2023-10-07 09:13:48
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table of contents
1 ■Songline2 List of Mainichi Crown 2023 prediction columns2.1 Jockey data2.2 Close-up diagnosis2.3 Data analysis2.4 Pedigree prediction2.5 Anama prediction2.6 10/7~10/9 Major prize all head diagnosis3 Author profile
■Song line
[Interim Adjustment]In the spring of his 3rd year, he came in 2nd place in the NHK Mile C and stood out from an early stage, but last year in his 4th year he won the Yasuda Kinen, and this year in his 5th year he won the Victoria Mile. Consecutive wins over Yasuda Kinen. He is a top miler in Japan who seems to be getting more impressive every year. Last fall, he competed in the BC Turf Sprint, which ended in a crushing defeat, but his goal this fall is the BC Mile. The Mainichi Crown race was set to be held in Tokyo as his first fall race before the US expedition, which is his specialty, although it will be his first 1800m race.
◆[Mainichi Crown 2023 Prediction / Chase Diagnosis]One corner of the overthrow/song line has a low rating of dry “B” “The way the load is applied is much lighter…”
He seemed to be recovering well from the fatigue of winning consecutive big races, and returned to Miho on September 8th. He posted his first time on the 10th with Wood 1F 12.6 seconds (horse), and on the 13th he easily came first with Wood and horse, showing good movement from the early stages. Jockey Tozaki rode the race two weeks ago to get a feel for it, just as he did at the Victoria Mile, which was also after the break. Jockey Tozaki also rode the horse in the chase a week ago, and he made a big break from the middle of the three wood horses with impressive growth.
[Final chase]Jockey Tozaki also rode during the week of the race, and he matched the horse with wood. From the formation with horses in the front and back, we adjusted the usual three horses to fit between the two horses on the left and right in a straight line. At the beginning of the race, they made up their minds quickly, and when they were briefly given the go-ahead midway through the straight, they accelerated sharply. He doesn’t have to worry about the two opponents and is able to get out wide and finish first. I liked the fact that even after he slipped out, Tozaki jockey followed him to make sure he was in good condition.
[Opinion]I don’t have to worry about the fact that I am preparing for a trip to the United States or that it is my first time running an unknown distance, and I am able to digest the menu according to the adjustment rhythm that I won the GI race in the spring. The movement of the horse itself is comparable to that of spring, and in fact, the force when it breaks out may be even more powerful than that of spring. He seems to have gained some weight physically, and although he is only 5 years old, he may still be in the growth stage. Solid momentum.
Overall rating “S”
Mainichi Crown 2023 prediction column list
jockey data
◆[Jockey data]“Triple one-point match” Songline and Schnellmeister are all in the race, 100% data applicable to the horse racing ticket The remaining seat is…
follow-up diagnosis
◆[Follow-up diagnosis]Higher rating than Justin Cafe “A” “You can expect him to reach his full potential without worrying about his physical condition”
◆[Catch-up diagnosis]One corner of the overthrow/song line has a low rating of dry “B” “The way the load is applied is much lighter…”
◆[Catch-up diagnosis]Highly rated “A”, which is the same as Schnellmeister, is Anama “In perfect condition with increased sense of volume”
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data analysis
◆[Data strategy]Anonymous horses with a condition of “77.7% winning ticket rate” The basis for “can be bought honestly” as shown by the race results
◆[Data strategy]“Best time to buy” if the expected popularity is below 10. “2.3.2.2” A hole horse that should be reconsidered if it meets the conditions
◆[Data Strategy]“Should be included in WIN5 along with Schnellmeister” The trend of producing winning horses for 4 consecutive years matches the GI non-winning horses
◆[Data strategy]“3.1.0.0” is popular. “100% success rate” condition is activated, so the hole party is also abandoned?
Pedigree prediction
◆[Bloodline prediction]“Cheat-class mother and father” who has a single recovery value of over 120 and also “Songline Slash” who produces “2.1.0.3”
Anama prediction
◆[Ana Rise]“We have more experience than Songline and others” Blind spot with winning odds of “30x” or more
◆[Ana Rise]“The “difference” from Schnellmeister is attractive” Assassin with an estimated “6 popularity”
◆[Ana Rise]“With two GI horses in the spotlight, areyoareyo…” The wonders of the previous day’s odds of “double digits”
◆[WIN5 prediction]The song line will be “erased” in the top two, and Opal S will be “expected to be popular in double digits” which is interesting.
◆[Dangerous popular horses]Two major prize winners “simply” disappeared, and it is inevitable that they will have a hard time with the winning ticket rate of “17.1%”
10/7~10/9 Major prize all head diagnosis
◆[Mainichi Crown 2023/Full head analysis]“The grass is 1800m long and the weight is 57kg, but…” The reason why I can’t lower the rating of the song line
◆[Kyoto Grand Prix 2023/Full head analysis]Heat on beat can also be “erased” The veteran who meets the “2.3.1.0” conditions is the favorite ◎ Candidate
◆[Saudi Arabia RC2023/Full-horse analysis]Two “future Classic candidates” are the main focus, with a “one-point match” in sight
Author profile
Takeki Nishimura ●Freelance writer
A freelance writer who specializes in the evaluation of racehorses and continues to write mainly for internet media. Currently, he writes and is in charge of weekly reports on all major prize-winning horses for UMAJIN.net’s “Horse Racing Salon.” He is also involved in the professional wrestling industry and has contributed to Weekly Pro Wrestling and books.
[Video]Mainichi Crown 2023 Songline Training Video
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