In fact, speaking to SKAI on Wednesday morning (6/3), Efthymis Lekkas said that according to the forecasts, in the event of an earthquake in Istanbul, up to 250,000 buildings may collapse.
Turkish seismologists report that “the data shows a large earthquake in the Sea of Marmara and Istanbul”.
The TV network A HABER broadcasted: “The tsunami will happen from here. The tsunami will come from here and these areas will be affected. These are the areas that will be most affected by the earthquake. It is red in color. They are the areas of Beylikduzu, Avjila, Makrohori, etc.”
Seismologist Bulent Oruts reported: “The tension continues to increase in the western regions, and due to this movement of energy we expect a devastating earthquake in Marmara. I can’t tell you volume and time, that would be wrong.
When we look at all the data and the physics, as well as the data of statistics, then there is a high probability that the Istanbul earthquake will happen.”
There is a lot of discussion and intense concern right now about the possibility of a strong earthquake over 7 Richter there is right now for Istanbul. The recent 4.9 Richter earthquake in the Dardanelles has led some scientists to estimate that it is a harbinger of a very large earthquake in Istanbul.
For his part, the well-known seismologist and research director of the Geodynamic Institute of the Athens Observatory, Dr. Gerasimos Chouliaras, stated that the percentage for the occurrence of an earthquake over 6.5 Richter in Istanbul is 43.6%.
In his post, Mr. Chouliaras pointed out that the method he applies to earthquake forecasting shows “poor” results for a very strong earthquake. Specifically, the well-known seismologist wrote: “The application of the modern Nowcasting method to earthquake forecasting shows poor results for a strong earthquake over 6.5 Richter in Istanbul at this time. As can be seen from my analysis today, there is only a 43.6% chance of such an event.”
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