2024-04-21 06:31:02
Registered2024.04.21 15:31
Edit04/21/2024 3:52 p.m.
Photo = REUTERS As Israel and Iran have launched “tit for tat” airstrikes targeting each other’s continent, an analysis has shown that the possibility of a “fifth Middle East war” breaking out is remote. The explanation is that both countries used an exit strategy by adjusting the level to avoid all-out war.
According to foreign media such as Al Jazeera, on the 20th (local time), the Israeli army carried out retaliation against mainland Iran in the early morning of the 19th. It has been six days since Iran attacked mainland Israel. The two sides attacked each other on the mainland in a “tit for tat” manner, but it is believed that they controlled the level of attack to a level that did not cause serious damage. Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian said regarding the attack in an interview with NBC on the 19th: “What happened last night was not even an attack. “It was something that looked like a ‘toy’ that our children play with, and it wasn’t even a drone,” he said. This is a statement that demeans the Israeli attack and sets the limit of an immediate response.
Foreign Minister Amir Abdullahian announced that if Israel carried out further attacks, the toughest sanctions would be imposed. Israel has not issued an official response to the airstrike. The U.S. government has not revealed its position on the airstrike, stressing only that “(the United States) was not involved.” Experts interpreted that Israel was aware of the international community’s concerns about the escalation of the war. The explanation is that, while reducing the possibility of all-out war, it touched a critical point in Iran and sent a warning message. According to the New York Times (NYT), the Israeli military damaged an air defense system near Natanz, Iran in the early morning of the 19th. The weapons fired by Israel during the airstrike were not picked up by radars. Natanz is home to Iran’s uranium enrichment facility and nuclear fuel manufacturing plant. A senior US military official told ABC: “The Israeli military has sent a clear message that it can strike Iran’s most important assets (nuclear weapons) while conducting limited operations. »
Some fear that the embers of war remain. Indeed, the taboo between Israel and Iran against attacking each other’s territories has been broken. The argument is that even if the conflict does not escalate immediately, it could escalate into all-out war if either side misunderstands the other’s intentions.
Merisa Kurma, director of Middle East affairs at the US think tank Wilson Center, told AFP: “This is a revolutionary event in that it completely changes the rules of the game between the two hostile countries. It has heightened tensions throughout the Middle East region. and threat of all-out war for many countries in the region. » “We have shown that this can become a reality,” he stressed. Airstrikes continue in Iraq and Syria. According to CNN, on the evening of the 19th, an explosion believed to be an airstrike occurred at a military base in Babylon province in central Iraq, killing one person and injuring eight. The Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), which were created as a pro-Iranian Shiite militia and later promoted to the regular Iraqi army, are stationed here.
The cause and context of the explosion at the Iraqi military base have not yet been revealed. The Iraqi Interior Ministry said, “There was an aerial bombardment,” but on the same day, the Iraqi Air Defense Command announced that “no drones or combat aircraft were detected in the area.” Babylonian airspace before or after the explosion. The United States and Israel issued statements saying they were not involved in the accident.
The same day, the Syrian Defense Ministry claimed that Israeli forces had bombed an air defense installation at a base in southern Syria. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a group that monitors the Syrian civil war, also said that Israel had targeted a military radar in the Daraa region of southern Syria, and that the radar had detected an Israeli plane entering Syrian airspace.
Reporter Oh Hyun-woo [email protected]
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