2024-03-09 08:41:14
arts/basketball guy
Two seemingly unrelated but vaguely connected things have happened in the NBA recently: The first game occurred on February 12, US time, when Victor Wembanyama, the league’s blocking leader and the No. 1 pick in this season’s draft, played away against the Toronto Raptors. At that time, he scored 27 points, 14 rebounds, and 10 blocks in the “Hot Pot Big Three”; and the second game was in the United States. February 17th was the 30th anniversary of the last Big Four in the league. This game The earth-shattering and exaggerated achievements were created by retired Spurs Hall of Fame center David Robinson.
You don’t need to be a data guru to connect the above two things: the quadruple-double is one of the most difficult record achievements in NBA history. It has only been officially recorded 4 times in more than 70 years of history. As shown below (the NBA’s interception and blocking records were only officially included in the calculation in the 1973-74 season, so the real number of achievements may be higher):
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Nate Thurmond (reached 1974): 22 points, 14 rebounds, 13 assists, 12 blocks
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Alvin Robertson (reached 1986): 20 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists, 10 steals
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Hakeem Olajuwon (reached 1990): 18 points, 16 rebounds, 10 assists, 11 blocks
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David Robinson (Achieved in 1994): 34 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists, 10 blocks
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In recent years, we are witnessing the most prosperous “Big Three Yuan craze” in history. Before the 2016-17 season, the league’s most triple triples in a single season was 78, held by the 1988-89 season of the offensive era. However, in the seven years since 16-17 to the present, the league’s most triple triples have been recorded every year. The total number of three dollars has exceeded three digits, and it is expected to continue to climb this season.
即使大三元的次數如此之多，我們卻還沒等到聯盟第五次的「大四喜」表現，然而在超級獨角獸Wembanyama 出現後，或許可以期待他突破這個高懸整整30 年以上的log. How difficult is it to complete your fourth birthday? First of all, your defensive performance must be at the top level in the league. At the same time, your size, vision, skills and even physical fitness must be excellent. What will be the result? This generational figure known as the “alien” only took half a season to make people feel that he has great hope of reaching the standard.
Further reading:Phenomenal first half of rookie year: 7 games where Victor Wembanyama shocked the world
Big four are almost rare. One of the reasons why they have become extinct in modern times is that there are fewer and fewer exaggerated defensive statistics. From the 1985-86 to 1999-2000 seasons, there were at least 3 players in almost every season (except one). Players averaged more than 3 blocks per game, but since then, there has not been any season in the league where more than 2 players have averaged hits per game – even after the 2005-06 season, it was amazing to have 1 player. Let alone two of them.
The decline in hot pot numbers throughout the league will naturally lead to a decline in video game-level single-game statistics. Naturally, the chances of a big four are slim.
Throughout the 21st century, there have only been 35 games with so-called double-digit interceptions/blocks in a single game. Calculated, we only see 1.5 times in an average season. Most of these performances come from the team’s defensive green leaf players. These players can’t even achieve the average big three. Therefore, even if the defensive data is overwhelming, the chance of a big four is still out of reach. For example, a small guard like TJ McConnell, who has a sharp eye and quick hands, has the ability to intercept 10 times in a single game, but it is too difficult for him to pull down 10 rebounds; or Hassan Whiteside, who recently announced his retirement, once blocked 10+ blocks. Although he has poor vision, he has never had double-digit assists in his career.
Now that the savior Wembanyama has appeared, the topic of four big wins has finally emerged; but before he enters the league, does anyone in the NBA have the slightest chance to accomplish this feat?
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Anthony Davis seems to be a perfect candidate. He has at least achieved 10 blocks in a single game, and his creativity on the offensive end is far better than Whiteside. However, the Lakers super center is still not versatile enough, allowing him to increase the number of assists to close to the level of a triple-digit player. In the 712 games played by Yimei Taoist so far in his career, he has only provided 10+ assists twice in a single game. This means that although there are opportunities, if he has to make a big hit in the same game and show his wonderful passing vision, I am afraid it will be worse than It will be even more difficult for the Taiwan men’s basketball team to return to the top four in Asia. This is also shown in the statistics. In 30 career games with more than 6 blocks, AD has only once had more than 5 assists in the same game.
