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Global trade Deals in The Balance: Tariff deadline Looms, central Banks Weigh Action
Washington D.C. – The clock is ticking on international trade deals as the July 9th tariff deadline approaches, casting a shadow of uncertainty over global markets. Together, central banks around the world are poised to make critical decisions that could ripple through the financial system.
Trade tensions Reach A Fever Pitch
Three Months ago, President Trump granted a reprieve on reciprocal tariffs, hoping to forge more favorable trade agreements. However, with the deadline looming, only the United Kingdom and Vietnam have inked deals with the U.S. A truce with China has temporarily eased triple-digit tariff rates.
Negotiations With India, Japan, and south Korea Have stalled, but surprisingly, talks with the European Union are showing promise.A potential agreement with Canada is also on the horizon.
It’s Increasingly Unlikely that deals with all of America’s major trading partners will materialize by July 9. The question now is whether President Trump will extend the deadline for those without agreements or reimpose tariffs.
The Most probable scenario involves Trump leveraging the threat of higher tariffs to extract concessions before granting another extension.
market Reaction Hinges On Deal Success
Market Sentiment will largely depend on the number and significance of signed agreements. Limited deals, excluding major players like Japan, India, and the E.U., may only yield cautious optimism and a modest boost to risk assets.
Central Banks In Focus: Rate Decisions And Economic Data
Beyond trade,investors Are keenly awaiting signals from central banks on future monetary policy.
Hopes For a July rate cut by the Federal Reserve diminished after a strong jobs report. Continued positive data could further reduce the likelihood of a September cut, as per a recent Reuters poll.
Fed Minutes To Provide Clues
With No Major