Inaugurations and foundation stones have been a constant on the agenda of the Andalusian president for two weeks, John Manuel Moreno (PP). Beyond speculation, this countdown is the clearest sign that regional elections are close and the political planning of everything is blatantly electoral. Once they are convened, the law prohibits self-promotion and it is forbidden to cut ribbons, or start works in schools, health centers or sewage treatment plants. For this reason, everything that can be opened or sold will have a photo with the Chairman of the Board in the coming days, weeks or months, depending on the duration of what threatens to be the longest pre-campaign in the history of the community. A scenario in which a new actor has broken into the last week, the EU funds, and the open war between the popular and the Government for their distribution. Moreno will visit Brussels this week, while the Executive will send three ministers to the region to defend that the community is one of the most benefited.
Moreno insists that, if there is a blockade in February, he will call elections immediately
Elizabeth Morillo. Madrid
The Andalusian president does not rule out elections this spring, after aiming for June or October, and warns that, if he cannot carry out his initiatives, he will open the polls
It is an open secret, the elections will be sooner rather than later, possibly at the latest in June, and now it’s up to the president not to make a mistake and convene just when it benefits the PP the most, measuring the times well. Not even before the bill, without a solid and convincing argument, because the Andalusians, say the electoral historians, punish capricious calls, even more so in a pandemic. Taking into account the instability of the health and economic situation, the difficulty lies in controlling, not only what the polls say for his party, but also for the formation of a government, which the PP does not want to have to share or decide with Vox. Moreno knows that it is not easy and more than once he has admitted that he knows that he runs the risk of making a mistake by wanting to endure too much or if he ends up rushing ahead of time. when the next February 13 vote Castilla y León, many unknowns will be cleared up and the pressure on Andalusia will also rise a lot from then on.
The PSOE pulls ministers
The agenda is frenetic and this week competes, moreover, with the landing of ministers, landed in Andalusia to neutralize the confrontation message with the government. This has finished with the Minister of Finance, Maria Jesus Montero, announcing together with the socialist leader John Swords financing for line 3 of the Seville metro and asking the Board to park the confrontation. And the one that begins is waiting for the ministers of Defense and Transport and to the owner of Interior.
in full offensive against the distribution of European funds, the meeting of the Governing Council in Andalusia is brought forward to Monday and, again, after Almería two weeks ago, the appointment will be outside the usual headquarters of the Palace of San Telmo to move to Cádiz. Moreno announced that they are working on a Perte (strategic project for economic recovery and transformation) for the naval industry that will benefit Puerto Real and the entire Bay. “I hope, trust and wish to reach an agreement soon”Moreno pointed out when announcing the project that, financed with EU funds, requires the cooperation of the central Executive and the Board.
The PP is reinforced in the Andalusian provinces where Vox is gaining ground
Elizabeth Morillo. Seville
The Andalusian agenda is loaded with measures in favor of the fishing grounds where the rights fight: the wink from Genoa to Huelva and the transfer of the Government meeting to Almería expose the strategy
The meeting is moved up a day because Moreno is moving to Brussels this week, with an agenda that has not yet been confirmed, but with meetings with three European commissioners until Wednesday. This trip to the European Commission is not trivial when the PP reinforces its offensive against the Government for the distribution of funds Next Generation. She was the president of MadridIsabel Diaz Ayuso, the first to open the judicial process by presenting a recourse to the Supreme for the “arbitrariness” in the distribution of aid from the Ministry of Labor that benefited Valencia, Extremadura, Navarra and the Basque Country. The national directorate of Paul Married supported this judicial strategy in the first row and the autonomous presidents of the PP came out to redouble the offensive ensuring that they do not rule out also going to court.
confrontation and dialogue
However, that strategy has eroded in recent days after Both Andalusia and Galicia have shown that they are much more interested in resolving the dispute out of court. The judicial process could lead to a delay in the arrival of key funds to launch projects on which economic recovery depends and which, in addition, in the current Andalusian context, may be an electoral claim. From the Government of the Junta, the first to publicly distance himself from this strategy in court was the Minister of Economy, Rogelio Velasco, of Cs, who warned of the negative consequences for the agility in the arrival and execution of the games. Days later, the Andalusian president himself opted to resume the dialogue with the government of Pedro Sánchez, demanding more transparency and deepen the territorialization of promised funds. Moncloa has included this “co-governance” in an item on the agenda of the next Conference of Presidents.
Moncloa will review the management of EU funds to try to quell the revolt of the Autonomous Communities
Ivan Gil
Co-governance will be addressed in the regional forum on La Palma. The objective is greater decentralization beyond the distribution for the regions, which was defined in 55% of the total
Casado has expanded the legal offensive and does not rule out going to the Constitutional Court and the European supervisory bodies to denounce a distribution “by finger” and without objective criteria. In its political discourse, the PP in Andalusia does not intend to stop amplifying that complaint of grievance and impairment, so they insist that there is no difference with Genoa. They do not rule out, they assure, going to court and they will redouble any denunciation in this sense if they believe that Andalusia is being harmed. However, something else is what they transfer from a more technical point of view from the Treasury or Economy departments, with a much more practical vision in the execution of the items and more reluctant to judicialize the distribution.
No margin of error
Last Wednesday, Moreno surprised Fitur by opening the door to an imminent call in February if there was a political blockade. It sowed hysteria. It was not the first time that he had spoken of that month, when parliamentary activity is resumed, to measure whether or not it is possible to continue the legislature with Vox waging war on the Government and without being able to count on PSOE and United We Can. Parliamentary statistics say that that block, until now, does not exist, although the Andalusian budget was extended because the new accounts for 2022 knocked down the opposition.
Moreno wanted to give a warning to his political opponents in the face of the possibility that they would put his Minister of Health on the ropes in an extraordinary plenary session. Something that finally didn’t happen for the abstention of Vox, which threatens but does not drown the Government. The collapse of health in primary care in a sixth wave overflowing with infections and without health resources, it is, without a doubt, the great black mole in the management of the Board of PP and Cs.
Moncloa will review the management of EU funds to try to quell the revolt of the Autonomous Communities
Ivan Gil
Co-governance will be addressed in the regional forum on La Palma. The objective is greater decentralization beyond the distribution for the regions, which was defined in 55% of the total
Nervousness took hold of the Andalusian political class after Moreno’s warning, but in the end the threat turned against the PP, which tried to turn off the noise in the following days without success and with erosion. In the popular rows they admit that the margin narrows and that Playing with the election date is no longer an option. They venture in the Andalusian president’s team that the next time he talks about the polls it will be to call elections.
Vox grew up asking for urgent elections, what it wants immediately and before the call for Castile and Leon Puncture the high expectations that the polls give you. PSOE and the rest of the parties of the left, United We Can, Adelante Andalucía or Andaluces Rise up They reproached Moreno for playing with the electoral date with the collapsed Health and the number of infections by covid shot. Cs played the clue by insisting that the president did not say what he had said. Moreno already knows that step on quicksand and that the margin left to fuel speculation is short. What’s more, it can come back to haunt you. Hitting the electoral button at the exact moment and in such an unstable and polarized political climate, with so many uncontrollable elements in the middle of a pandemic, will be important. The polls give the PP and Moreno the next president as the winner, but they are just that, polls. That is also openly admitted by the Andalusian PP that spent 37 years in the opposition.