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Davis has achieved three triples, two of which were 11 assists this season. However, as his passing switch is turned on, the 30-year-old with thick eyebrows who has transformed his style of play seems to be unable to go back to his former self. That defensive beast – since January 2020, he has never blocked more than 8 blocks in a single game.
Draymond Green is another all-around defensive weapon. He is the only individual player in the league who has ever reached the standard of “big triple without scoring”. His statistics at that time were 11 rebounds, 10 assists, and 10 steals. (Created in 2017, against the Grizzlies). If he had been more selfish and taken more shots, maybe he would have become the fifth player in the league to set a record for four major games. We don’t need to go into a long discussion here.
However, Green, who has experienced ups and downs since then, seems unlikely to replicate the magic of 7 years ago. After that classic game, he never accumulated more than 8 interceptions or blocks in a single game. above.
Let’s turn the focus to another relatively young player: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. His talents on the offensive end need not be mentioned. More importantly, he was the two-time NBA single-season interception leader. Before Wembanyama came along, He may be the candidate with the best chance to challenge for the Big Four; however, so far, SGA has not accumulated 7+ interceptions (or 4+ blocks) in a single game in his NBA career. On behalf of him and this extremely special record, there is still Not even close.
The distance between Gilgeous-Alexander and a big four also makes us understand how difficult it is to achieve a big four with interceptions. According to general NBA game data, there will be more interceptions than blocks, but most interceptions will be distributed among multiple players, while blocks will be concentrated on a few specific rim protectors. SGA is the only fast player with 2 interceptions this season, and there are currently only 8 players in the league who can average 2 interceptions in a single game.
Going back to what I just said, since the 21st century, the total number of individuals with 10+ blocks in a single game (30) is 6 times as many as the number of 10+ interceptions in a single game (5). Then relax the standard to 9 interceptions/blocks. , the number of double-digit blocks is still about 5 times more than interceptions.
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So except for the record challengers who have the best chance in our minds, do those big three-dimensional masters really have no chance at all? Below we list the current 7 big three-point leaders, plus the career-best single-game defensive performance of the three offensive and defensive stars. Let’s take a look at how close they were to the big four:
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Russell Westbrook: 4 blocks, 8 interceptions (but never more than 5 since leaving Oklahoma City)
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Nikola Jokic: 5 blocks, 7 interceptions
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LeBron James: 5 blocks, 7 interceptions
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James Harden: 5 blocks, 8 interceptions (but never more than 5 since leaving Rockets)
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Luka Doncic: 4 blocks, 5 interceptions
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Domantas Sabonis: 4 blocks, 5 interceptions
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Giannis Antetokounmpo: 7 blocks, 5 interceptions
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Joel Embiid: 7 blocks, 5 interceptions
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Jimmy Butler: 5 blocks, 7 interceptions
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Bam Adebayo: 6 blocks, 6 interceptions
From the above data, we can see that, except for Westbrook and Harden, who have declined from their peak, other players have never performed 8 defensive statistics in a single game, even though these players are many of the league’s top defensive players.
Stars such as Giannis or Adebayo, or other new stars such as Scottie Barnes, Jalen Johnson, etc., theoretically still have the opportunity to challenge double digits in steals and blocks, or at least the possibility of a “5X5” (this special data means scoring, Rebounds, assists, interceptions, and blocks all occurred more than 5 times, and appeared more frequently.The latest one was also achieved by Wemby on February 24th.the data is 27 points, 10 rebounds, 8 assists, 5 steals plus blocks; the most recent one before him was Jusuf Nurkic in 2019), but when it comes to 10 times, it still seems a bit unrealistic…
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