2026 West Bengal elections? Share your thoughts in the comments below!