Brazil Coffee & Vietnam Exports: Price Update 2024

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Coffee Price Volatility: Brazil‘s Bumper Crop Sends Ripples Through Global Markets

The global coffee price landscape is experiencing significant shifts this week, primarily driven by Brazil’s exceptional harvest and evolving international trade dynamics. As of July 4, 2025, these factors are creating both challenges and opportunities for producers and consumers worldwide. Let’s delve into the specifics of what’s happening in the coffee market.

Vietnamese Coffee Prices Remain Steady Amidst Global Fluctuations

In Vietnam, a survey conducted early this morning revealed that coffee prices in the key growing regions have remained relatively stable, ranging between 94,700 and 95,200 VND/kg. Specifically, Lam Dong province holds steady at 94,700 VND/kg, while Dak Lak, Gia Lai, and Dak Nong provinces all see prices negotiated around 95,200 VND/kg.

Brazilian Harvest Impacts Global Coffee Market Dynamics

Coffee market experts attribute the downward pressure on global coffee prices primarily to favorable weather conditions and a bumper crop in brazil, the world’s leading coffee producer. This increase in supply is compounded by the strengthening of the Brazilian Réal against the US dollar, which reached an annual high in June, leading Brazilian producers to curtail sales due to reduced conversion margins. This interplay of factors is reshaping the global coffee market.

Did You No? Brazil accounts for approximately 40% of the world’s coffee production, making its harvest a critical factor in global coffee prices.

Vietnamese Coffee Exports Show Strong Performance, Face Growing Competition

Despite the global price pressures, Vietnam’s coffee exports have shown impressive results in the first six months of 2025, reaching $5.5 billion and exceeding the annual target for the first half of the year. While the United States remains the primary export market for Vietnamese coffee, increasing competition from other sources is prompting local partners to explore alternative supply options. This evolving landscape necessitates strategic adaptations in Vietnam’s coffee industry.

robusta and Arabica Coffee Prices Experience Downturn

On July 4, 2025, robusta coffee prices on the London Stock Exchange experienced notable fluctuations. September 2025 contracts decreased to $3,602 USD/ton, a drop of $58 USD/ton or 1.58%. Similarly,November 2025 contracts fell to $3,551 USD/ton,January 2026 contracts to $3,508 USD/ton,March 2026 contracts to $3,480 USD/ton,and May 2026 contracts to $3,453 USD/ton.The Arabica coffee market in New York followed a similar trend, signaling a broad downturn influenced by supply and demand dynamics.

Potential Trade Impacts on Coffee Exchanges

Adding another layer of complexity, announcements regarding potential trade agreements between the U.S. and Vietnam could significantly impact coffee exchanges.Proposed tariffs of 20% on all goods imported into the United States and 40% on transit goods could reshape the competitive landscape for Vietnamese coffee in the near future.

Pro Tip: Stay informed about evolving trade policies to anticipate potential impacts on coffee prices and supply chains.

Brazil’s Favorable Weather and Indonesian Export Surge influence Market

Weather conditions in Brazil are currently not posing a threat to coffee production, and historically low global stocks are expected to be offset by increased supply in the coming months. Harvesting in Brazil is progressing rapidly. In Indonesia, robusta coffee exports from Sumatra surged by 392.95% in May, with total exports for the first two months of the 2025-26 campaign up by 373.61% compared to the previous year. While favorable weather and high long-term Robusta prices drove this increase, concerns about potential drought in certain coffee-growing areas remain.

Luckin Coffee Enters the U.S. Market

The Chinese coffee chain, Luckin Coffee, has

What are the key long-term factors influencing the price stability of coffee exported from Brazil adn Vietnam,considering the 2024 market trends ?

The global coffee market is a dynamic arena, shaped by the production and export activities of major players like Brazil and Vietnam. Understanding the interplay of their strategies, production volumes, and market conditions is crucial for anyone invested in the coffee industry. This article provides a comprehensive coffee price update 2024, focusing on the crucial roles of brazil coffee and Vietnam coffee exports.

