favourites, bookmakers… Who can win in 2022?

EUROVISION 2022. The international singing competition takes place live from Turin this Saturday, May 14, 2022. Candidates, favorites, bookmakers, we summarize everything you need to know.

13:59 – What is the musical track of the Kalush Orchestra, the Ukrainian group in the final of Eurovision 2022?

The first song of the now named Kalush Orchestra, Ne marynouï, was released on October 17, 2019, followed by a second clip, Ty honych. In 2021, the group publishes two albums, Hotin and Ïo-Ïo. In February 2022, the training took part in the Ukrainian selection for Eurovision, a program called Vidbir, in which it ranked second. But after the withdrawal of the winner after a controversy linked to a trip to Crimea and Russia, it is Kalush Orchestra which becomes the Ukrainian standard bearer in Turin, with the song Stefania.

13:42 – Who composes the Ukrainian group Kalush Orchestra, favorites of Eurovision?

The group Kalush Orchestra, formed in 2019, consists of six members: rapper Oleh Psiuk (recognizable by his pink bob), Ihor Didenchuk, Vlad Kurochka (the three original members of the formation), Vitalii Duzhyk, Tymofii Muzychuk and Oleksandr Slobodianyk . It is the rapper Oleh Psiuk who initiates the project, initially baptized Kalouch, in reference to his birthplace, in the west of Ukraine.

13:24 – Will Ukraine and Russia face off in Eurovision?

At war since the start of the Russian invasion on February 24, 2022, Ukraine still participates in the Eurovision Song Contest. Kalush Orchestra and the song Stefania seem to seduce punters. Facing them, there will be no Russian competition: the country of Vladimir Putin was banned from Eurovision at the start of the war, despite the desire of the organizers to remain apolitical.

13:07 – What are the bookmakers’ predictions for the Eurovision 2022 final?

The Ukrainians of the group Kalush Orchestra seem well on their way to winning. With more than 60% chance of winning the competitionEurovision, according to the betting rankings of bookmakers, the Ukrainian formation seems to fly over the competition. The second in the ranking, England, only has an 11% chance of winning according to bettors.

12:48 – Who are the candidates for Eurovision 2022?

25 countries are participating in the Eurovision 2022 final. Australia, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, Poland, Romania, Serbia and Sweden qualified in the last semi-final. They join Switzerland, Armenia, Iceland, Lithuania, Portugal, Norway, Greece, Ukraine, Moldova and the Netherlands, as well as members of the Big Five who have already qualified (France, Germany , Italy, Spain, United Kingdom), in the final.

12:30 – Is it certain that Ukraine will win Eurovision this year?

Ukraine is the huge favorite of this Eurovision 2022. The bookmakers estimate that it has almost a 50% chance of emerging victorious tonight. Geopolitics is often involved in the singing competition, and the country at war with Russia can certainly count on the support of voters. Eurovision organizers have already excluded Russia from the competition. According to 20 minutes, nothing is decided, however, since not all countries always vote according to international news, and the public is more likely to vote for the song they like the most, without geopolitical considerations behind it. .

12:06 – Is France favored by the order of passage?

The order of passage is not favorable to France, if we believe the observers and specialists of Eurovision. Alvan and Ahez are the sixth to pass this Saturday. However, it is often preferable to go to the second part of the evening, because the moment is close to the final vote. The viewers, whose vote represents 50% of the result, still have the performance in mind because it is recent.

11:31 – What is the running order in the Eurovision final?

The running order can have a crucial role in determining the Eurovision winner. Indeed, the experts believe that it is more advantageous to spend in the second part of the evening. Bad pick for France, which will pass in the first. For this 2022 final, the order is as follows: Czech Republic, Romania, Portugal, Finland, Switzerland, France, Norway, Armenia, Italy, Spain, Netherlands, Ukraine, Germany, Lithuania, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Greece, Iceland , Moldova, Sweden, Australia, United Kingdom, Poland, Serbia, Estonia.

11:03 – Are bookmakers’ predictions reliable?

