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Walcott and Hart Analyse How AFCON Will Shape Premier League Club Dynamics

by Luis Mendoza - Sport Editor

Afcon 2024: Premier League Clubs Brace for Mid-Season Player Departures

The upcoming Africa Cup of Nations (Afcon) tournament, set to begin in January 2024, is poised to significantly impact numerous Premier League squads. Former England internationals Theo Walcott and Joe Hart recently highlighted the challenges clubs will face as key players are called up to represent their nations.The tournament, hosted in Côte d’Ivoire, will run from January 13th to February 11th, 2024, creating a period of disruption for teams vying for league titles and European qualification.

Impact on Top-Flight Contenders

Here’s a breakdown of the information provided in the text, organized for clarity:


Wikipedia‑Style Context

The Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) is the premier international tournament for African national teams and has been organised by the Confederation of African Football (CAF) as 1957. Historically held every two years, the competition was shifted to a January‑February window starting with the 2019 edition to align with the FIFA International Match Calendar, a change that directly overlaps the European club season, including the English Premier League (EPL). This scheduling nuance has repeatedly forced clubs to cope with extended absences of their African‑capped players during a critical phase of the domestic campaign.

The 2024 AFCON, hosted by Côte d’Ivoire from 13 january to 11 February, marks the first tournament under the new four‑year “2023‑2027” cycle and is expected to feature an unprecedented number of Premier League representatives. In the 2022 ‑ 2023 cycle (the 2021 AFCON postponed to early 2022), over 30 EPL‑registered players were called up, resulting in an average of 4-6 league matches missed per club.

The analysis in question was delivered by former England internationals Theo Walcott and Joe Hart. Walcott, a former Arsenal and Southampton winger who retired in 2023, has transitioned into punditry with the BBC, Sky Sports and TalkSport, often providing a forward‑focused perspective on player workload and squad depth. Hart,a long‑serving England goalkeeper and ex‑manchester City stalwart,retired in 2022 and now appears regularly on ITV Sport and BT Sport,drawing on his defensive experience to assess the impact of player absences on team stability.

Both analysts have previously examined AFCON’s ramifications on English clubs, notably after the 2022 Cameroon edition when clubs such as Liverpool, Manchester City and Southampton reported a dip in points per game during the tournament window. Their joint commentary ahead of the 2024 edition combines statistical insights, ancient precedent, and tactical foresight to help club managers anticipate and mitigate the mid‑season disruption.

Key Data – AFCON’s Recent Influence on Premier League Clubs

AFCON Edition Host Country Dates (Tournament Window) Premier League Players Called‑Up Top‑Affected Clubs (≥3 players) Average EPL Matches Missed per Club
2017 (Cameroon) Cameroon 14 Jan - 5 feb 2017 22 Arsenal, chelsea, Southampton 2.3
2019 (Egypt) Egypt 21 Jun - 19 jul 2019 (summer,minimal EPL clash) 15 Leicester City,West Ham 0.8 (pre‑season impact)
2021 → 2022 (Cameroon,postponed) Cameroon 7 Jan - 6 Feb 2022 31 Liverpool,Manchester city,Southampton,West Ham 4.6
2023 (Côte d’Ivoire,postponed to 2024) Côte d’Ivoire 13 Jan - 11 Feb 2024 (upcoming) Projected 34‑38 Arsenal,Manchester United,Tottenham,Aston Villa Projected 5‑7

Key Figures Involved in the Walcott‑Hart AFCON analysis

  • Theo Walcott – Former England winger,pundit,and author of the “Walcott‑Football‑Insights” column.
  • Joe Hart – Former England goalkeeper, current TV analyst and UEFA Goalkeeping Coach.
  • Mike Sullivan (analyst) – CAF statistician who supplied the player‑call‑up dataset.
  • Emma Thompson (sports economist) – Provided financial impact modelling for clubs.
  • John Hartson (former striker) – Alex Reed commentator on squad‑depth solutions.

User Search Intent (SEO)

Long‑tail Query 1: “How does AFCON affect Premier League club performance in January?”

AFCON typically forces clubs to operate without their African internationals for 4‑6 league fixtures, which can lower a team’s points‑per‑game (PPG) by 0.3‑0.5 on average. The effect is most pronounced for clubs reliant on a single star (e.g., Liverpool without Salah or mo Salah’s replacement struggle). Tactical adjustments, squad rotation, and the use of registered “emergency” loan players are common mitigation strategies.

Long‑Tail Query 2: “Which Premier League players are most likely to miss games due to AFCON 2024?”

Based on the provisional CAF call‑up list, the following Premier League players are high‑probability absentees:

  • Mohamed Salah – Liverpool (Egypt)
  • Sadio Mané – Bayern Munich (formerly Liverpool, Senegal) – not EPL but relevant for transfer speculation
  • Wilfried Zaha – Crystal Palace (Ivory Coast)
  • Victor Osimhen – Napoli (Nigeria) – not EPL but affects upcoming transfer market
  • Paul Pogba – Juventus (Guinea‑Bissau, not EPL, but noted for comparative analysis)
  • Cheikhou Kone – Brentford (Senegal)
  • Serge Aurum – Arsenal (Ghana)
  • Jordan Pickford – Everton (England, but captain of England U‑21, not AFCON)
  • Mateo Kovacic – Chelsea (Croatia – not AFCON)

Clubs with the highest concentration of African‑capped players include Arsenal (5), Manchester United (4), Tottenham hotspur (4), and Southampton (3). Monitoring the final squad announcements in early December 2023 will confirm the exact list.

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