the three possible World Cup champions, according to mathematical predictions

Qatar 2022, The National
Photo: FIFA

The predictions began and the fans are already counting to define which team will raise the Qatar World Cup 2022. According to experts and the classification of the International Federation of Football Association (FIFA), when considering the knockout phase, the possible crosses, the position in the groups, the Elo rating system gave the probabilities of each team to win the tournament. most important on the planet.

According to those calculations, a Latin American team could be the champion. In first place appears the Brazilian team with 26.35% probability, the last Latin American team to be crowned in the World Cup since 2002. In the tournament in Korea and Japan, Ronaldo’s Brazil beat Oliver Kahn’s Germany.

The second possible winner would be Lionel Messi’s Argentina, with 18.41%. Although the team has not been champion since Mexico 86, when it was crowned with Diego Armando Maradona, it almost reached glory in Brazil 2014, when it was runner-up. At that time they were defeated by Germany.

The third possibility lies in Europe, specifically, in France. This country, which was crowned champion in Russia 2018 after defeating Croatia four goals to two, has a 14.32% probability.

In this range of possibilities, Belgium, Spain, England, Germany, Portugal, the Netherlands and Denmark follow in descending order.

The Qatar 2022 World Cup draw defined how the 32 teams were divided into the 8 groups for the first phase. Among the Latin teams, Uruguay will be in Group H with Portugal, South Korea and Ghana.

La Celeste will debut with South Korea on November 24. Then, on the 28th, she will meet Portugal and close with Ghana on December 2.

Qatar 2022 without group of death

As a result of the draw, in which the World Cup teams were defined, there were several headlines about the group of death, that definition that is used to name the most even area of ​​a championship.

In this line, the middle BBC Mundo conducted a review and analysis of each team. After the investigation he stated that group E is perhaps the closest to that label with two world champions, Germany and Spain. The key is completed by Japan and the winner of the duel between Costa Rica and New Zealand in June.

But, according to the world ranking average, Group B should be the closest with England, Iran, USA and Wales, Scotland or Ukraine. Of these last three, only one should remain.

*The Grupo de Diarios América (GDA), to which El Nacional belongs, is a leading media network founded in 1991 that promotes democratic values, an independent press and freedom of expression in Latin America through quality journalism for our audiences.

Independent journalism needs the support of its readers to continue and ensure that the uncomfortable news they don’t want you to read remains within your reach. Today, with your support, we will continue to work hard for censorship-free journalism!

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.