Predictions for Boca vs Racing Quarterfinal Series: A Tight Battle with Minimal Margin

2023-08-14 02:56:11

13/08/2023 2:56hs.

Polls, especially in electoral times, are usually a thermometer, they set trends, they play their own party. It is true, sometimes they are questioned, especially in the political arena, but placed on the football field, they impose the level of parity, whether they vote their own or strangers, fanatics or impartial.

Well, the query that Olé made about who will win the quarterfinal series between Boca and Racing somehow confirms the general feeling about this new cup clash: the result is practically a technical tie, with an exit box (exactly) that gives Xeneize the winner by a very narrow margin, but that clearly indicates that it will be a goat, tight, detailed crossover, without a favorite.

In the Olé survey, in which more than 80,000 people voted, Boca wins by just two points: 51% to 49%. It is an inclination supported by some parameters, but by no means conclusive. Now, taking all those items that make it possible to give an account of a verdict, is it really so? Does the Xeneize arrive a little better than the Academy at this crossover that will define who of the two will get into the top four in America?

The football image in the round of 16

There, it is Racing that left better sensations than Boca. For the way in which he ended his series, in regulation time, submitting his rival, without suffering, achieving a defensive balance that he had not had in other all-or-nothing games, and even showing a sample of character with respect to other definitions (elimination in the Sudamericana 2022 against River de Montevideo and Copa Argentina 2022 against Agropecuario).

In addition, he overcame the ghosts of another frustration, such as having lost the title with River on the last date in that penalty saved by Armani, precisely at the hands of Boca. Therefore, with this victory against Atlético Nacional by 3-0, they broke the wall.

Boca, on the other hand, needed to go to penalties to go to Nacional, although it is true that they deserved more in the development of the game and that they should not have suffered so much. But that inconsistency, those deconcentrations that cost him the two draws at unexpected moments, were a wake-up call, an alert that could well have left him out. Likewise, the two arrive with a cup clean and jerk.

What has one and the other

In potential, maybe In general terms, Boca has more hierarchy and variants in its squad. It is true, in any case, that both have strong figures and that the reinforcements that Racing will be able to register for the quarterfinals (Almendra, Juanfer Quinteros and Colombo) seem to have more weight than those that their rival will put on the list (Bullaude, Saracchi and -today- Taborda).

Cavani and several national team players. (AP Photo/Gustavo Garello)

But in the position by position, the Xeneize prevails. Even, while Almirón recovered Luca Langoni and will have Cavani with a different rhythm, Gago could be left without Roger Martínez, an unbalancing level against the Colombians.

Home and away streaks

The localities also have their weight in the Cup. The series will start in the Bombonera. And there, with Nacional, Boca tied again after several games. In general, with Almirón he became strong at home: they won nine of the last 11 and in the Libertadores, they won three of four. Racing, as a visitor, faltered in Colombia, putting the classification at risk. And in the Cup they won two (Nublense and Aucas) and lost two (Flamengo and Nacional).

Racing became strong at home in the Cup. (AP Photo/Gustavo Garello)

Now, in the Cylinder, where the round will be played, the Academy was strengthened in this Libertadores: they won three and tied another (vs. Fla), with one less. Xeneize, when they had to leave, had a victory (Colo Colo), two draws and a loss (Pereira). For this reason, in general terms, there is also great parity here.

Background

In the background they also go and go. The last tactical cross between Almirón and Gago was in favor of the former: on 4/29, that 3-1 win for the League that showed one of the best productions of the DT cycle at Xeneize.

However, the Academy prevailed in the last two finals that they played between themselvesí, the 2022 Champions Trophy, with a hot definition and 11 expelled; and in the International Super Cup, in January this year in Al Ain. Of course, in the last Libertadores crossing, also for the quarterfinals but in 2020, the one that went to the semifinals was the team that Russo directed at the time. very even

penalties

And if everything is solved from the 12 steps? Well, Chiquito Romero and Arias get sparks. The one from Boca saved six of the 11 that kicked him at Xeneize. And Racing’s, in series contained 6 of 24 (25%). That is to say, they are two specialists in the matter, so the series is also very open there.

Rosemary, a specialist. ( EFE/ Juan Ignacio Roncoroni)Arias also shortens penalties. (AP)

The fans have already voted. It’s time to play…

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