Societe Generale analysts are predicting gold prices will reach $5,000 per ounce, citing increasing geopolitical instability and a shift in investor sentiment, according to a report released this week.
The French investment bank’s forecast, reported by Kitco, attributes the anticipated surge to a growing “fear trade” within the gold market. Even as acknowledging the psychological element driving demand, the report does not detail specific geopolitical events expected to trigger the price increase.
Deutsche Bank released its commodities outlook for 2025, though specific price targets were not detailed in available reports. The bank’s analysis suggests a complex interplay of supply and demand factors will shape commodity markets in the coming year.
Meanwhile, the supply outlook for oil, gas, and carbon dioxide is becoming more comfortable, according to ING THINK. The analysis indicates increased production and efficient resource management are contributing to a more stable supply landscape for these key energy commodities. This contrasts with the anticipated scarcity driving the Societe Generale gold forecast.
Agricultural commodity price forecasting is also undergoing refinement, with researchers exploring the application of deep learning techniques to improve accuracy. A study published in Nature details methods for enhancing predictive models, potentially offering greater insight into future price fluctuations in the agricultural sector.
Methanol market dynamics are also being closely watched, with Argus Media providing insights into price trends and trade flows. The methanol market is influenced by factors such as feedstock costs and demand from various industrial applications.
As of today, neither Societe Generale nor any major central bank has issued a statement responding to potential market volatility related to the $5,000 gold price prediction. A scheduled meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee is set for March 19-20, 2026, where monetary policy and economic forecasts will be discussed.
