Japan’s Shinzo Abe Backed as Favorite for Next Prime Minister, Despite Election Defeat, Poll Indicates

August 25, 2025

prime Minister Ishiba‘s Popularity Rises After coalition Setback

Tokyo – In a surprising turn of events, Japanese Prime Minister shigeru Ishiba has experienced a notable surge in public support, according to the latest public opinion poll conducted by the Yomiuri newspaper. This increase comes despite his ruling coalition losing its parliamentary majority in July.

The survey reveals that support for Ishiba’s Cabinet has climbed to 39 percent, representing a significant 17-percentage-point increase from the previous month’s assessment conducted in the wake of the upper house election. Concurrently, the disapproval rate has fallen significantly, dropping from 67 percent in July to 50 percent.

Economic Policies Fuel Positive Shift

Analysts suggest that several key factors are contributing to this revitalization in public sentiment. These include the recent triumphant negotiation of a trade agreement with the United States and proactive government interventions aimed at addressing rising living costs.

Specifically, the government’s announcement of increased domestic rice production is intended to counter escalating rice prices, a staple food in Japan. This move appears to have resonated positively with the public, alleviating concerns about food security and affordability. Japan’s consumer price index rose 3.3% in July 2023, according to Trading Economics data, highlighting the sensitivity of the issue.

Resignation Calls Subside

Following the recent electoral defeat, prime Minister Ishiba firmly declared his intention to remain in office, dismissing calls from some within the Liberal Democratic Party for his resignation.

The Yomiuri poll indicates a shift in public opinion regarding this matter as well. The percentage of respondents who believe Ishiba should step down has decreased from 54 percent last month to 42 percent. Conversely, support for him remaining in his position has risen from 35 percent to 50 percent.

Key figures: Ishiba’s Approval Ratings

Metric	July (Post-Election)	August (Current)
cabinet Approval	22%	39%
Cabinet Disapproval	67%	50%
Call for Resignation	54%	42%
Support to Stay in Office	35%	50%

Understanding Japanese political Trends

Japan’s political landscape has been marked by periods of considerable stability under the long-ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). Though, recent elections have shown signs of increasing voter volatility and a willingness to consider option political forces.

Did You Know? The Japanese Prime Minister is not directly elected by the people, but rather chosen by the Diet (Japan’s parliament).

Economic issues consistently play a crucial role in shaping public opinion in Japan, particularly concerning the cost of living and the nation’s trade relationships. The government’s ability to address these concerns effectively frequently enough dictates its level of public support.

Pro Tip: Staying informed about crucial economic indicators like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and trade balances can provide valuable insight into Japanese political trends.

frequently Asked Questions About Ishiba’s approval

• What factors contributed to the rise in Ishiba’s approval ratings? The trade deal with the US and measures to combat rising rice prices appear to be major influences.
• What was the public reaction to ishiba after the election loss? Initially, there were strong calls for his resignation, but this sentiment has diminished.
• What is the current level of support for Ishiba’s Cabinet? Current support stands at 39 percent, according to the recent Yomiuri poll.
• How has public opinion shifted regarding Ishiba stepping down? Fewer people now believe he should resign, with support for him remaining in office increasing.
• What is the significance of the rice production increase? It’s a direct response to rising food prices and aims to ensure food security for the population.

What are your thoughts on the recent shifts in Japanese public opinion? How do you believe these changes will affect future policy decisions?

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What factors are contributing to Shinzo Abe’s continued popularity despite the LDP’s recent election setback?

Recent Political Shifts & Public Sentiment

Despite a recent election setback for his Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is currently favored by a significant portion of the Japanese public to return to the position of Prime Minister, according to recent polling data. This surprising resurgence in support comes amidst ongoing discussions about Japan’s economic recovery, national security concerns, and the future of its constitutional framework. The data highlights a complex political landscape and a potential shift in voter priorities. Key terms driving searches include “Japanese politics,” “Shinzo Abe return,” and “LDP leadership.”

Polling Data Breakdown: Abe’s Popularity

Recent surveys conducted across Japan reveal a consistent trend:

Favorability Ratings: Abe consistently receives higher favorability ratings than potential rivals within the LDP. Polls indicate approximately 35-40% of voters view him favorably, a substantial led over other contenders.

Leadership Qualities: Voters cite Abe’s perceived strong leadership, experience in international diplomacy, and commitment to economic revitalization (Abenomics) as key reasons for their support.

Trust in Economic Policy: A significant percentage of respondents believe Abe is best equipped to address Japan’s economic challenges, including deflation and stagnant wage growth.

National Security Focus: concerns over regional security, particularly regarding North Korea and China, are driving support for Abe’s hawkish stance on defense and national security. searches for “Japan defense policy” and “East Asia security” are trending upwards.

Analyzing the Election Results & LDP Strategy

The LDP’s recent election performance, while not a landslide victory, wasn’t a complete failure. The party retained a majority in the Diet, albeit a slimmer one. This outcome has prompted internal debate within the LDP regarding its future direction.

Internal Faction Dynamics: The LDP is comprised of several factions, each with its own leader and agenda. Abe’s faction holds considerable influence, and his potential candidacy is viewed as a unifying force.

Potential Leadership Challenges: While Abe is the frontrunner, other potential candidates include current LDP leadership figures. These individuals are actively positioning themselves as viable alternatives, emphasizing different policy priorities.

Coalition Building: Forming a stable coalition government will be crucial for the next Prime Minister. The LDP will likely need to seek support from smaller parties to maintain a majority.

The Impact of “Abenomics” and Economic Policy

Shinzo Abe’s signature economic policy, “Abenomics,” remains a central point of discussion. While its initial impact was significant, its long-term effects are debated.

Three Arrows of Abenomics: The policy consisted of three key components: aggressive monetary easing, fiscal stimulus, and structural reforms.

Mixed Results: While Abenomics initially boosted the stock market and weakened the yen, its impact on wage growth and inflation has been limited.

Future Economic Direction: A key question is whether abe would continue with abenomics or pursue a different economic strategy if he were to return to power.Related searches include “japan economic outlook” and “Abenomics effectiveness.”

Ancient Context: Abe’s Previous Tenures

Shinzo Abe holds the distinction of being Japan’s longest-serving Prime minister. His previous tenures (2006-2007 and 2012-2020) were marked by significant policy changes and international engagement.

Constitutional Revision Efforts: Abe was a strong advocate for revising Japan’s pacifist constitution, a controversial issue that continues to divide public opinion.

Strengthening US-Japan Alliance: Abe prioritized strengthening the alliance with the United States, viewing it as crucial for regional security.

Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP): Abe played a key role in negotiating the TPP trade agreement, although Japan’s participation has evolved since then. (See: Security Concerns and Foreign Policy Implications

Japan faces a complex security environment, with growing concerns about North Korea’s nuclear program and China’s increasing assertiveness in the region.

Defense Spending: Abe is likely to advocate for increased defense spending and a more proactive security posture.

Regional Alliances: Strengthening alliances with the United States, australia, and other regional partners will be a priority.

China Relations: Managing relations with china will be a delicate balancing act, requiring both engagement and deterrence. Searches for “Japan China relations” and “North Korea threat” are increasing.

Potential Challenges and Roadblocks to Premiership

Despite his current popularity, Abe faces several potential challenges in his bid to become Prime Minister again.

Health Concerns: Abe’s health has been a subject of speculation,and any health issues could derail his candidacy.

Public Fatigue: Some voters may be reluctant to support a leader who has already served for an extended period.