In the presidential file, everyone is waiting for “Hezbollah” at the junction of the Baabda Palace, especially since the party’s leadership did not reveal the person it wants with regard to the presidency and the identity of the president, knowing that the party is the most prominent player at the negotiating table and behind the scenes, and no Maronite can The palace inhabits the southern suburbs without consent.
Hezbollah, having become the most prominent local player, sees the presidential election as one of the most complex and critical, because it has to tip the balance of one of its allies to reach the presidency, and at the same time, it must take into account the balance of sectarian and political forces and the roles of others in this. The entitlement, as well as the costs that the country can bear, when pursuing any option.
Until now, we are not regarding to hear regarding a decision on the subject of naming, as everything is on hold. The special caveats related to reconciliation between allies are not only related to the “Free Patriotic Movement” and “Marada,” but also reach Hezbollah’s most prominent ally, President Nabih Berri, who until now has not revealed his paper, which may embarrass the party and re-shuffle the cards even outside the name of the party. The movement’s leader, Gibran Bassil, and the Marada movement’s leader, Suleiman Franjieh.
As for the general caveats, they are related to the regional and international powers that usually wait for the last quarter of an hour to impose a certain name on the Lebanese through an agreement, a settlement, or even a leak that mixes the cards and counts them as the president of the country, contrary to all expectations and trends.
But it is certain that the party cannot accept a consensual president as was the case before the crisis, the circumstances have completely changed. A consensual president without the ability to contribute to correcting and restoring the economic situation is meaningless. And any president, if he does not have a vision for a way out of the crisis, even if you call him a majority grouped according to the logic of its interests, will not be acceptable to Hezbollah.
An acceptable consensual is the person on whom a reformist majority agrees, not a conciliatory majority. Therefore, the issue of the party not voting for any candidate who does not have a national reform vision capable of solving the refugee crisis, electricity, banking, the relationship with Syria, demarcation and other issues, is strongly raised in the event that a numerical majority of its allies and opponents gather to support it.
The moment for “Hezbollah” is a moment of confrontation, and therefore it will not accept the name of an American candidate or a gray candidate. The stage requires clarity, and requires the presence of a rescue president, as well as a rescue government. And if the party prefers a certain name from its allies, then it prefers it for its program and not for its person, to lead the stage of salvation and then prosperity.
In conclusion, the party links the presidential election to the extent to which local forces are able to carry out this task, and until this moment these forces prefer to wait until the regional and international scene becomes clear, and this means that the election has entered into a freeze cycle despite the media rumors regarding it.
