2023-09-21 20:36:00
ESPN Sports BettingSep 21, 2023, 04:36 PM ET7 Minute Read
Baker Mayfield and the 2-0 Buccaneers will host the Philadelphia Eagles in one half of a Monday Night Football double-header.Andrew Bershaw/Icon Sportswire
Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season kicks off on Thursday night with the New York Giants and the San Francisco 49ers. Sunday will feature 13 games, and the slate wraps up with a prime-time double header on “Monday Night Football”. In the first game, Jalen Hurts leads the Philadelphia Eagles into Raymond James Stadium to take on Baker Mayfield’s 2-0 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In the second game, rookie sensation Puka Nacua and the Los Angeles Rams are on the road to visit the Cincinnati Bengals, where Joe Burrow and company will look to avoid a 0-3 start to their season.
Check back here daily for updated lines and information from ESPN Stats & Information.
Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Football Power Index (FPI) by ESPN Sports Analytics Group.
New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers -11
Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California
Thursday 8:15 PM ET
Money Line: New York Giants (+430) ; San Francisco 49ers (-600)
Total: 43.5; Opened: 43.5
FPI favorite: 49ers by 12 (80.5% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The 49ers have covered 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites including five straight.
The Giants are 7-1 ATS as road underdogs under Brian Daboll.
The Giants have covered 10 straight games with short rest (3-0 ATS under Daboll).
Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns -3.5
Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Tennessee Titans (+143) ; Cleveland Browns (-170)
Total: 39.5; Opened: 39.5
FPI favorite: Browns by 2.6 (57.2% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Kevin Stefanski is 10-19 ATS as a favorite (19-10 outright). Stefanski is also 12-54-1 ATS in conference games.
The Browns have covered five of the last six meetings.
The Titans are 7-2-1 ATS on the road since the start of last season (7-1-1 ATS last nine).
Atlanta Falcons @ Detroit Lions -3
Ford Field, Detroit
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Atlanta Falcons (+143) ; Detroit Lions (-170)
Total: 46; Opened: 45.5
FPI favorite: Lions by 1.9 (55.3% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Lions are 24-12 ATS under Dan Campbell, the second-best mark in the NFL in that span (since 2021). He is 3-3 outright and ATS as a favorite.
Since 2009, teams that are 2-0 outright and getting at least three points as underdogs in their third game are 16-7 ATS.
The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their las six games as an underdog.
New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers -1.5
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: New Orleans Saints (+105) ; Green Bay Packers (-125)
Total: 42.5; Opened: 42.5
FPI favorite: Packers by 1.2 (53.5% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Saints are 0-4 ATS in September under Dennis Allen, while the Packers are 12-3 ATS in September under Matt LaFleur.
Green Bay is 13-4 ATS after a loss under LaFleur.
The Saints are 38-19 ATS on the road since 2016 and 25-12 ATS as a road underdog over the last decade.
Denver Broncos @ Miami Dolphins -6.5
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Denver Broncos (+235) ; Miami Dolphins (-292)
Total: 48; Opened: 45.5
FPI favorite: Dolphins by 7.4 (70.2% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Tua Tagovailoa is 21-14-1 ATS in his career, including 12-5 ATS at home.
The Dolphins have covered 10 of the past 12 meetings with the Broncos.
Russell Wilson is 20-5-2 ATS as an underdog of at least three points in his career (9-2 ATS when getting at least six points).
Los Angeles Chargers @ Minnesota Vikings -1
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Los Angeles Chargers (-105) ; Minnesota Vikings (-115)
Total: 54; Opened: 49.5
FPI favorite: Chargers by 1.2 (53.4% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Chargers -1
Betting Nuggets
The Saints are 0-4 ATS in September under Dennis Allen, while the Packers are 12-3 ATS in September under Matt LaFleur.
Green Bay is 13-4 ATS after a loss under LaFleur.
The Saints are 38-19 ATS on the road since 2016 and 25-12 ATS as a road underdog over the last decade.
New England Patriots -2.5 @ New York Jets
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: New England Patriots (-150) ; New York Jets (+126)
Total: 36.5; Opened: 36.5
FPI favorite: Jets by 1.7 (54.9% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Patriots have won 14 consecutive meetings with the Jets, going 10-4 ATS in that span including 5-0 ATS in the last five.
This is the 23rd straight meeting the Patriots have been favored over the Jets, the longest active streak in any head-to-head matchup in the NFL.
The Patriots are 0-6 ATS in their past six games, their longest ATS losing streak under Bill Belichick.
The current total of 37 is the lowest this season and the lowest in a game within the first three weeks of the season since 2011.
Seven of Zach Wilson’s past eight starts have gone under the total. He is 0-4 outright and ATS in his past four starts.
