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Moscow – Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov issued a stark warning to the United States on Thursday, February 19, 2026, against any potential military strike on Iran, asserting it could have “dangerous consequences” and escalate regional tensions. Lavrov urged a focus on diplomatic solutions to address concerns surrounding Iran’s nuclear program, emphasizing the risks of miscalculation and unintended escalation.
The warning comes as indirect negotiations between U.S. And Iranian negotiators concluded in Geneva on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, aimed at de-escalating tensions. A senior U.S. Official indicated that Iran is expected to submit a written proposal regarding a resolution to the impasse, while Washington continues to demand Iran curtail its nuclear activities. The situation remains volatile, with the U.S. Simultaneously reviewing its military readiness in the region, anticipating a full deployment of forces by mid-March, according to the same U.S. Official.
Lavrov, in an interview with Al-Arabiya television, highlighted the dangers of further military action, pointing to previous attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities monitored by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). “The consequences are not good. There have already been strikes on Iran on nuclear sites under the control of the International Atomic Energy Agency. From what we can judge there were real risks of a nuclear incident,” Lavrov stated, as reported by MetroTVNews. He characterized such actions as “playing with fire.”
Regional Concerns and Diplomatic Efforts
Russia, Lavrov affirmed, maintains close contact with Iranian leadership, believing Tehran is committed to resolving disputes within the framework of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). “Any agreement must respect Iran’s legitimate rights while ensuring that their enrichment activities remain for peaceful purposes,” he added. This stance reflects Russia’s broader interest in regional stability and its strategic partnership with Iran.
According to Lavrov, regional actors, particularly Arab nations and Gulf monarchies, have signaled their disinclination towards increased tensions. He cautioned that a new confrontation could reverse recent diplomatic progress, including improved relations between Iran and neighboring countries like Saudi Arabia. This observation aligns with broader efforts to foster de-escalation and dialogue in the Middle East.
US-Iran Negotiations and Military Posturing
The Geneva talks represent a renewed attempt to revive negotiations surrounding the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal. The original agreement, which limited Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief, was abandoned by the United States in 2018 under the Trump administration. Since then, Iran has gradually rolled back its commitments under the JCPOA, leading to increased concerns about its nuclear capabilities.
While Washington insists on Iran halting its nuclear program, Tehran maintains its program is for peaceful purposes and denies seeking to develop nuclear weapons. This fundamental disagreement remains a major obstacle to a diplomatic resolution. The expectation that Iran will submit a written proposal suggests a willingness to engage in further negotiations, but the content of that proposal will be crucial in determining whether a breakthrough is possible.
Implications for Regional Stability
The potential for a U.S. Military strike on Iran carries significant risks, not only for the two countries involved but likewise for the broader region. A conflict could draw in other actors, potentially leading to a wider regional war. The presence of U.S. Military forces in the region, coupled with Iran’s support for proxy groups, creates a complex and volatile security environment. The possibility of a “nuclear incident,” as warned by Lavrov, adds another layer of concern, given the presence of nuclear facilities in Iran and the potential for miscalculation or escalation.
The situation is further complicated by Russia’s strategic interests in the region. Russia has cultivated closer ties with Iran in recent years, providing political and economic support. A conflict between the U.S. And Iran could potentially benefit Russia by weakening U.S. Influence in the Middle East and strengthening its own position. However, Russia also has a vested interest in preventing a wider regional war that could destabilize the region and disrupt its economic interests.
Looking ahead, the focus will be on Iran’s response to the U.S. Proposal and the willingness of both sides to compromise. The outcome of the negotiations will have far-reaching implications for regional security and the future of the Iran nuclear program. Continued diplomatic engagement, coupled with restraint from all parties, will be essential to prevent a dangerous escalation.
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