New Zealand workers may find their pay rises diminished as increased KiwiSaver contributions come into effect on April 1st, according to economists and business leaders. The default KiwiSaver contribution rate is rising to 3.5% from both employers and employees, potentially impacting accept-home pay and annual salary increases.
The change, announced previously, is expected to affect approximately 80% of employers who operate a traditional KiwiSaver scheme where employer contributions are made on top of employee contributions. Treasury officials anticipate that the majority of the employer cost will be offset by smaller pay increases, rather than being absorbed as an additional business expense.
Kelly Eckhold, chief economist at Westpac, stated that, barring other economic factors, pay rises this year are likely to be lower as a result. “employers will pay a total level of remuneration in line with prevailing supply and demand trends in the market,” Eckhold said. “Changing the allocation of what employees do with that remuneration is not likely to change that assessment.”
Catherine Beard, director for advocacy at Business NZ, emphasized that businesses consider the total cost of employment when making hiring and compensation decisions. “ACC charges, potentially fringe benefit tax, you’re going to have training costs, you might have uniforms… as someone who is hiring you think about what is the total cost to me and my business. So over time, any cost of employment does finish up being factored into how much it costs to hire someone… superannuation KiwiSaver will be part of it.”
The impact is expected to be particularly pronounced in sectors already facing economic headwinds. Carolyn Young, chief executive of Retail NZ, highlighted the challenges facing retailers, citing a decline in apparel sales over the past year – down as much as 9.1% in February 2025. “They’re really running by the skin of their teeth — there’s no fat in the business,” Young said. “Increasing KiwiSaver… Is a place where as a country we need to head,” but she cautioned that the timing is tricky for businesses navigating increasing costs.
Craig Renney, chief economist and policy director at the Council of Trade Unions, and a Labour candidate in the upcoming election, suggested the increased contributions could lead more low-income earners to opt out of KiwiSaver. “If you’re struggling with the cost of living, 1% on your salary is quite a lot.” Renney proposed a system similar to Australia’s, where employers are solely responsible for superannuation contributions, with employees missing out on benefits if they do not participate.
An ANZ survey indicated that a third of KiwiSaver members intend to maintain the new 3.5% default rate, while 21% would contribute more if their employer matched the increase. Only 10% of members surveyed indicated they would request a temporary reduction in their contributions.