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XRP’s Peak Performance: Is a Major Crash Imminent?

by Omar El Sayed - World Editor



<a data-mil="7802381" href="https://www.archyde.com/cryptocurrency-prices-today-the-bleeding-continues-and-the-adults-are-the-most-affected/" title="Cryptocurrency ...s today.. the bleeding continues, and the “adults” are the most affected">XRP</a> Investors Enjoy <a href="https://telekomhilft.telekom.de/conversations/sonstiges/ich-m%C3%B6chte-t-onlinede-als-startseite-festlegen/6686bd7c4ae73561da807ca6" title="ich möchte t-online.de als Startseite festlegen">Gains</a>, But Warning Signals Emerge: A Deep dive

XRP Price Surge Fuels Investor Profits, But Risks Loom

The price of XRP has recently surpassed $3, resulting in approximately 94% of the circulating supply held at a profit, according to data analyzed by Glassnode. This significant increase-over 500% in the last nine months-indicates widespread gains among XRP investors.

However, market analysts caution that such high profitability often precedes a market correction or downturn. Historical precedents suggest that XRP may be nearing a peak, with potential for significant price declines.

Historical Parallels: 2018 and 2021 XRP Corrections

Previous instances of high XRP profitability have been followed by substantial price drops. In early 2018, after XRP reached a temporary high of $3.30 and over 90% of investors were in profit, a subsequent crash resulted in a 95% decline. A similar pattern was observed in april 2021, when the price retreated 85% after reaching $1.95 with over 90% of investors holding profitable positions.

This historical behavior implies that investors may be inclined to realize profits, possibly leading to increased selling pressure.

XRP Price and Profitability
XRP Price and relative share of XRP in profit.Source: Glassnode

NUPL Indicator signals Potential Peak

The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator further reinforces concerns about a possible XRP price peak. Currently, the NUPL for XRP is in the “Local Denial” zone, a typical occurrence shortly before or at market tops.

Similar NUPL levels were recorded at the end of 2017, when XRPS price was around $3.30, and again in April 2021, preceding the price decline from $1.95.

Current Market Structure Points to Potential Downturn

XRP is presently exhibiting a sideways movement within a descending triangle pattern. This is generally considered a bearish signal, formed by a series of lower highs converging towards horizontal support around $3.05. While the price briefly dipped below this level earlier this month,it quickly rebounded.

A break below $3.05 could trigger a decline to $2.39 by September, representing a 23.5% decrease. Though, sustained capital inflows-driven by institutional demand and broader market strength-could mitigate this selling pressure.

XRP Price chart
XRP Price Chart. Source: TradingView

Key XRP Metrics at a Glance

Metric Current Value (Aug 18, 2025) Significance
Profitability 93.92% Indicates the majority of holders are in profit.
NUPL Zone Local Denial Suggests a potential market top.
Support Level $3.05 critical price point to watch for a breakdown.
Potential Downside Target $2.39 Price level if support breaks.

Understanding NUPL and Market Cycles

The net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) is a crucial on-chain metric for assessing market sentiment and identifying potential turning points. It provides insight into whether network participants are collectively holding a profit or a loss on their XRP holdings. Understanding these cycles can help investors make more informed decisions.

Pro Tip: Always diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio to mitigate risk. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Frequently Asked Questions About XRP

  • What is XRP? XRP is a cryptocurrency designed for fast and low-cost international payments.
  • What does the NUPL indicator tell us about XRP? The NUPL indicator currently suggests that XRP may be approaching a market top.
  • What could cause XRP’s price to fall? A break below the $3.05 support level could trigger a price decline.
  • What is the potential upside for XRP? If the bulls break the resistance in the descending triangle, the price could climb to $6 or higher.
  • Is now a good time to buy XRP? Considering the current market indicators, it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before investing.

Are you anticipating a short-term correction in XRP, or do you believe ongoing institutional interest will sustain the price? Share your thoughts in the comments below!


Is the recent XRP price surge solely attributable to the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit progress, or are other factors playing a important role?

XRP’s Peak Performance: Is a Major Crash Imminent?

