Gold Prices Face Downward Pressure as MTS Gold Warns of Correction Risks

Thai gold prices face severe downward pressure, with domestic gold trading down to 62,250 baht per sale for gold bars as global spot prices break key psychological thresholds, according to market analysis published by thansettakij. The market correction follows strong U.S. economic data that has fueled expectations of prolonged monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.

Domestic and Global Prices Test Critical Supports

  • Domestic gold bars opened at a buy price of 62,050 baht and a sell price of 62,250 baht, while gold ornaments are priced at a sell rate of 63,050 baht, per data cited by LINE TODAY.
  • MTS Gold warns that retail and wholesale prices are testing critical technical supports at 62,500 baht domestically and 3,950 to 3,900 USD globally.
  • Global gold spot fell 36.99 USD to test ranges near 3,883 to 4,005 USD, as reported by Hua Seng Heng. GDP and PCE figures.

Macroeconomic Pressure Mounts on Precious Metals

The current downward trend in domestic bullion stems directly from robust U.S. macroeconomic indicators. According to thansettakij, September’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index accelerated while third-quarter GDP expanded aggressively, signaling that inflation remains sticky above the Federal Reserve’s 2.0% target. Despite the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield easing to approximately 4.9% and the dollar index softening to 101.7 points, precious metals failed to capture safe-haven momentum.

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Institutional Accumulation Against Retail Sell-Offs

While retail investors face immediate losses—with domestic gold bar prices dropping sharply by 1,850 baht over recent sessions according to Khaosod—institutional behavior paints a contrasting picture of long-term demand. Data compiled by the World Gold Council and highlighted by Hua Seng Heng reveals that the National Bank of Poland acquired 123 tonnes of gold in the first nine months of 2026, lifting its total reserves to 672.9 tonnes. Furthermore, World Gold Council surveys indicate that 89% of central banks globally plan to expand their gold reserves over the next 12 months, providing a structural floor even as exchange-traded funds like SPDR shed 2.28 tonnes.

Gold Prices Face Downward Pressure as MTS Gold Warns of Correction Risks
Photo: ฮั่วเซ่งเฮง
Asset Category Buy Price / Low Sell Price / High
Gold Bar (96.5%) – Domestic 62,050.00 THB 62,250.00 THB
Gold Ornament – Domestic 60,806.76 THB 63,050.00 THB
Gold Spot – Global 3,883.00 USD 4,005.00 USD

Technical Analysis and Domestic Price Thresholds

Technical indicators suggest the short-term market structure remains firmly in a Sideway Down channel. thansettakij outlines that if domestic prices breach the crucial support floor at 62,500 baht, heightened liquidation could accelerate losses toward 61,000 baht, as cited in surveys by the Gold Research Center reported by Khaosod. Meanwhile, Sanook confirms that fractional weights—such as two-salung bars trading at 31,125 baht and one-salung bars at 15,562.50 baht—are seeing active retail adjustments.

ISM manufacturing and services data, weekly jobless claims, and the Non-Farm Payrolls report.

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Daniel Foster - Senior Editor, Economy

Senior Editor, Economy An award-winning financial journalist and analyst, Daniel brings sharp insight to economic trends, markets, and policy shifts. He is recognized for breaking complex topics into clear, actionable reports for readers and investors alike.

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