Despite Putin, oil ends down, worried about demand

Oil prices ended lower on Wednesday as the market preferred signs of weakening demand in the United States to the threat of an escalation in the Ukrainian conflict.

• Read also: Surprised by an aggressive Fed, Wall Street ends down

The price of a barrel of Brent from the North Sea, for delivery in November, lost 0.87%, to close at 89.83 dollars. The benchmark for European crude had not finished below 90 dollars for almost two weeks.

As for the barrel of American West Texas Intermediate (WTI), also for delivery in November, which was the first day of use as a benchmark contract, it dropped 1.19% to 82.94 dollars.

WTI approached $81.20 on Wednesday, its lowest level since January, reached in early September.

Classes had started to take off earlier in the day, after the intervention of President Vladimir Putin, who announced the “partial” mobilization of some 300,000 Russian reservists and mentioned the use of nuclear weapons to “protect Russia” .

These comments came the day after the announcement on Tuesday of the urgent holding of a “referendum” on annexation by Russia in four regions of Ukraine.

In the process, Brent gained up to 3.17% and WTI, 3.26%.

But the trend reversed after the release of the weekly report from the US Energy Information Agency (EIA).

It showed that commercial crude oil reserves had increased by 1.1 million barrels, while Bloomberg’s consensus forecast was for an increase of 2.2 million.

For Matt Smith, of Kpler, this lower than announced increase is, in part, due to the jump in the refinery utilization rate, which reached 93.6%, against 91.5% a week earlier, at most. high for a month.

As for the rise in inventories itself, it is largely explained by that of imports, which rose by 20% over one week, while exports remained stable.

While a lower than expected rise in commercial stocks and a ramp-up of refineries are two elements that are likely to support prices, operators have taken more notice of the further decline in demand for gasoline.

On average over four weeks – an indicator followed more by brokers than weekly figures – it is nearly 8% below its level for the same period last year.

Another unfavorable sign for prices, gasoline inventories rose by 1.6 million barrels, or triple the consensus of analysts (1,000,000 barrels).

Already in the red, prices accentuated their decline at the very end of the session after the communication from the American central bank (Fed), whose members expect higher rates than expected by the market, and for longer.

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