Understanding XRP’s Recent Surge

XRP, the cryptocurrency often associated with Ripple Labs, has experienced significant price gratitude in recent months. This surge has sparked debate within the crypto community: is this sustainable growth, or are we on the verge of a ample XRP price crash? Several factors contribute to this discussion, ranging from broader market trends to specific developments within the Ripple ecosystem. Analyzing these elements is crucial for investors considering XRP investment opportunities.

Key drivers Behind XRP’s Performance

Several factors have fueled XRP’s recent gains. These include:

Ripple vs.SEC Lawsuit Progress: The ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has been a major influence. Positive developments in Ripple’s favor have consistently triggered price increases. A partial victory for Ripple in July 2023, clarifying XRP’s status as not inherently a security, was a pivotal moment.

Increased Institutional Interest: Growing interest from institutional investors in cryptocurrency adoption and specifically in XRP’s cross-border payment capabilities has provided substantial support.

global Payment Solutions Demand: The demand for faster and cheaper international payment solutions continues to rise, positioning XRP as a viable option.It’s focus on efficient cross-border payments differentiates it from other cryptocurrencies.

Technical Indicators: Positive technical analysis signals, such as increasing trading volume and bullish chart patterns, have attracted traders and investors.

Recent Market Volatility & external Factors

The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and XRP is no exception. Recent events demonstrate this sensitivity. As reported on August 18, 2025, by TheStreet, tariffs imposed by former President Trump triggered a market-wide decline, impacting XRP significantly.

Trump Tariffs Impact (August 18, 2025): The recent tariffs led to a panic sell-off, resulting in over $1 million in short XRP positions being liquidated within four hours (Coinglass data). This highlights the vulnerability of even strong cryptocurrencies to macroeconomic events.

Broader Crypto Market Trends: The overall health of the Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) markets often influences XRP’s performance. A downturn in these leading cryptocurrencies can create a ripple effect.

Regulatory Uncertainty: Despite recent wins, regulatory uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrencies remains a significant risk factor. New regulations or unfavorable rulings could negatively impact XRP’s price.

Analyzing Potential Crash Scenarios

While XRP has demonstrated resilience,several scenarios could trigger a major crash:

  1. Adverse SEC Ruling: A negative ruling in the Ripple vs. SEC case could erase recent gains and lead to a significant price drop.
  2. Macroeconomic Shocks: Unexpected economic downturns, geopolitical instability, or further tariff implementations could trigger a broader market sell-off, impacting XRP.
  3. technical Breakdown: A breach of key support levels on XRP’s price chart could signal a trend reversal and initiate a downward spiral.
  4. Increased Competition: The emergence of competing payment solutions or cryptocurrencies with similar functionalities could erode XRP’s market share.

Risk Management Strategies for XRP investors

Protecting your XRP holdings requires a proactive approach to risk management:

Diversification: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple assets.

Stop-Loss Orders: Implement stop-loss orders to automatically sell your XRP if the price falls below a predetermined level,limiting potential losses.

Take Profit Orders: Set take-profit orders to automatically sell your XRP when it reaches a desired price target,securing your gains.

Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Invest a fixed amount of money in XRP at regular intervals, nonetheless of the price. This strategy helps mitigate the impact of volatility.

Stay Informed: Keep abreast of the latest news and developments related to XRP, Ripple, and the broader cryptocurrency market.

Real-World Example: XRP’s Response to SEC News

The immediate impact of the July 2023 partial victory for Ripple serves as a clear example. XRP’s price surged over 50% within 24 hours,demonstrating the market’s sensitivity to legal developments. Conversely, any negative news from the SEC typically results in an immediate price correction. This illustrates the importance of monitoring the legal landscape.

Benefits of Holding XRP (Long-Term Outlook)

Despite the risks, XRP offers several potential benefits for long-term investors:

Fast and Low-Cost Transactions: XRP’s technology enables significantly faster and cheaper cross-border payments compared to traditional methods.

Scalability: The XRP Ledger is designed to handle a high volume of transactions, making it suitable for large-scale payment networks.

RippleNet Adoption: Continued adoption of RippleNet by financial institutions could drive demand for XRP.

Potential for Future Growth: If Ripple successfully navigates the regulatory landscape and expands its partnerships, XRP has the potential for substantial future growth.

Practical Tips for Monitoring XRP

* Use Price Alert Tools: Set up price alerts on cryptocurrency exchanges or tracking websites to receive notifications when XRP reaches

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