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what is the potential return on a small wager on Jesse Strader’s moneyline against Dmitriy Gerasimov?
Table of Contents
- 1. what is the potential return on a small wager on Jesse Strader’s moneyline against Dmitriy Gerasimov?
- 2. UFC 318: Expert Picks & DraftKings Betting Strategies
- 3. Main Card Breakdown & Predictions
- 4. Underdog Value & Potential Upsets
- 5. DraftKings Lineup Construction – MMA showdown
- 6. Understanding UFC Rules & Their Impact on Betting
UFC 318: Expert Picks & DraftKings Betting Strategies
Main Card Breakdown & Predictions
UFC 318 is shaping up to be a thrilling event, headlined by a highly anticipated Lightweight Championship bout. Let’s dive into the key matchups and potential betting opportunities, focusing on DraftKings Sportsbook odds and optimal strategies. Remember, responsible gambling is key!
Islam Makhachev vs. dustin Poirier – Lightweight Championship
Expert Pick: Islam Makhachev via Submission (Round 3). Makhachev’s grappling is elite, and while Poirier has improved his takedown defense, the pressure and relentless attacks will eventually wear him down.
DraftKings Strategy: Consider a prop bet on Makhachev by submission. The odds will likely be favorable given Poirier’s striking pedigree.A smaller wager on “Fight Goes to Decision – No” could also be profitable.
Key Stats: Makhachev boasts a 24-1 record with 12 submissions. Poirier is 29-7, known for his knockout power.
Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal Hill – Light Heavyweight
Expert pick: Alex Pereira via KO/TKO (Round 2).Pereira’s power is undeniable, and Hill, while returning from injury, is still susceptible to strikes.
DraftKings Strategy: Lean towards Pereira’s moneyline. A “Pereira to win in Round 1 or 2” prop bet offers good value. Avoid Hill’s live betting odds unless he demonstrates early success.
Key Stats: Pereira is 8-2 with 7 KOs/TKOs. hill is 12-1 with 7 KOs/TKOs.
Renato Moicano vs.Jesus Jajaja – Featherweight
Expert Pick: Renato Moicano via Decision. Moicano is the more well-rounded fighter with a important grappling advantage.
DraftKings Strategy: Moicano’s moneyline is a solid play. Consider a prop bet on “Fight to Go to Decision” as Moicano often controls the pace and secures a win on the scorecards.
Key Stats: Moicano is 18-3-1 with 7 submissions. Jajaja is 19-7 with 10 KOs/TKOs.
Underdog Value & Potential Upsets
Identifying undervalued fighters can lead to significant returns. Here are a few potential upsets to consider:
Jesse Strader vs. Dmitriy Gerasimov: Strader’s striking is underrated, and Gerasimov has shown vulnerabilities. A small wager on Strader’s moneyline could pay off.
iasmin Lucindo vs. polyana Viana: Lucindo is a rising prospect with a diverse skillset. Viana is tough, but Lucindo’s technical advantage could be the difference.
DraftKings Lineup Construction – MMA showdown
draftkings Showdown contests offer a unique way to engage with UFC events. Here’s a strategy for building winning lineups:
- Captain Selection: Prioritize fighters in the main event or those with high finishing potential. Makhachev or Pereira are strong captain choices.
- Mid-Tier Value: Look for fighters with reasonable salaries who offer a solid floor of points (e.g., Moicano).
- Salary Savers: Include lower-priced fighters who could exceed expectations, especially in the early prelims.
- Correlation: Consider correlating fighters from the same bout. If you believe a fight will be a back-and-forth war, include both fighters in yoru lineup.
Understanding UFC Rules & Their Impact on Betting
The rules of MMA,and specifically UFC,are crucial for informed betting. As per recent facts https://www.zhihu.com/question/24770926, there are 31 defined foul situations.
Illegal Strikes: Knowing what constitutes an illegal strike (e.g., groin strikes, eye gouges) is vital. These fouls can lead to point deductions or even disqualifications, impacting betting outcomes