Biden’s military intervention remarks… Tensions in the Taiwan Strait escalate

Suspicion of China’s ‘One China’ attempt to make famous… Interested in raising the level of armed protests?

President Biden at a press conference after the US-Japan summit

(Tokyo AFP = Yonhap News) US President Joe Biden (79), visiting Japan, speaks during a press conference after the US-Japan bilateral summit at the State Guest House in Akasaka, Tokyo, on the 23rd. 2022.5.23 [email protected]

(Beijing = Yonhap News) Correspondent Cho Jun-hyung = The aftermath of US President Joe Biden’s remarks that he would take military intervention to defend Taiwan in case of emergency seems daunting.

At a joint press conference for the US-Japan summit held in Tokyo on the 23rd, President Biden answered, “Yes. That is our promise.”

“It is not appropriate to think that Taiwan can be occupied by force,” he said.

U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin immediately began to evolve, saying the president’s remarks emphasized the Taiwan Relations Act, which provides Taiwan with a means of self-defense, but China is taking the situation seriously.

Following strong responses from the Chinese government, such as “Do not stand in the face of confrontation with 1.4 billion people” (Wang Won-bin, spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs on the 23rd) and “If you play with fire, you will burn to death” (Zhou Fenglian, spokesman for the Taiwan Office of the State Council on the 23rd). Some are raising suspicions that the ‘one China’ policy is an attempt to make it famous.

It can be seen as a false statement once, but when President Biden’s similar remarks are repeated, it is suspected that there are policy implications.

At a CNN Town Hall event that was broadcast live in October last year, President Biden said “yes” and “we have a duty to do so” when asked if the United States would defend itself if China attacks Taiwan.

The Global Times, a sister newspaper of the People’s Daily, the official newspaper of the Communist Party of China, evaluated on the 24th that “Biden’s remarks about military intervention in Taiwan are not a mistake, but a signal to undermine one Chinese policy.”

“Recent US actions toward Taiwan show that US strategic ambiguity tends to shift to clarity,” the report said. pointed out

In addition, the US State Department also deleted the contents of ‘Taiwan is a part of China’ and ‘the United States does not support Taiwan independence’ from the ‘Fact Sheet of bilateral relations between the US and Taiwan’ released on the 5th.

The situation in which the independence-oriented Democratic Progressive Party of Taiwan sees this trend as an ‘opportunity’ and China as a ‘crisis’ is a factor that increases tensions in the Taiwan Strait.

First of all, President Biden’s remarks can be seen as taking into account the military importance of Taiwan under the US Indo-Pacific strategy for deterring China.

Experts agree that the US is fully aware of the military importance of Taiwan, which is called an ‘non-invasive carrier’ in the US-China naval battle in the Western Pacific. President Biden may have expected the effect of deterring China’s military action against Taiwan by expressing his will not to hand over the vested interests to China.

Conversely, some scholars in China are even raising an extreme view that ‘the US is stimulating China with the intention of making China fall into ‘Taiwan’s swamp’ just like Russia, which fell into a bog after the invasion of Ukraine.”

The immediate concern is China’s future response. China, which has recently responded with frequent naval and air force demonstrations around Taiwan to strengthen exchanges between the United States and Taiwan, is paying attention to whether or not to raise the level of armed protests one step further, judging that the United States has approached the ‘red line’ related to Taiwan.

And China, which does not rule out the possibility of unification by force against Taiwan, seems to be forced to regard the possibility of US military intervention as an important consideration in Taiwan-related actions.

In a phone call with Yonhap News on the 24th, Lee Young-hak, a research fellow at the Korea Defense Research Institute, said, “The US intention to deter China through regional military influence seems clear, and in that context, the US considers Taiwan as an important card of deterring China. “However, the United States may try to manage the situation so that a war does not actually occur by using Taiwanese cards as much as possible.”

“The most important factor in determining whether China will attack Taiwan will be whether or not Taiwan has declared independence,” said Lee. It will have an impact on determining the ‘strength’ of military action.”

Chinese KJ-500 early warning aircraft unveiled by Taiwan's Ministry of Defense
Chinese KJ-500 early warning aircraft unveiled by Taiwan’s Ministry of Defense

[타이베이 EPA=연합뉴스 자료사진] A photo of a Chinese KJ-500 early warning aircraft released by Taiwan’s Ministry of Defense on June 16, 2021. [email protected]

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