4 Dufang City is not busy in the cold season in the north and south

The number of buildings bought and sold in Tainan and Kaohsiung last year showed a double-digit decline compared to the previous year. The picture shows a construction project near the Tainan Science Park.Reporter Liu Xuesheng/Photography

The six cities successively announced the number of buildings bought and sold in December last year and the whole year. The Bureau of Land Affairs of Taichung, Taoyuan, Tainan and Kaohsiung took the lead in announcing the statistics yesterday. Except for Taichung, which showed growth last year, the rest of the three cities all declined compared with the previous year. Among them, ” The two southern capitals, Tainan and Kaohsiung, experienced relatively large declines. Real estate brokers said that it is expected that the housing market will see a clear downward revision of prices this year, and that they may face a battle to defend 300,000 houses throughout the year.

Fang Zhongye pointed out that this year’s real estate market is under pressure from the revision of the Law on Land Equity and stagnation of inflation. Generally speaking, there are five main forces, including economic growth, post-epidemic recovery, inflation stabilization, The impact of interest rate hikes and policy backlash will affect changes in the housing market.

The land affairs bureaus of Taichung and other four capitals announced yesterday that the number of buildings sold and transferred in December last year showed a “monthly increase and yearly decrease”, indicating that the north is cold and the south is cold, and the peak season is not busy. Compared with November last year, Taichung saw the highest increase of 21.3%. Compared with the same month of the previous year, Tainan declined by 26.4% and Kaohsiung dropped by 45.5%. Nanshi hit a new low for the same period in the past 14 years, and Gaoshi hit a new low for the same period in the past 11 years.

In addition, the number of transferred buildings in the four cities last year was 44,198 in Taoyuan, a decrease of 5.6% compared to the previous year; 50,972 in Taichung, an increase of 1.9%; Tainan 23,091 buildings, a decrease of 13.6 percent; 37,117 buildings in Kaohsiung, a decrease of 17.3 percent.

According to expert analysis, the real estate market has entered the traditional peak season, but the peak season is not busy. It is still in a cooling-off period. However, the four capitals seem to have a bottoming trend in the short term. It is obvious that after the real estate market cools down, some homeowners feel that if they are willing to make a small price, they can still exchange The transaction, so the key to the transaction is the price. However, compared with the same period last year, the volume is still large, and the buying momentum has not fully recovered. It is estimated that the transfer volume last year will fall at about 320,000 units.

Chen Bingchen, director of the Global Real Estate Intelligence Office, said that in the first half of last year, the real estate market continued its bullish momentum in 2021. There is no suspense that it is slowing down in line with the overall environment. Whether it is a traditional hot spot, a repainting area, or a hotspot where the topic industry is stationed, it will not be spared. The decline in Nanerdu, which has been rising rapidly in the past two years, is the most obvious. It is obvious that the topic of TSMC has passed the heat, and it has not yet settled in, which will not help the real benefits in real life.

Observing the current market situation, Lang Meinan, deputy manager of our housing planning and research office, said that since the Central Bank raised interest rates, the buying momentum in the housing market has cooled down significantly. In the fourth quarter of last year, negative factors prevailed. Buyers are weak in chasing prices, and some sellers are reluctant to sell. , There are also some sellers who just bought at a relatively low point in the real estate market. Although the current price is unable to rise, they have begun to have good products on the market, and there is room for bargaining.

Chen Bingchen pointed out that looking at the four capitals, there were frequent reports of bad news last year, and the volume reduction gear was established. It is estimated that the annual transfer volume fell to nearly 320,000 buildings. As for this year, there is no good news in the market at present. Instead, there are factors that are unfavorable to the general economy such as the revision of the law on land rights regulations, continuous interest rate hikes, domestic presidential elections, global wars, and inflation. It is meaningless for builders to support prices. It is expected that prices will be clear this year. Revised downward, facing the possibility of a 300,000-building defense war throughout the year, the price and volume will both fall until 2024 for further observation.

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