[Oka Sho / Hole Rise]Assumed “8 popular” ambush soldiers “The previous run is equal to victory” | SPREAD

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Takeshi Yamada

Last 10 years,Cherry Blossom AwardThen, the previous run / Tulip Sho group won the most 5 wins at[5-7-6-29]. However, Buena Vista in 2009 was the last horse to win the Oka Sho in the Tulip Sho, and it is rather conspicuous that horses in the second or less in the Tulip Sho will rewind in production.

In addition, after 2018 when he was promoted to GII, he finished 2nd with[0-3-2-12]. In recent years, the activity of “Direct Rote” has been remarkable, and last year, Sodashi and Satono Reinas, who went straight from Hanshin Juvenile F, made a one-two.

However, when the horses that left the results in this direct Rote are lined up, Sodashi, Satono Reinas, Gran Alegria, Almond Eye, Red Reveur, and the horses within the second most popular are lined up. This year, I couldn’t find any horses that were expected to be the most popular in the direct Rote group, but rather I saw that there was a “blind spot” in the previous run / trial group.

◆[Oka Sho 2022 Prediction / Anoma Analyze vol.1]Winning “2-digit” odds planet “Gut daughter who can not underestimate opponent strengthening”

■ Namura Clair

Armed with the speed of the top generation, he won the Kokura 2-year-old S in the sprint game in the summer of 2 and won the big prize title. In the following previous run Fillies’ Revue, it gained 1.7 times the support, but it was able to ride well on the second popular Sublime Anthem and was up to 2nd place.

In the previous race, the winning horse that ran around the economic course, the horse is a horse race with a lot of loss that is turned outside. The fact that he started running with a horse weight of 12 kg for the first time in three months, which made him look a little better, also affected the way he went. Although he lost, it is evaluated as equal to winning.

There are many voices of anxiety about distance suitability in the mileage battle again. It is true that the distance is extended and the order of arrival is lowered, but it is premature to ask the distance for the cause of defeat because the opponent is getting stronger in proportion to it. The content of the race itself is not bad, and the defensive range is 1600m so that the result does not collapse significantly. Furthermore, when it comes to the innermost frame this time, I think that this is the best aim because it has lost its reputation.

The battle from the second Fillies’ Revue of the 2-year-old Queen Ogura is reminiscent of Reine Minoru, who was crowned in 2017. Before the war, this horse was also whispered about distance anxiety, and although he was content with the 8th popularity in the actual race, he escaped from the leading group in the race and pushed it out as it was. It would be nice to recreate the horse, which follows a similar battle process as this time.

◆[Oka Sho 2022 Prediction / Anoma Analyze vol.2]Explosive hole with a range of “Manba ticket” in the betting ticket “Do not look at the front frock”

◆[Oka Sho 2022 Prediction / Overtake Diagnosis]”A” evaluation along with Circle of Life is an ambush “possibility to do a big job”

◆[Oka Sho 2022 Prediction / Dangerous Popular Horse]”Erase” evaluation in one corner of a leading horse “Scoop your feet by another route group”

▼ UMAJIN Channel “Winning! Okai Juku-Oka Sho Edition”

Author profile

Tsuyoshi Yamada ● Editor-in-chief of “SPREAD”
Former editor-in-chief of horse racing monthly magazine, and now editor-in-chief of media “SPREAD” that reads the future of sports. He has been pursuing the Anoma conjecture ever since he was shocked by the runaway of the 16th most popular 2nd place Meisho Tesoro in the 1995 Mile CS. “Uma Musume” is recommended by Gold Ship.

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