2023-08-11 02:01:13
If the Kahala incident was a coincidence in terms of the time and place of the truck overturning, then the repercussions and results that followed it cannot be considered coincidental, because it carried many messages and can be read from more than one perspective, especially from the perspective of profit and loss.
First of all, it must be noted that human losses are the most severe in all types of accidents because they cannot be compensated, and therefore, the focus will be on political losses, and perhaps profit, in this field. In the following, we will review those directly involved (from the political point of view) in this bloody incident, and although it left an impact on everyone, three were the most vulnerable to it: Hezbollah, Army Commander General Joseph Aoun, head of the Free Patriotic Movement, Representative Gebran Bassil. Hezbollah fell into the category of losses, as it lost one of its elements on the one hand, and embarrassed itself with the Christian forces, and presented its competitors with a card that they did not expect, and it will work to avoid its consequences, of course. It is natural that the party is not about to escalate, which is how it seemed from the first moment of the incident, and it is certain that it wished that the incident had taken place in a non-Christian area, because it wanted to divert attention from it in the current period, during the ongoing negotiations with the Free Patriotic Movement and with Other forces are on the scene. Follow-up sources consider that the party will compensate for its loss with two main things: the first is its recovery of weapons and ammunition, and the second is its keenness not to hand over any of its shooters, so that it would have gained morally and limit an unexpected loss, while being careful not to let things slip away, because any Uncalculated confrontations, specifically with the Christians, will not be in the interest of the party, even if it has the advantage in field control, but in the long run, the loss will be great and it will not be able to bear it.
As for the army commander, he is in an unenviable position. Some have pointed the finger at the leadership for delaying the army’s push to the region in order to cordon things off and prevent confrontations. The accusations also targeted General Aoun in terms of “meeting” the party’s demands and enhancing the chances of acceptance of it. as a presidential candidate. Regardless of what these accusations will lead to, and whether they will expand in the coming hours or will they recede with the progress of time, the army commander lost politically, with everyone realizing that there is no doubt that any possible confrontation between the army and the party will undermine the life of Lebanon as a whole, and will be As a dispersion of this country and the destruction of its foundations and pillars and identity. Noting that the leadership’s handling of the Kahala incident did indeed resonate well with Hezbollah, without this necessarily implying the validity of the accusations made.
For his part, Basil also seems to be among the political losers from this incident, as he has recently returned the heat to the relationship between the Free Patriotic Movement and Hezbollah, and found himself in the dock by popularly active Christian forces, who deliberately embarrassed him in the Christian street and showed him that he prefers the party. On the Christian environment, and that he was lurking behind the Christians and pretending that he was demanding their rights, while he only wanted to achieve his own interests. This accusation also put Basil in the category of losers, so he counterattacked and did not stand by the party but rather did not attack it, and he will work in the next stage to absorb popular resentment and complete his dialogue and efforts that he started to establish himself as a mandatory passage for the next president.
As for the lesson, it remains that the army is indeed the solution, and that without it, Lebanon’s identity would be threatened.
1691725431
#Profit #loss #accounts #party #Aoun #Bassil