The Lantern Festival has passed, and before the Lunar New Year, it was expected that the wave of foreigners returning to their hometowns would lead to a new wave of infections, but it did not appear. Chatting with friends from the mainland, everyone was very nervous before the Chinese New Year. Would you like to go back to your hometown? It would be bad if the elderly parents were infected when they went back. After the long Spring Festival holiday, none of the relatives and friends who returned home were infected. Friends who didn’t go back to their hometown regretted it. They didn’t go back for 3 years and missed it again this time. To see whether the epidemic in the Mainland has passed, we mainly look at three types of information:
1. Number of visits to fever clinics. The joint prevention and control mechanism of the State Council pointed out at a press conference on January 30 that the national epidemic situation has entered a low epidemic level, and the epidemic situation in various places has steadily declined. The peak of hospitalization was on January 5 this year, the peak of death was on January 4, and then dropped sharply. Hundreds of millions of people traveled during the Spring Festival travel season. After the family reunion, not only did the epidemic stop breaking out, but the number of patients in fever clinics continued to decline.
2. Proportion of confirmed cases by nucleic acid testing. The National Center for Disease Control and Prevention released data analysis on February 1. Since the mainland relaxed the epidemic prevention measures on December 8 last year, the positive rate of nucleic acid tests detected reached a peak on December 25 last year, reaching 29.2%, and then dropped sharply. By this year It dropped to 2.5% on January 30; the peak positive rate of people’s self-test at home was 21.3% on December 22, and dropped to 2.2% on January 30. It should be noted that this is not the positive rate of the whole population, because people without symptoms will not be tested.
3. There is no new variant virus in the Mainland. Jin Chuanchun, an adjunct professor at the School of Public Health, National Taiwan University, pointed out that from December 9th last year to January 23rd this year, virus detection revealed that all the viruses circulating in the mainland were Omicron variants, with a total of 24 evolutionary branch series, but there were more variants in the United States. , mainly because many Americans do not wear masks, so there is more virus diversity. Now in mainland China, BA.5.2 is the main popular, accounting for 70.2%, followed by BF.7, accounting for 28.3%.
The United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, Australia, Japan, and South Korea also require 48-hour nucleic acid testing for incoming passengers from China. In fact, no new variants of the virus have been found in China, and the number of Omicron variants that are prevalent is less than that of the United States. If testing is required, the United States should be required Arrivals undergo nucleic acid testing. According to comprehensive information, the peak of the epidemic in mainland China passed from December 23 to 25 last year, and it is now rapidly coming to an end.
Even Taiwanese experts affirmed the mainland’s success in fighting the epidemic. Su Yiren, the former director of Taiwan’s CDC, commented in the “United Daily News”, saying that the epidemic crisis in the mainland has been resolved, and everyone is concerned about whether there will be a second wave of epidemics in rural areas after the Spring Festival, but it has not happened. Compared with the global epidemic last year and the severe damage caused in European and American countries, the scale of the mainland is relatively small. As China’s 1.4 billion population relaxes control and successfully fights against the epidemic, the century-old epidemic of the new crown will come to an end. The world is moving fast on the road to normalcy.
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Lu Yongxiong