2024-03-26 23:01:00
The war in Ukraine has heated up again as “Vladimir Putin” wins the election to become president of Russia for a fifth term. He has warned the West that he is bringing the conflict into World War 3 if it tries to intervene. Send troops into Ukraine to help with the conflict.
This signal causes the world to keep an eye on how fierce the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will be this year. Asst. Prof. Dr. Kritsada Promwek Faculty of Political Science, Department of International Relations, Ramkhamhaeng University said
This war has dragged on into its third year. “Ukraine” It still receives support from the West and the United States. In moving forward to respond “Russia” Continuing after seizing important strategic areas in many points, especially the city of Avdivka, which is only 20 km from Donetsk region. “It is a frontier city.” Can connect and penetrate into other areas in Ukraine.
such as “Odessa and Nikolaev” It is the center of Western military equipment repair factories. And still able to advance and attack. “Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson.” which can still be seized only in part
Because recently Russia is in the election period. As a result, the battle could not be fully fought. “Putin” Won a landslide election victory. “Come back with a new format for attacking Ukraine.” By using long-range guided weapons and drones. and missiles of destruction To reduce losses by having soldiers stationed in points captured from Ukraine.
It can be observed from the past period. “Russia” Emphasis on using more modern weapons as well. “FAB-1500” It was a 1.5 ton weapon dropped from a plane to attack the Ukrainian front line. causing heavy damage
Also used “Thermobaric Or a vacuum bomb.” which is fired from a rocket or artillery shells for dispersing fuel aerosols. and the charge exploded causing a large spark. As a result, foreign mercenaries who came to fight in Ukraine incurred many losses. And some are giving up more and more.
In fact “State of Russia” The goal of occupation is limited to a specific area. People of “Russian descent” include Karson, Crimea, Mariupol, Donetsk, Donbass, Luhansk, Odessa, Mikolayiv, but in the western part of Ukraine there are often ethnic groups. Ukraine directly If Russia takes control of it, it may result in resistance to the point of being unable to control the government.
But the reason why “Russia has stepped up its attacks in a new round.” Because they want to cause as much damage as possible to Ukraine. To show the power of weapons to western nations that Russia still has many weapons of mass destruction. Both counter the news of the claim that “Russia uses weapons to fight” Until there is very little left that is just creating fake news.
It’s still virtual. “NATO threats and western nations” In the case of preparations for sending troops into Ukraine to support the fight against Russia until it was the source of the cause “Putin” must announce that Russia ready to use nuclear weapons If NATO officially sends troops into Ukraine as well.
For sending soldiers There were only a few countries that supported it, such as Lithuania, Poland, and Finland, but large countries such as Italy and Germany did not agree because they were worried that it would cause the war to become even more violent. to “World War 3” The full version is easier to follow.
For now, Russia has overlooked the conflict with Ukraine. “But it is a conflict with NATO.” Therefore, the more troops and weapons sent to help Ukraine, the more opportunities Russia can destroy.
If you look back at the beginning “War in Ukraine” The Russian military is moving hypersonic missiles. or hypersonic to “Kaliningrad” To strengthen the buffer zone near EU member states. and NATO, so Lithuania is trying to prevent it, fearing that Russia will expand its front line to this side as well.
make use of excuses “Sanction measures” to prevent Russia from transporting military personnel and ordnance by train through the Suwalki Strait into Kaliningrad. to force them to use the boat route instead But in the end, it could not be blocked because “Russia” Announcement if Suwalki Strait is blocked “Ready to start a war” This makes NATO very worried about this.
Next thing “The Way to End the War in Ukraine” As far as following the news “Russia” They are trying to open the way to peace negotiations. only to return all occupied territory to “Ukraine” According to the demands, it would be impossible. When this is the case, consider “Putin” There should be a plan to overthrow the government. “Volodimir Zelensky.” This Ukrainian president
This signal can be picked up from “Dmitry Medvedev, former president of Russia” A close confidant of Mr. Putin once said that “Russia may have to seize Kiev.” This makes it possible to infer that Russia’s next plan may be to seize Kiev. to form a new government and push Mr. Zelensky’s government into a government-in-exile instead
To defeat the board in not having to pay the debt. “Western nations and the United States” Delivered to use in the war with Russia today. “Which is a debt owed by the old leader.” And now the United States has a new focus on providing assistance to “Israel” in the fight against Hamas, the Houthis and Iran.
Not only recently “US House of Representatives” also did not approve the new bailout money worth 60 billion dollars to “Ukraine” Making this matter, Mr. Zelenskiy is facing a rather serious situation.
Next comes the issue. “War affects the world economy” Of course, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will result in high oil prices, inflation, and expensive daily food items around the world. But in “Thailand” Now it’s beginning to appear. “Russian and Ukrainian people” Came to stay and create more influence in the southern region and Pattaya, Chonburi Province.
As for the impact on “The cost of living economy is increasing.” In particular, there is a shortage of wheat, which is an ingredient in human food such as processed food. Instant food Ready-to-eat food and animal feed to have higher prices Because entrepreneurs must face “Supply shortage problem” Competition to buy wheat from other sources pushes the price up.
Therefore, the consequences of conflict “Russia-Ukraine” This pushes up the price of wheat and continues to affect the price of food that consumers have to pay. both meat following the high price of animal feed or instant noodles Bread at the price of wheat and high prices for substitute grains are aggravating inflation. and the purchasing power of households is fragile.
But with the battle entering its third year, some people are only able to adjust their lives to suit the situation. “Israel-Hamas War” Coming to aggravate the global economy, especially the Houthi attacks on merchant ships in the Red Sea that are likely to prolong and expand. “Cape of Good Hope” to put pressure on the United States and Britain ended Israeli military operations against Gaza.
Resulting in freight rates Risk insurance premiums have increased. and the travel distance was further delayed.
Finally, what is worth watching is “US Elections 2024” It is another solution for ending the war between Russia-Ukraine as well because “Donald Trump” Run for president of the United States Along with announcing that they will not send aid money to Ukraine. “If we win the US election” to hasten the end of the war with Russia
In this case, it was not as smooth as expected because “Donald Trump” Announcement of turning to trade war with “China” For example, increasing tariffs on cars produced in Mexico by Chinese companies to 100% to protect the US auto industry would mean “Can end the Russia-Ukraine war” Instead, it has turned to an intensified trade war.
This is something to watch since “Putin” won the election by a landslide and became the consensus of the Russian people. “We are agreeing on a way forward for the war in Ukraine,” signaling that in 2024 the battle will likely be fierce for change. “Ukrainian leaders” end this protracted war.
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