[NTDTV, Beijing time, January 13, 2022]Central Asian country Kazakh has the worst outbreak since independence from the Soviet Unionstreet protest, which has attracted international attention. When the situation subsided, there was news that the CCP intended to send troops. Experts believe that there are geopolitical, economic and energy interests for the CCP to pay such attention to Kazakhstan.
Kazakh President Tokayev said on January 11 that the Russian-led forces had completedStability maintenance tasks, the imminent withdrawal of troops from Kazakhstan.
Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev: “Now the situation in various regions has stabilized. Two days later,’Collective Security Treaty Organization‘The Joint Peacekeeping Task Force will begin a phased withdrawal. The evacuation process does not exceed 10 days. “
Kazakhstan suffered its worst outbreak since independence from the Soviet Union last weekstreet protest. The trigger was the government’s removal of the natural gas price cap at the beginning of the year, causing the cost of the fuel to double within days and sparking public outrage. As the situation developed, people’s protest demands expanded from the initial demand for lower fuel prices to rights such as direct election of regional leaders. Protesters took aim at the former president, Communist Party leader Nursultan Nazarbayev, tearing down a statue of him.
Kazakh authorities define protests as riotsCollective Security Treaty Organization“(CSTO) for help, Putin sent troops into Kazakhstan on January 6 to assist in the suppression. Kazakh President Tokayev authorized the military and police on the 8th to fire on demonstrators without warning. State media said that 164 people were killed in the conflict, nearly 8,000 people were arrested.
At the end of the situation, it was rumored that the CCP also wanted to send troops to Kazakhstan. On January 10, The Wall Street Journal quoted the Russian state news agency TASS as saying that Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi proposed to Kazakh Foreign Minister Mukhtar Tileuberdi alone that China should send law enforcement and special forces to assist Kazakhstan in “maintaining stability”. “.
This shows that the CCP is trying to intervene deeplyKazakh situation. Previously, Chinese President Xi Jinping sent a message to Tokayev on the 7th, saying that he “resolutely opposes external forces deliberately creating turmoil in Kazakhstan and instigating a ‘color revolution'”.
Australian scholar Feng Chongyi: “Wherever such a color revolution occurs, the CCP is the first to intervene to support the autocratic regime. For example, in Venezuela, in other African countries, it is the same. It is just right now in Kazakhstan, which is bordering, of course he more positive.”
There are about 1,771 kilometers of border between China and Kazakhstan, and there are a considerable number of ethnic Kazakhs in the Xinjiang region of northwest China. Taiwanese military experts pointed out that if the CCP really sends soldiers to Kazakh to suppress it, the consequences may be difficult for Beijing to bear.
Su Ziyun, a scholar at the Taiwan Institute of National Defense Security: “Russia sent the army because Kazakh is a member of the so-called Independent National Association. If Beijing is requested by the Kazakh government, at most, it will send an adviser. After all, the Xinjiang issue has already caused international problems. There has been a big rebound, there are about 500,000 Xinjiang immigrants in Kazakh, these are powerful forces against China.”
Experts believe that the reason why the CCP is so concerned aboutKazakh situation, in addition to geopolitical, there are economic reasons.
Su Ziyun: “China has invested nearly 23 billion US dollars in so-called KazakhOne Belt One Roadconstruction. So if the Kazakh political situation is unstable, or even the regime changes, then these investments may be more dangerous. There are also anti-China forces in Kazakh, that is, because of the so-called Belt and Road investment, some people in Kazakh believe that China is like laying a debt trap for Kazakh. “
In the CCP’s strategic layout, Central Asia, dominated by Kazakhs, is also an important energy supplier. Kazakhstan has pledged to export 5 billion cubic meters of natural gas to China every year.Therefore, experts pointed out that the protests that broke out in Kazakh appear to be against the government, but in fact they are also against the CCPOne Belt One RoadThe rebound of this predatory economy.
Su Ziyun: “The energy price this time is the last straw that overwhelms Kazakhs. But if it is connected with China’s energy problem. These Kazakh people will definitely consider that Kazakhs own energy is very rich, and both oil and natural gas can be produced in large quantities. Export to China. Then why is the price to their own people so high, this will lead to further buildup of anti-China forces.”
But Russian President Vladimir Putin also sees Kazakhstan as part of Russia’s sphere of influence. Kazakh also plays a pivotal role in the US energy issue, so the turmoil in Kazakh has drawn international attention.
Editor/Shang Yan interview/Luo Ya post-production/Zhong Yuan
URL of this article: https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2022/01/12/a103319323.html