Nate Silver’s website Five Thirty Ages, a world-renowned American statistician. which was nicknamed the calculating wizard Take supercomputers to process and find opportunities to get through to the quarter-finals, semi-finals to the UEFA Champions League championship after every team has played the last 16 teams, the first match.
Supercomputers analyzed that Bayern Munich had the highest chance of reaching the title at 22 per cent following a 1-0 win over Paris Saint-Germain, while Manchester City had a 22 per cent chance of reaching the title. 21 percent
As for Liverpool, who in the first game lost to Real Madrid Karang Anfield 2-5, has a chance of qualifying for the last 8 teams, only 2 percent, while the chances of reaching the championship are less than 1 percent.
However, there is an interesting statistic: the last manager who can bring the team back into the knockout round after losing the first game with a distance of 3 goals or more is Liverpool’s Jurgen Klopp after leading ” Reds” beat Barcelona 4-0 after losing the first game 0-3 in the 2018/19 semi-finals.
Team Opportunity to enter 8 teams chance of qualifying Chance to qualify for the final Chance to win the championship
1. Bayern 86% 58% 38% 22%
2. Man City 73% 51% 34% 21%
3. Real Madrid 98% 55% 30% 15%
4. Napoli 98% 51% 24% 11%
5. Benfica >99% 45% 19% 8%
6. Inter Milan 66% 28% 11% 4%
7. Dortmund 64% 25% 9% 4%
8. Leipzig 27% 14% 7% 3%
9. Chelsea 36% 16% 7% 3%
10. Spurs 45% 17% 6% 2%
11. Porto 34% 15% 6% 2%
12. PSG 14% 8% 4% 2%
13. AC Milan 55% 17% 5% 2%
14. Liverpool 2% 1% <1% <1%
15. Frankfurt 2% <1% <1% <1%
16. Club Brugge <1% <1% <1% <1%