2023-07-28 22:26:00
2023/07/29 07:26 Weather news
As of 6:00 on Saturday, July 29, a large typhoon (Kanun) is moving northwest in the east of the Philippines. It will move north-northwest while intensifying, and it is likely to approach Okinawa and Amami in the first half of next week. Strict vigilance against heavy rains, storms, and high waves is required in the Nansei Islands.
▼ Typhoon No. 6 as of 6:00 on Saturday, July 29
Central location East of the Philippines
size class large
Strength class //
Movement Northwest 15 km/h
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed 18 m/s (near the center)
Maximum instantaneous wind speed 25 m/s
» Latest typhoon information
There is also a risk of a direct hit on the main island of Okinawa.
Looking at the forecast for Typhoon No. 6’s course, it is expected to move north-northwest for a while, then head south of Okinawa, and then change its course to west-northwest next week when it is blocked by the Pacific anticyclone. The typhoon is expected to develop into a powerful typhoon with a strong wind area as it moves north, and become a strong typhoon in the waters near Okinawa.
Due to the influence of the typhoon, the waves will be high in Okinawa and Amami from the weekend. Water accidents are more likely to occur due to high waves accompanied by swells and rip currents, so be sure to check the information before the typhoon approaches.
The typhoon is expected to come closest to Okinawa and Amami around July 31 (Monday) to August 1 (Tuesday). There is also a risk of a direct hit on the main island of Okinawa, and there is a high possibility of severe weather in Okinawa and Amami. Strict vigilance is required for heavy rain, storms, and high waves.
» Forecast weather map
Reference Results of simulations of paths calculated by meteorological agencies around the world
Each thin line in this figure represents the simulation result of the course calculated by meteorological agencies around the world. The results (members) obtained in the process of the ensemble forecast method are posted to give an image of the wide range of possible paths.
Comparing these members, we can see that there is a wide range of possible courses, from those moving westward in the South China Sea to those moving northward near Okinawa, and the certainty of the predicted course is low.
Depending on the course, it may affect Okinawa and other parts of Japan, but there is still some error in the forecast. The error is expected to shrink as the days pass, so please pay attention to future information.
» Forecast weather map
Watch out for high waves from Kanto to Kyushu next week
As the typhoon moves northward, there is concern that the waves will rise from Kanto to the Pacific Ocean side of Kyushu next week. If you plan to enjoy sea leisure such as swimming, please check the latest information from time to time.
Also, due to the moist air around the typhoon, it is expected that there will be heavy rains on the Pacific side of western Japan.
Probability of entering the storm zone of a typhoon
The probability of entering the storm zone of a typhoon within 120 hours is as follows. (Japan Meteorological Agency)
Amami region 62 %
Okinawa main island region 87 %
Northern/Central/Southern Main Island 86 %
Kerama and Aguni Islands 87 %
Kumejima 85 %
Daito Island area 29%
Miyakojima region 51 %
Yaeyama region 30 %
Ishigaki Island 30 %
Yonaguni Island 16 %
Three typhoons this month
Average number of typhoons
This year, typhoons No. 4 occurred in mid-July, and Typhoons No. 5 and No. 6 occurred in late July.The average number of typhoons in July is 3.7, which is a time when the number of typhoons increases rapidly in a normal year. This year, the number of typhoons is slightly lower than usual, but please prepare for typhoons and heavy rains in preparation for the coming season.
typhoon name
Typhoon names are prepared in advance by member countries of the international organization “Typhoon Committee”, etc., and are given in order of occurrence.
Typhoon No. 5’s name “Doksuri” was proposed by South Korea and is derived from the word for eagle.
Typhoon No. 6’s name “Khanun” was proposed by Thailand and is taken from the names of Thai fruits (jackfruit, jackfruit).
Typhoon No. 5 will soon become a tropical cyclone
A large typhoon No. 5 (Tokusuri) is moving north-northwest through Huazhong, China. It is expected to turn into a tropical depression today.
» Radar Typhoon Mode
Reference materials, etc.
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