Realmeter poll analysis
Outlook for President-elect Yoon’s execution of national affairs
“Don’t expect” 49.6%, exceeding “Expect”
President Moon’s approval rating for national affairs is rising
“The power conflict continues, and expectations are not gathered.”
President Moon Jae-in (left) and President-elect Yoon Seok-you // Hankyoreh Newspaper
After President-elect Yoon Seok-you took office, expectations that he would “go well” in national affairs fell for the second straight week, and more people expected that he would not go well. The expectation for Mr. Yoon to carry out national affairs was 46%, which was similar to the evaluation of President Moon Jae-in’s performance of national affairs (46.7%), which is about to end his term.
Opinion poll company Realmeter was asked by Media Herald to ask 2512 adults nationwide from the 21st to the 25th of this month, “Do you think President-elect Yoon will succeed in national affairs after taking office?” As a result (reliability 95%, error range ± 2 points), 46% answered that they would proceed well. Mr. Yoon’s positive outlook for the execution of national affairs is down from 52.7% in the second week of March immediately after the presidential election to 49.2% in the third week of March and 46% in the fourth week of March, falling for the second consecutive week. However, it was lower than the vote rate (48.56%) at the time of the 20th presidential election. On the other hand, the negative response that “it will not go well” increased from 41.2% → 45.6% → 49.6% during the same period, and although it was within the margin of error this week, it exceeded the positive outlook for the first time.
In this survey, 46.7% of the respondents answered that they “evaluate” President Moon Jae-in’s performance of national affairs, up 4 points from last week. 50.7% of respondents said they would not rate it, down 3.5 points from last week.
Mr. Yoon’s expectations for the administration of national affairs are lower than those of the former president. According to the poll released by Gallup Korea on the 25th of this month, 55% of the respondents said that Mr. Yoon would “do his job well for the next five years.” It is different from the fact that the predecessor president had expected about 80% within two weeks of being elected. Lee Myung-bak received 84% support in December 2007, Park Geun-hye 78% (December 2012), and Moon Jae-in 87% (2017). May) gained approval rating.
An official of a polling company said that the expectation for Mr. Yoon to carry out national affairs was unusually low. This time, even after the election, the conflict between the two powers has not been resolved, and expectations have not been gathered (on the side of the next president). “
In particular, it was pointed out that Mr. Yoon promoted the relocation of the Oval Office to “quickly” immediately after the election, and there was a conflict with President Moon, which was far from “national integration”. There is also. “Successive governments have raised expectations by presenting agendas that meet the needs of the times, such as economic revitalization, economic democratization, and liquidation of stakes,” said Jang Dok-hyun, a researcher at Gallup Korea. In order to raise the economy again, it is necessary to proceed with cases that will help national integration. “
Mr. Yoon showed a principled position to approach the people with a humble attitude, without being overwhelmed by the figures in the polls. President-elect Kim Eun-hae said at a regular press conference on the morning of the same day, “I am deeply impressed with the content of the poll and will continue to serve the people in a humble manner.”
However, there are voices within the party concerned about the low approval rating ahead of the local elections that will be held on June 1, immediately after the inauguration ceremony. An official of the administration’s succession committee told the newspaper that “10 days have passed since the succession committee was launched in earnest, but the president’s office has not clearly shown what to do to the people. The fact that the debate over the relocation of the room came to the fore had an impact, “he said.” It was a situation where expectations turned into disappointment. “
The realmeter poll was conducted by sampling wireless (97%) and wired (3%) samples by RDD and using the automatic response (100%) method. For details, refer to the website of the Central Election Polling Committee.
Lee Wan, reporter Kim Mina (contact [email protected])
Translation HJ