Brazil’s Influence in the Coffee Market

Brazil is a dominant force in the global coffee landscape, consistently ranking as the world’s largest producer and exporter. Its vast agricultural land, diverse climate, and elegant farming practices contribute considerably to the availability of coffee beans globally. Brazil leverages advanced cultivation and lasting coffee farming practices, vital for a consistent supply of Arabica coffee.

Key Factors Affecting Brazilian Coffee Exports

Several factors influence Brazil’s coffee exports and, consequently, coffee prices:

• Weather Conditions: Droughts, frosts, and excessive rainfall can devastate coffee crops, reducing yields and driving up prices.
• Harvest Cycles: Coffee production follows a biennial cycle,where high-yield years alternate with lower-yield periods.
• Global Demand: Growing demand from emerging markets and established coffee-consuming nations fuels the need for consistent supply.
• Currency Fluctuations: The Brazilian Real’s value against the US dollar impacts the competitiveness of Brazilian coffee exports.

Arabica coffee beans from Brazil are highly sought after globally for their flavor profiles and versatility in coffee blends. Monitoring the performance of the Brazilian economy is crucial to understanding the supply and price fluctuations in the coffee market.

Vietnam’s Role in the Global Coffee Trade

Vietnam is the world’s leading producer of Robusta coffee, which is a key ingredient to many blends, especially when used for the strength of the flavor. Vietnam’s capacity to export massive volume makes is a major player by supplying coffee beans at competitive prices. vietnam’s production is strongly tied to regional weather patterns and efficient farming methods.

Vietnam Coffee Export Dynamics

Hear are the primary aspects controlling Vietnam coffee prices and export volumes:

• Robusta Dominance: Vietnam’s focus on robusta contributes to providing a consistent level in the coffee supply chain.
• Production Costs: Competitive labor costs and farming practices allow Vietnam to maintain low production costs.
• Infrastructure and Logistics: Vietnam’s efficient export infrastructure supports the swift movement of coffee beans to international markets.
• Trade Agreements: International deals provide chances for vietnamese coffee commodities in various countries.

Robusta coffee from Vietnam is crucial for the strength and bold flavor, particularly in espresso blends and instant coffees, so its export performance directly impacts coffee pricing.

Coffee Price Analysis 2024

Coffee prices in 2024 are influenced by a blend of factors specific to Brazil and Vietnam. Key coffee commodity market indicators and real-time data points should be considered:

Comparing Brazil and Vietnam Coffee Prices

The price of Brazil coffee and Vietnam coffee varies. Arabica, primarily produced in Brazil, generally commands a premium over Robusta, which Vietnam primarily produces. The following WordPress table offers a comparison of price factors:

Feature	Brazil (Arabica)	Vietnam (Robusta)
Production Type	Large,established	Large,evolving
Market Demand	High worldwide	Strong,Rising
Price Variance	Higher,Influenced by weather	Lower,More consistent
Primary Use	Specialty Coffees/Blends	Espresso,Instant coffee blends

Updated prices directly reflect factors such as drought,international demand and export volumes of coffee beans.

Factors Influencing coffee Price Volatility

Several factors contribute to coffee price volatility, including:

• Global Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can decrease demand, while economic growth can increase it.
• Geopolitical Instability: Conflicts in regions affecting trade routes or production impacts supply.
• Futures Market: Speculation in the commodities market can drive price fluctuations.
• Supply Chain Disruptions: Transportation issues or labor disputes can affect prices.

For those managing global coffee market operations, it’s crucial to stay current with these factors to manage risk effective.

Practical Tips for Coffee Industry Stakeholders

For businesses involved in the coffee industry, here are some valuable strategies to navigate the complexities of 2024:

• Monitor Market Reports: Regularly analyze the world Coffee organization and other resources for coffee price updates.
• Diversify Sourcing: Reduce reliance on single suppliers and consider sourcing from both Brazil and Vietnam.
• Hedge Against Risk: Utilize futures contracts and other financial tools to protect against price volatility.
• Build Strong Supplier Relationships: Maintain close ties with coffee farmers,exporters,and importers.

By embracing adaptability and diligence, coffee businesses can navigate the challenging market conditions of 2024 and flourish.