Every year, the bookmakers give their predictions on the winner of Eurovision. But can we really trust their predictions? Several times in the past, bookmakers have announced the correct winner: this was the case when they predicted the victory of Denmark in 2019 or Italy in 2021. Conversely, a mistake was made in 2018, since the bookmakers were expecting a victory from Cyprus, but Israel eventually won the title. A science that is therefore not immutable!

10:29 – Who are the Eurovision fan favourites?

The Eurovision faithful also expressed their ranking by polling the fan organizations of the different countries (OGAE). For this 2022 edition, Sweden wins the support of the fans of the competition, followed on the podium by Italy and Spain. France is sixth in this fan ranking, while bookmakers’ favorite Ukraine is in 11th place.

10:03 – How do votes work?

The voting stage is a crucial moment in Eurovision. Each country in competition, even those which did not qualify in the semi-finals, is required to award a certain number of points to the ten performances which marked it the most (12 points, 10 points, then 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1). Since 2016, viewers have been able to vote by SMS, telephone and the Eurovision app, but obviously cannot give a point to their own country.

09:38 – Where is Eurovision taking place this year?

Each year, the country that won the previous year’s Eurovision is responsible for organizing the competition. In 2021, Maneskin offered Italy victory. It is therefore only natural that the country and the city of Turin will host the international event in 2022.

09:17 – Who is the group representing Ukraine at Eurovision?

Ukraine is the favorite of Eurovision 2022. This year, it is represented by the rap group Kalush Orchestra. The group formed in 2019 before releasing two albums in 2021. They will perform their title “Stefania” on the Turin stage, a tribute to the singer’s mother but also to Ukraine perceived as a maternal figure, while is currently at war with Russia.

08:56 – Russia excluded from Eurovision

Usually, Russia sends one of its representatives to Eurovision. But due to the invasion of Ukraine by the troops of Vladimir Putin, the organizers of the competition have decided to exclude the country for this year: “In the context of the unprecedented crisis unfolding today in Ukraine , it was feared that a Russian participation this year would discredit the Competition”, specified a press release from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), organizer of the event, on February 25, 2022.

08:34 – Why is Australia a candidate for Eurovision?

Each year, Australia surprises Eurovision neophytes with its participation. The Oceania country has been in the running for the singing competition since 2015, after a first appearance in 2013 to celebrate 30 years of broadcasting in Australia. Eurovision is indeed extremely popular there, and the organizers have decided to invite the country to participate on an exceptional basis for the sixty years of the competition. Faced with the success met by the presence of Australia, the invitation was renewed in the following years. Australia, however, did not participate in 2021 due to travel restrictions related to the coronavirus crisis.

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Eurovision 2022 punctuates the beginning of May. The final takes place in Turin, this Saturday, May 14, 2022. In France, the event can be followed on France 2 from 9 p.m. Previously, two semi-finals made it possible to select twenty candidate countries for the final. They took place on Tuesday May 10, 2022 and Thursday May 12, 2022, a few days before knowing the winner of this 66th edition.

France is represented by the Breton group Alvan and Ahez at Eurovision 2022. There are four members of this formation: the female trio Ahez Marine Lavigne, Sterenn Diridollou and Sterenn Le Guillou and the musician Alexis Morvan-Rosius, known as Alvan. They were selected on March 5, during the program “Eurovision France: it’s you who decide”. The tricolor group performs on the Turin stage the song “Fulenn”, which means, in Breton, both “spark” and “pretty girl”. It has been since 1977 and the victory of Marie Myriam that France has not won Eurovision.

We do not yet know the ranking of Eurovision 2022. Last year, the Italian group Maneskin won the singing competition with 524 points, saved mainly by public votes. He was ahead of France and Barbara Pravi (2nd with 499 points) and Switzerland (3rd, 432 points) on the podium. The top of the ranking was completed by Iceland (378 points), Ukraine (364 points) and Finland (301 points). Below, find in detail the latest ranking of Eurovision.

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