Buffalo Bills -6 @ Washington Commanders
FedExField, Landover, Maryland
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Buffalo Bills (-278) ; Washington Commanders (+222)
Total: 43; Opened: 0
FPI favorite: Bills by 8.8 (73.5% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Josh Allen is 23-13-2 ATS on the road in his career (12-9-1 ATS as road favorite).
The Bills have covered eight of the last nine meetings.
Eight of nine Bills road games have gone under the total since the start of last season.
Ron Rivera is 10-4-1 ATS as a home underdog of at least four points.
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Houston Texans (+310) ; Jacksonville Jaguars (-400)
Total: 44; Opened: 44
FPI favorite: Jaguars by 7.9 (71.3% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Trevor Lawrence is 0-5 ATS and 1-4 outright as a home favorite.
The Jaguars are 0-7 ATS in their past seven games as home favorites (1-6 outright).
The Texans have won nine of the last ten meetings (7-3 ATS).
Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens -8
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Indianapolis Colts (+300) ; Baltimore Ravens (-385)
Total: 44; Opened: 44
FPI favorite: Ravens by 10.5 (77.4% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Colts have covered nine of the last ten meetings.
The Ravens are 8-16 ATS as favorites over the last three seasons. They are 1-6 ATS in that span when laying at least seven points.
The Colts’ last five road games have gone over the total.
Carolina Panthers @ Seattle Seahawks -6.5
Lumen Field, Seattle
Sunday 4:05 PM ET
Money Line: Carolina Panthers (+235) ; Seattle Seahawks (-292)
Total: 42; Opened: 42
FPI favorite: Seahawks by 8.4 (72.6% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Seahawks -4
Betting Nuggets
The Seahawks are 1-6 ATS as a favorite over the past two seasons, going 0-5 ATS in their past five games.
The last five meetings have gone over the total.
Frank Reich is 8-4-1 ATS as an underdog of at least four points.
Chicago Bears @ Kansas City Chiefs -13
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Sunday 4:25 PM ET
Money Line: Chicago Bears (+550) ; Kansas City Chiefs (-800)
Total: 48; Opened: 47
FPI favorite: Chiefs by 12.8 (82% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Justin Fields is 8-18-1 ATS in his career including 0-3 ATS when getting double digits.
The Bears are 8-21 ATS as underdogs and 5-13 ATS on the road since 2021.
Patrick Mahomes is 8-12 ATS as a double-digit favorite and 5-11 ATS as at least a 10.5-point favorite.
Since 2000, unders are 15-3 when the Bears are double-digit underdogs.
Dallas Cowboys -12.5 @ Arizona Cardinals
State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona
Sunday 4:25 PM ET
Money Line: Dallas Cowboys (-700) ; Arizona Cardinals (+500)
Total: 43; Opened: 42
FPI favorite: Cowboys by 16.5 (88.1% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Cowboys -10.5
Betting Nuggets
Over the past three seasons, the Cowboys are 25-11 ATS overall and 19-8 ATS as a favorite, both best in the NFL in that span.
The Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings against the Cowboys (since 2008).
The Cardinals are the sixth team in the past 30 seasons to start 2-0 ATS and 0-2 outright. Those teams are 1-4 outright and ATS in their third game (Falcons won and covered last season).
The Cardinals are the first team since the 2010 Raiders to start 2-0 ATS and be a double-digit underdog in their third game. The past four teams in that role (since 1998) all failed to cover their third game.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Las Vegas Raiders -2.5
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
Sunday 8:20 PM ET
Money Line: Pittsburgh Steelers (+126) ; Las Vegas Raiders (-150)
Total: 43; Opened: 0
FPI favorite: Raiders by 0.4 (51% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Mike Tomlin is 2-6 ATS in his career against the Raiders. He is 3-5 outright, all as a favorite.
The Steelers have covered four straight road games dating back to last season.
Prime-time unders are 128-87-4 over the last five seasons (.595).
Philadelphia Eagles -5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Monday 7:15 PM ET
Money Line: Philadelphia Eagles (-225) ; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+185)
Total: 46; Opened: 44.5
FPI favorite: Eagles by 7.2 (69.7% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in September under Todd Bowles (2-11-1 ATS in rest of season).
The Eagles are 9-17 ATS on the road since 2020 (8-10 ATS under Nick Sirianni since 2021). Since 2010, the Eagles are 6-14 ATS when laying at least five points on the road.
Baker Mayfield is 3-0 ATS in his past three starts and 5-2 ATS in his past seven starts.
Los Angeles Rams @ Cincinnati Bengals -3
Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati
Monday 8:15 PM ET
Money Line: Los Angeles Rams (+130) ; Cincinnati Bengals (-155)
Total: 44; Opened: 43.5
FPI favorite: Bengals by 5.5 (65.4% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Bengals are 14-7 ATS after a loss since drafting Joe Burrow in 2020 (Burrow is 12-5 ATS after a loss).
The Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.
The Rams are 0-4 ATS with extra rest since the start of last season.
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