Jēkabpils is bracing for the spring thaw, a period that historically brings the threat of flooding from the Daugava River. Following significant flooding in January 2023 that damaged infrastructure and disrupted daily life, local authorities are monitoring ice levels and preparing for potential risks. While the current situation appears calmer than in previous years, officials are emphasizing preparedness and caution as warmer temperatures return. The city experienced damage to 13 streets – including Bebru, Dambja, and Dārznieku – and several roads, such as Droškāni–Jaunbrēķi and Randoti–Līgotnes, during the 2023 floods, according to reports from last year.
Meteorologists predict that rising water levels will start in the Kurzeme region, specifically in the Venta River basin, before flowing into the Daugava. Areas around Rāzna and Lubānas lakes, as well as Liepājas Lake, are also considered particularly vulnerable. The Latvian Environment, Geology and Meteorology Centre has warned that both ice jams and rainfall accelerating snowmelt pose significant flood risks, while a gradual spring thaw could mitigate extreme flooding by allowing water to rise more slowly. The focus is currently on the Daugava basin, where the thickest ice formations are located.
Ice Conditions and Monitoring Efforts
As of March 5th, the ice thickness on the Daugava River near Jēkabpils is approximately two meters, consisting of both frazil ice and larger chunks, according to Jēkabpils Novads Council Chairman Raivis Ragains. He noted that while the volume of ice is substantial, the current conditions are relatively stable, with water flowing beneath the ice sheet. “The worst-case scenario is when the ice moves while the water remains stationary,” Ragains explained. He also highlighted the potential for increased risk if warmer temperatures and rainfall coincide.
Ragains acknowledged the uncertainty inherent in predicting the exact course of events, stating, “At the moment, it’s still like reading tea leaves.” Yet, he emphasized that the city is actively monitoring the situation. The council is particularly concerned about the potential for ice accumulating upstream to exacerbate conditions locally. “If ice comes from the upper reaches of the Daugava, it could lift the ice we have here, and our ice is quite solid, which could lead to various issues,” Ragains said. He explained that if the ice becomes fragmented and melts, incoming ice could carry away the already weakened ice formations.
New Defenses and Preparedness Measures
Following the damage sustained in 2023, Jēkabpils completed construction of a new protective dam last year, replacing infrastructure damaged during the previous floods. Ragains stated that the new dam is a substantial improvement over previous defenses, providing a greater level of protection for the city. “I suppose the city is well-protected,” he said.
In addition to the dam, authorities are inspecting hydrotechnical structures and communicating with residents in potentially affected areas. Preventative measures are also being taken to remove trees and debris from riverbanks, which could obstruct water flow and exacerbate flooding. The State Fire and Rescue Service (VUGD) has also emphasized the importance of clearing waterways to minimize risks.
Evacuation Plans and Emergency Funding
Jēkabpils has a long-standing evacuation plan in place, and residents are familiar with the procedures. Ragains noted that residents are proactive in seeking assistance when needed. The local council has allocated funds for emergency situations, and additional resources are available through the civil defense budget. State funding is also available in the event of significant damage.
While the amount of snow and ice this year is considerable, Ragains cautioned that the manner in which it melts is more critical than the sheer volume. “The amount of snow and ice isn’t the indicator. It’s only about how it all goes away,” he said. A sudden warm spell with cyclones and heavy rain would pose the greatest threat. He also noted that residents remain calm, with more concern expressed by journalists and authorities in Riga.
The city’s protective dam, five kilometers in length, safeguards nearly the entire city, though plans are in place to extend it further. Ragains clarified that the city itself is not below the level of the Daugava River, except in the event that the river overflows the dam. A water level rise of five to six meters would be considered a serious event.
As Jēkabpils continues to monitor the situation, the focus remains on proactive preparation and vigilance. The city’s experience with past floods has informed its current approach, and officials are confident in their ability to mitigate potential risks. The coming weeks will be crucial as temperatures fluctuate and the spring thaw progresses.
Stay informed about the latest developments regarding flood risks in Jēkabpils by following local news sources and official announcements from the Jēkabpils Novads Council. Share this information with your community to ensure everyone is prepared for the potential challenges of the spring thaw.
