Lebanese Debate: Analyzing the Implications of the Kahala Incident and the Future Security Situation

2023-08-11 14:15:13

“Lebanese Debate”

Political analyst Youssef Diab believes that “the Kahala incident can be linked to the security situation that is slowly escaping, which may portend security chaos leading to the election of a president over bloodshed, and this is what none of the Lebanese wish for.”

In an interview with the “Lebanese Debate”, Diab says: “There is no doubt that the developments that started in Ain al-Hilweh, Kahalah, the arms displays between one region and another, the alerts, the Ain Ebel incident, and the embassies’ statement that called on Gulf citizens to leave Lebanon, or to exercise caution All these factors indicate that Lebanon is heading towards an unstable security situation in the next stage.

And he believed that “there are some Lebanese parties, or the regional forces that support them, that consider that the election of the president may come in this way, but in Diab’s opinion, these calculations are wrong, because in the event that the security situation breaks out, no one knows where things will reach, and it is difficult Containing the street, because there may be internal and external parties investing in chaos in Lebanon, and if this chaos spreads, its results will be ruin, not the election of a president, and constitutional, legal and political stability in the country.

And he considered that “dialogue is not possible, because Hezbollah mourned it before it began, because the conditions set by Hezbollah, and the words of Representative Muhammad Raad for dialogue over their candidate, this does not mean that there is a horizon for dialogue that may be bilateral or more collective with the French envoy, Jean-Yves Le Drian.” .

He pointed out that “the solution is for all parties to be convinced that no one can come up with a solution to take into account his interests or his internal and external conditions, which means that everyone must agree on a candidate for the presidency, which provides a common space for all parties to communicate with him, and to secure support from all parties to put things in place.” A reform program and a state-building project.

He said, “Things are foreboding. Today we are in a summer break, and there is an interest for it to pass well, because of the presence of tourists and expatriates, who pump a large amount of hard currency into the country, which until this moment ensures stability in the exchange rate of the dollar against the lira, believing that when the intoxication goes away And the idea comes that things will return to escalation in the street, because, in his opinion, the dollar will escape at some point after next September.

And he talked about a serious crisis today represented by the salaries of the public sector, and therefore if things get away today, it is difficult to contain them, because it is not possible to ask the security forces to suppress security chaos on the ground and his salary may be $10, so what is required is a political solution, because our crisis is a political crisis greater than A judicial, economic and financial security crisis.

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#foreshadowing #worst.. #escalation #difficult

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