The SAR government canceled the vaccine permit. Some people who had been opposed to the vaccine permit shouted loudly, saying that they had endured for three years and finally won.
In the past, those who did not have a vaccine pass could not enter public places such as restaurants. Those who did not get vaccinated usually have two methods. One is to simply not enter the restaurant and only buy takeaway, and the other is to borrow someone else’s vaccine pass to take pictures and enter the restaurant. .
I am deeply skeptical of their “victory theory”. The reason why they have this kind of thinking is that they see that many people who have not been vaccinated have nothing to do with the epidemic, so they feel that there is no need to be vaccinated at all, and they even think that this is just a conspiracy created by the government. This kind of thinking that “someone will be fine if they don’t get vaccinated” is the same as seeing that Deng Xiaoping, a long-term smoker, can live to be ninety-three years old and think that smoking is not harmful to health.
To be a human being, one must live and work, and scientific thinking, data research, and probability analysis are effective methods. Let’s take a look at the death data of the new crown released by the SAR government in detail.
According to the government’s statistics on the fifth wave of the epidemic, from December 31, 2021 to December 21, 2022, the cumulative death toll was 11,076. One of the key causes of death is lack of vaccination. Sixty-four percent of the dead were unvaccinated. One dose of the vaccine accounted for 14 percent of the deaths; two doses of the vaccine accounted for 14 percent of the deaths. Thirteen percent; three doses accounted for eight percent of deaths; four doses accounted for only 0.8 percent of deaths. This can lead to a simple conclusion that if you take four doses of the new crown vaccine, whether you take Kexing or Fubitai, the chance of death is extremely small. On the contrary, people who are not vaccinated at all are the main group of deaths.
At present, 6.91 million people in Hong Kong have received at least one dose of vaccine, accounting for 94.8% of Hong Kong’s population. In other words, only 5.2 percent of the population were unvaccinated. However, 5.2% of the population accounted for 64% of the deaths. It can be seen that the risk of not getting an injection is extremely high.
The mortality rate of those who are 80 years old or above who do not get injections is as high as 14.5%, which is equivalent to one death in seven. In reality, some people saw the other six 80-year-olds who did not die from the epidemic and thought that nothing would happen if they did not get the injection. Let me visualize the 14.5% mortality rate. If there were 40 students in a class when the old man was young, assuming that all the students in the class did not get injections, six students in this class would die. .
For the group aged 70 to 79, the non-injection mortality rate is 4.4%, which means that one person in twenty-three will die, that is, two students in a class without injections will die; For the group aged 69 to 69, the non-injection mortality rate is 1.6%. If there are 61 people, one person will die, that is, one and a half students will die. It can be seen that for middle-aged and elderly people, if they are not vaccinated, the chance of death is quite high.
There are two main reasons for people who refuse to get injections. One is that they have certain long-term diseases and feel that injections are risky. The second is against the government. According to the analysis of the fifth wave of deaths, 91% had a history of long-term illnesses. It is just that patients with chronic diseases are more likely to die after being infected with the new crown. Therefore, people with chronic diseases should still get an injection after consulting a doctor.
When society fully returns to normal, everyone has the opportunity to be infected multiple times, and the above-mentioned probability will be fully reflected.
After the government cancels the vaccine pass, it does not mean the victory of those who do not get vaccinated, but it is the beginning of their facing a greater risk of death. Remember that it is not a victory if the government cannot control you, but it is a victory not to die after being infected many times.
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Lu Yongxiong