Bologna vs Parma: In-Depth Match Analysis and Betting Strategies

Bologna to Defend Italian Cup Title Against Parma in Round-of-16 Clash

Bologna, Italy – Bologna will begin their defense of the Italian Cup title with a round-of-16 fixture against Parma at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara on Thursday. Parma, having already surpassed their previous season’s performance of first-round elimination, will be looking to cause an upset.

The hosts recently saw their impressive 12-game unbeaten streak come to an end with a 3-1 home defeat to Cremonese in Serie A.Riccardo Orsolini managed to pull one back for Bologna from the penalty spot, but Jamie Vardy’s second goal of the match secured the victory for Cremonese.

Simultaneously occurring, The Crusaders also experienced a setback, losing 2-0 at home to Udinese in Serie A, ending a two-game unbeaten run.They’ve struggled to find the back of the net in recent matches, failing to score in four games, and will aim to rediscover their scoring touch.

Bologna vs parma Head-to-Head and Key Numbers:

* The two teams have a long history, having met 50 times across all competitions, with 22 matches ending in draws. Bologna holds a slight edge with 15 wins to Parma’s 13.
* Their most recent Serie A encounter in November saw Bologna secure a 3-1 away victory.
* A critically important trend in their matchups is high-scoring games, with over 2.5 goals scored in six of their last eight meetings.
* Parma’s away form has been inconsistent, with only one win in six away games this season.
* Bologna demonstrated strong defensive capabilities in last season’s Coppa Italia,keeping four clean sheets in five matches.
* Parma has struggled in this fixture since 201

Based on the provided text, what is the probability of a home win for Bologna, considering the general Serie B statistics?

Bologna vs Parma: in-Depth Match Analysis adn betting Strategies

Recent Form & Head-to-Head Record

Analyzing the recent form of both Bologna and Parma is crucial for informed football betting. Bologna has demonstrated a solid home record in Serie B, consistently scoring and often securing wins against mid-table opponents. Parma, while possessing attacking talent, has shown inconsistency, particularly in away matches.

Here’s a fast look at their last five matches (as of December 4, 2025):

Bologna:

* W-L-W-D-W (Average goals scored: 1.8, Average goals conceded: 1.0)

* Home Form: Strong, averaging 2.2 goals per game.

* Key Players: Joshua Zirkzee (striker), Lewis Ferguson (midfielder).

Parma:

* L-W-D-L-W (Average goals scored: 1.6, Average goals conceded: 1.4)

* Away Form: Erratic, struggling to maintain defensive solidity.

* Key Players: Dennis Man (winger), Adrian Benedyczak (striker).

Historically, the head-to-head record favors Bologna slightly, with 3 wins in the last 6 encounters. Parma has secured 2 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw. Recent clashes have been tight, often decided by a single goal, making Serie B predictions challenging.

Tactical Breakdown: Bologna’s Strengths & parma’s Weaknesses

Bologna typically employs a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on quick transitions and exploiting space in the attacking third. Their midfield is well-organized, providing a solid platform for attacking moves and offering defensive cover. A key strength lies in their set-piece delivery, consistently creating scoring opportunities.

Parma, usually lining up in a 4-2-3-1, relies heavily on individual brilliance, particularly from their wingers. Though, their defensive structure can be vulnerable, especially against teams with pace and movement. they frequently enough struggle to break down compact defenses, lacking a consistent plan B when their initial attacks are thwarted. Analyzing team tactics is vital for accurate match previews.

Key Tactical Battles:

* bologna’s Midfield vs. Parma’s Attack: Ferguson’s ability to disrupt Parma’s playmakers will be critical.

* Zirkzee vs. Parma’s center-Backs: The Parma defense will need to contain Zirkzee’s movement and finishing ability.

* Parma’s Wingers vs. Bologna’s Full-Backs: This duel will determine which side can gain an advantage in the wide areas.

Betting Strategies & Odds Analysis

Based on current form and tactical analysis, several betting opportunities present themselves. Odds (as of December 4, 2025, sourced from major bookmakers) are approximate and subject to change:

* Match Result: Bologna Win – 2.10, Draw – 3.40, Parma Win – 3.60. A Bologna victory appears the most likely outcome, given their home advantage and Parma’s inconsistent away form.

* Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals – 1.95, Under 2.5 Goals – 1.90. Considering both teams’ scoring records, over 2.5 goals seems a reasonable bet.

* Both teams to Score (BTTS): Yes – 1.85, No – 2.05.Given Bologna’s strong attack and Parma’s vulnerability,BTTS – Yes is a viable option.

* Correct Score: 2-1 to Bologna – 7.50. This reflects the expected outcome based on the analysis.

* Player Props: Joshua Zirkzee to score anytime – 2.50. Zirkzee is Bologna’s main goal threat.

Value Bets:

* Bologna to win and Over 1.5 Goals: This combines two likely outcomes for increased odds.

* First Half Over 0.5 Goals: Both teams tend to start matches aggressively.

Injury & Suspension News (December 4, 2025)

Staying updated on team news is paramount. As of today:

Bologna:

* Defender Riccardo Calafiori is suspended due to accumulated yellow cards.

* Midfielder Roberto Soriano is doubtful with a muscle injury.

Parma:

* Winger gabriel Charpentier is ruled out with a knee injury.

* Defender Alessandro Circati is available after serving a one-match suspension.

These absences could substantially impact team selection and performance. Calafiori’s suspension weakens Bologna’s defense, while Charpentier’s absence diminishes Parma’s attacking options.

Historical Data & Trends: Serie B Insights

Looking at historical serie B statistics reveals some interesting trends:

* Home Advantage: Home teams win approximately 45% of Serie B matches.

* Goal Scoring: The average goals per game in Serie B is 2.6.

* Draws: Approximately