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A major nor’easter is poised to bring blizzard conditions to the Boston area late this weekend into Monday, potentially dumping over a foot of snow and unleashing powerful winds. The storm, developing off the North Carolina coastline, is expected to rapidly intensify as it moves north-northeasterly, bringing a complex and hazardous weather situation to Massachusetts and surrounding states.
The upcoming storm differs from January’s snowfall event, which featured light and fluffy snow. This system will bring heavier, wetter snow, particularly along the coast and Cape Cod, increasing the risk of power outages and even roof collapses. Combined with sustained winds, blizzard conditions – characterized by reduced visibility and dangerous travel – are almost certain in many areas. Coastal flooding is also a significant concern during high tide cycles.
Storm Intensification and Track
Meteorologists describe the storm as a “bomb cyclone,” a term for a rapidly deepening low-pressure system. This intensification will occur as the storm travels north, with the center expected to pass either directly over or just southeast of the benchmark location of 40N/70W – a position historically favorable for classic New England nor’easters.
The storm will initiate to take shape on Sunday and will undergo “bombogenesis” as it moves north-northeasterly Sunday night and Monday, rapidly strengthening into a major winter storm.
Timing and Snowfall Forecast
The first snowflakes could arrive as early as just after sunset on Sunday. The steadiest snowfall is forecast to spread across the region from south to north between 10 p.m. Sunday and 3 a.m. Monday. By Monday morning, the storm will be in full force, with snowfall rates potentially exceeding 1 inch per hour for several consecutive hours, making travel extremely dangerous.
Eastern Massachusetts, particularly areas along and east of I-95 – including the North and South Shores, Boston Metro, Cape Cod, and the Islands – are predicted to receive 10-16 inches of snow. West of the Worcester Hills, snowfall totals are expected to be lower, ranging from 6-10 inches, with amounts decreasing further inland. Forecasters note the potential for “extreme banding,” meaning localized areas could see significantly higher snowfall totals, while nearby areas receive less.
Wind and Coastal Concerns
Strong winds are a major component of this storm. Northeast gusts are forecast to reach 55-70 mph or higher across southeastern Massachusetts, Cape Cod, and the Islands. Just inland, gusts could range from 40-55 mph. These powerful winds, combined with heavy snowfall, create a high likelihood of blizzard conditions along the immediate coastline and over Cape Cod and the Islands. An official blizzard requires visibility of less than ¼ mile for at least three consecutive hours, accompanied by sustained or frequent wind gusts exceeding 35 mph.
Power outages are a significant risk due to the combination of heavy snow and strong winds. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is also expected during Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning high tides, with potential for significant splashover, coastal inundation, and beach erosion. Peak tides are anticipated around 3 p.m. Monday and again between 3-4 a.m. Tuesday.
Residents throughout the region should prepare for potentially dangerous conditions. Stay informed about the latest forecasts and heed any warnings issued by local authorities. The combination of heavy snow, strong winds, and coastal flooding poses a serious threat to public safety.
As the storm approaches, it’s crucial to stay updated with the latest information. The situation remains dynamic, and further adjustments to the forecast are possible. Monitor conditions closely and prepare accordingly.
Share this information with your friends and family, and let us understand in the comments how you are preparing for the storm.