2023-06-02 12:50:00
The stage of thirds to which he referred Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner in his last television appearance he was once again ratified by a face-to-face survey carried out in May. There, in addition to a technical tie, registers Javier Miley as the individual figure with the highest percentage of consent among those consulted.
give your opinion consulted which would be the spaces to vote in case the elections were tomorrow, to try to capture a photo of the political and electoral moment. The results, beyond the negative image of the main leaders of the Frente de Todos, favored the ruling party by a minimum percentage (26%).
However, from the consultant they expressed that it is a triple technical draw, something that they also recorded in the last quarter. In the case of Together for Change and La Libertad Avanza, they added 24%.
In another item, the question is directed to the possibility that those consulted choose between a palette of seven candidates from the three forces mentioned above. Here the one with the highest secure floor of votes is Javier Milei (16%), with a ceiling of “I could vote for him” that reaches 26%.
“Javier Milei is the leader of the study with the highest electoral ceiling (safest possible vote). However, his potential vote, which is 42%, registers a retraction of 2 points compared to last month,” they analyzed in the document.
Behind the deputy of La Libertad Avanza is Axel Kicillof, although with half the safe vote (8%) and a lower percentage of “possible vote” (18%). In that order they are followed by Patricia Bullrich (7% and 21%), Sergio Massa (6% and 29%), Horacio Rodríguez Larreta (4% and 29%), Daniel Scioli (3% and 27%) and Eduardo “Wado” of Pedro (3% and 17%).
Survey: who wins in the fight between Jorge Macri and Martín Lousteau in the city of Buenos Aires
The fact shared by these seven figures is that they have more than 50% agreement that they would never vote for them.
Regarding these numbers and the Juntos por el Cambio intern, the study adds: “Horacio Rodríguez Larreta (33%) registers a greater potential vote than Patricia Bullrich (28%), however, the former Minister of Security has a slightly safe vote superior to that of the Buenos Aires Head of Government”. He also considers that Kicillof “is the leader with the lowest electoral ceiling: 67% affirm that he would never vote for him.”
STEP scenarios: advantage of Larreta and Massa
In another order, give your opinion measured in different primary scenarios the main political forces that will face each other on August 13. A caveat must be made here: none of them considered Edward “Wado” of Peterone of the strongest names installed in the last two weeks.
In context one, Horacio Rodriguez Larreta Patricia Bullrich won by a narrow margin (13% to 11%), while the radical deputy Facundo Manes was far from the dispute, with 3%.
In the ruling party, voters leaned towards Sergio Massa (15%), who would be the candidate to vote in the front over Daniel Scioli (11%). Just this Thursday, June 1, the ambassador in Brazil showed that he is not going to get out of the fight: Victoria Toulouse Peacethe Minister of Social Development, will be his candidate for governor in the province of Buenos Aires.
On the other hand, in La Libertad Avanza, the figure of Javier Milei concentrates all the endorsements (26%). When measuring the electoral scenarios by applicants, the survey analyzed: “In terms of individual candidacies, Milei is the presidential candidate with the most votes in the PASO”.
In the second scenario, without Facundo Manes in the internal, the majority votes are also from Larreta, who even improves his performance against Bullrich (15% against 12%). In pan-Peronism Massa rises one point (16%) and rises again over Scioli (11%). Milei collected the same number as in the first scenario.
The survey was carried out at home between May 9 and 20 in different locations throughout the country and a total of 1405 cases. It presented a margin of error +/- 2.6% and a confidence level of 95%.
LT.
You may also like
1685710501
#Survey #technical #tie #Frente #Todos #Juntos #Milei