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Who is the favorite to win the 2025-26 NBA MVP? This is what sports betting says

by Luis Mendoza - Sport Editor

NBA MVP Race Ignites: Gilgeous-Alexander, Jokic, and Doncic Battle for Supremacy

The 2025-26 NBA season is barely underway, but the conversation surrounding the league’s most coveted individual prize – the Most Valuable Player award – is already reaching fever pitch. With the opening games completed, all eyes are on a trio of superstars: reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, perennial contender Nikola Jokic, and the newly-minted Los Angeles Laker, Luka Doncic. This isn’t just about stats; it’s about legacy, team success, and a relentless pursuit of basketball excellence. This is breaking news for basketball fans, and we’re diving deep into what it takes to claim the throne.

The Reigning Champ: Can Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Repeat?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s victory last season was a testament to his incredible growth and the Oklahoma City Thunder’s surprising ascent. He’s aiming to become just the 14th player in NBA history to win the MVP award in consecutive seasons, a feat last accomplished by Nikola Jokic (2020-21, 2021-22). The Canadian point guard has elevated his game to a truly dominant level, impacting both ends of the court. To secure a repeat, SGA will need to maintain his scoring prowess – averaging over 30 points for a fourth straight year – and continue leading the Thunder to a top spot in the competitive Western Conference. Betting markets currently favor him, but the road to back-to-back MVP awards is notoriously difficult.

Jokic’s Quest: A Fourth MVP on the Horizon?

Nikola Jokic isn’t just a two-time MVP; he’s arguably the best player in the world right now. Over the past five seasons, he’s either won the award or finished as the runner-up, consistently putting up numbers that defy conventional basketball wisdom. Last year’s near miss – finishing second to Gilgeous-Alexander – was largely attributed to the Denver Nuggets’ fourth-place finish in the West. This season, the Nuggets have bolstered their roster with key additions like Cam Johnson, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Jonas Valanciunas, aiming to improve their regular season record and give Jokic the team success he needs to claim a fourth MVP trophy. His triple-double averages (29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds, 10.2 assists last season) are simply astonishing, but team performance will be crucial.

Doncic’s Transformation: A New Chapter with the Lakers

Luka Doncic’s move to the Los Angeles Lakers has injected a new level of excitement into the MVP conversation. After a significant physical transformation during the offseason, the 26-year-old Slovenian superstar appears primed for his most impactful season yet. The Lakers, finishing third in the West last season even with a partially-available Doncic, are now poised to contend for the top spot. Doncic’s career averages (28.6 points, 8.6 rebounds, 8.2 assists) speak for themselves, and his motivation is sky-high after facing criticism from his former team and the media. If the Lakers can build on their existing foundation and secure a strong regular season record, Doncic will undoubtedly be a serious contender for the MVP.

What Does It Take to Win? A Historical Perspective

The NBA MVP award, first presented in the 1955-56 season, isn’t simply about individual brilliance. Several key factors consistently separate the winners from the contenders. First and foremost, health is paramount – the league requires players to participate in at least 65 games to be eligible. Historically, MVP winners have almost always led their teams to a top-three seed in their respective conferences. And, of course, individual performance must be exceptional, demonstrating a significant impact on both offense and defense. The award recognizes a player who elevates not only his own game but also the performance of his entire team.

The 2025-26 NBA season promises to be a thrilling spectacle, and the MVP race is shaping up to be one of the most compelling storylines. Keep checking back with archyde.com for the latest updates, in-depth analysis, and exclusive insights as the season unfolds. We’ll be tracking every game, every stat, and every development to bring you the most comprehensive coverage of the NBA’s biggest stars and their quest for basketball immortality.

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