2023 could be the hottest year, but they warn that 2024 will be worse

2023-08-15 02:48:00

US government climate experts have reported a 50/50 chance that 2023 will be the hottest year on record and warned that next year will be even worse. For its part, NASA confirmed that the month of July was the most suffocating on record globally.

Scientists from the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) expressed their concern about rapid climate change and the terrible consequences it is generating. In addition, these professionals pointed out that these effects are causing an increase in the “continuous heating”.

Sarah Kapnick, chief scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), confirmed: “To date, 2023 is the third warmest year on record.” And she detailed: “It is practically certain – more than 99% probability – that 2023 will be one of the five warmest years ever recorded, with a probability of almost 50% that 2023 will be the warmest of all.”

For his part, Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, added that 2024 may be even hotter than this year due to the Pacific warming phenomenon known as El Niño. Schmidt warned: “The biggest impact of El Niño will actually occur in 2024.” “We forecast that not only will 2023 be exceptionally warm and possibly a record year, but 2024 will be even warmer,” he stressed.

Heat wave in Mexico

For its part, according to the agency AFP, the European Union’s Copernicus climate observatory reported last week that July was the hottest month ever recorded on Earth, and Monday’s NOAA figures match European data. During the month of July, a global average temperature of 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels was recorded.

NOAA published that “the mean land surface temperature for July was 2.02 degrees Fahrenheit (1.2 degrees Celsius) above average, making it the warmest July in 174 years of record keeping.” .

Despite efforts, the Earth is on track to warm more than 2 degrees

  Heat wave in Argentina 20230309

Momentous effects that seem imperceptible

Kate Calvin, NASA’s chief scientist and senior climate adviser, stressed that “climate change is having an impact on people and ecosystems around the world.”

The specialist pointed out that “in addition to temperature changes, we experience other changes, such as the rise in sea level, the decrease in sea ice in the Arctic, forest fires, heavy rainfall, etc.”

The urban hell that global warming creates

Along the same lines and confirming Calvin’s statements, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration detailed that ocean surface temperatures reached a record in July for the fourth consecutive month as the El Niño conditions that emerged in June continued.

Looking pessimistically into the future, WMO Secretary General Petteri Taalas said: “The weather extremes suffered by millions of people in July are nothing more than the harsh reality of climate change and a preview of what the future holds for us. ”.

NT / ED

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