Prabowo’s government has the potential to face multi-layered political challenges that might impact the future of the Gerindra Party. Political Strategy Group (PSG) Chief Research Officer Muhammad Ahsan Ridhoi assessed that this happened because the total seats of the coalition political parties supporting Prabowo were a minority in Parliament.
“Prabowo’s victory this time cannot be said to be achieved absolutely. This is because the total seats of the supporting coalition political parties are actually a minority in parliament. In total, Gerindra, Golkar, PAN and Democrat are projected to win 280 seats. “Less than the total combined acquisition of political parties supporting Ganjar-Mahfud and Anies-Muhaimin, which was 300 seats,” said Ahsan in Jakarta, Monday (1/4).
So, added Ahsan, the Gerindra Party did not emerge as the winner of the election. Only ranked third following PDI Perjuangan and Golkar. As a result, Prabowo’s position became less strategic. Prabowo’s government has the potential to be held hostage by opposition political parties through parliament, as happened in the first two years of the Jokowi-Kalla government.
“Meanwhile, Gerindra does not have a big political magnet to influence decision making in parliament. “Especially in gathering support from opposition political parties, which will certainly maximize their role in parliament to maintain the image and support base of their constituents until the next election,” he said.
Prabowo, according to Ahsan, indeed holds the support of Golkar, whose number of seats is projected to be slightly different from PDI Perjuangan, so it has the potential to have a big political magnet in parliament. However, Golkar is not Prabowo’s main supporting party.
The political relationship between them is only reciprocal or reciprocal. However, there is no guarantee that Golkar – as with Prabowo’s coalition political parties other than Gerindra – will always support Prabowo’s steps in parliament.
Also read: Gibran Rakabuming Raka Says He Supports Prabowo Subianto and Megawati Meeting Discourse
“So far, Gerindra’s sound has been heavily influenced by Prabowo’s coattail effect. Considering that Prabowo is the sole face of the party, there are no other alternative figures who can be as big as him. “So, Prabowo’s bad image will have a big impact on the party’s votes,” said Ahsan.
Therefore, Ahsan believes that Prabowo and Gerindra need to immediately take strategic political steps. He revealed that there are at least three steps they can take.
Also read: PDIP: Prabowo Subianto and Megawati’s meeting is very likely to happen
First, Prabowo must optimize the victory power game in the government transition. Prabowo cannot stand by Jokowi in carrying out the transition, even though his government is promoting the idea of continuing.
“Especially if we agree with the opinion of Jokowi’s ministers who stated that there is no need for a transition team. “That will make the foundation of Prabowo’s government very fragile, because he wasn’t the one who built it,” said Ahsan.
Second, the Gerindra Party must be more flexible in establishing communications in parliament. Remembering, Ahsan believes that what has been happening so far is a communication freeze in the legislative process in parliament due to the coalition and opposition groups’ lines of fire.
Also read: Embracing political parties outside the advanced Indonesian coalition is a necessity for Prabowo Subianto
Third, Gerindra must take serious advantage of the momentum of the 2024 regional elections as a way to regenerate national political figures in order to maintain and increase the vote base in the next election.
In order to turn things around, according to Ahsan, like it or not, Gerindra must maximize its struggle in the simultaneous regional elections in November. Gerindra’s position as Prabowo’s main supporting party must be utilized as much as possible to attract potential figures from within and new faces from outside.
“Especially in strategic areas, such as DKI Jakarta, West Java, Central Java, East Java and North Sumatra,” said Ahsan.
That way, Gerindra’s chances of continuing to win in the presidential election are more open. Even when Prabowo no longer runs, Gerindra can still be the main axis determining coalition building in the 2029 presidential election. (Z-8)
#Gerindra #Prabowo #Steps #Transition #Process
