As if going first would give him the edge to win the Republican nomination for the 2024 presidential election and return triumphantly to the White House, former President Donald Trump announced his decision Tuesday night, just a week before the election in half term and from his Florida mansion in Mar-a-Lago, perhaps thinking about that “whoever gives first gives twice.”
“America’s comeback starts now,” Trump told his fanatical supporters, dressed in the regalia of those who continue to claim the presidency was stolen from him in 2020, warning them: “This is not a job for one candidate.” It is a task for a great movement. Will the violent mob return to the streets? A threat floats in the air.
However, today, there is more than one question about its real possibility when it is in sight that no matter how hard he put in, much speech delivered at electoral rallies in support of candidates for Congress and other positions, the result was rather mediocre. for his chosen ones – deniers of the adverse results of 2020 that brought Joseph Biden to the presidency – and the immediate and devastating “red tide” that he had promised never occurred.
Added to this political weakness are the legal problems that hang over the ex-president: firstly, his leading role as instigator in the assault on the Capitol; the scandal of the classified documents of his presidency that were confiscated by the FBI in his Mar-a-Lago mansion; the investigation for manipulation of the elections in Georgia, when during a telephone conversation with the Secretary of State of Georgia, the Republican Brian Raffensperger, he pressured him to reverse the results of the elections of November 3, 2020 with these words: «The only thing What I want to do is this. I just want to find 11,780 votes, which is one more than we have because we won the state, “but Georgia was won by Democrat Joseph Biden and with it the Presidency.
Two other legal conflicts in New York are the case against the Trump Organization real estate group, his business empire, for “fraudulent and misleading asset valuations in their annual financial statements” for the years 2011 to 2021, a lawsuit filed by the New York attorney general , Letitia James, against the former president and his three eldest children, Donald Jr., Eric and Ivanka; and the 2019 defamation lawsuit brought by writer E. Jean Carroll, involving allegations of sexual assault in the 1990s.
there was no red tide
With more than a week after the November 8 election, the Republican Party barely reached a majority of 218 seats, with seven seats still to be decided. The Democrats have 210, so it is not a notable difference, but a majority nonetheless, although it may dismantle the Republican claim to investigate the Biden family, especially their son for his business abroad.
In January, when the legislature takes office, the Democrat Nancy Pelosi will stop presiding over the House and the current Republican minority leader Kevin McCarthy will probably occupy the position, although the most conservative segment of his party questions supporting him or places conditions on him to give it.
However, the same Republican claim to control the Senate and have the power to subdue the Democratic President ran water between his fingers. The Democrats have 50 seats, and even supposing that in the second round of Georgia, on December 6, the Republican candidate wins, in tied votes in that legislative upper house the vice president of the country will decide, since Kamala Harris presides over that capitol wing.
Therefore, Democratic senators will be able to confirm Biden’s judicial candidates, and also reject bills approved by the House without the approval of this political camp and establish their own agenda.
The Hill put it bluntly: “Republicans face internal discord after they won a narrow majority in the House of Representatives but failed to swing the Senate, leading members to question whether the party needs a review of the Senate.” leadership”, and one of the leaderships questioned is precisely that of Donald Trump, although to tell the truth, if he were the re-elected governor of Florida, Ron DeSantis, the Republican candidate in 2024, as his progress at the state polls indicates; The United States and the world would gain nothing with another ultra-conservative at the helm of the empire.
Of course, they will not be the only applicants. The talanquera has opened and there will be few who throw themselves into the ring.
By the way, former Vice President Mike Pence, who could be one of those candidates, said in an interview with Fox & Friends a few days ago that the Americans told him that they want to see the policies of the Trump administration, but a leadership that reflects “civility.” and respect” “that could unite the country around our highest ideals.” In more than one interview, Pence has repeated that he believes there will be “better options” than Trump for the Republican nomination in 2024.
The editorial board of National Review, one of the leading conservatism publications, wrote: “It is too soon to tell what the rest of the field will be like, except that it will offer far better alternatives to Trump.”
And what is worse for the character, the polls after these 2022 elections show him less popular than Biden, who is not buoyant in that chapter of citizen favor either. A Politico-Morning Consult poll released Tuesday found that 65 percent of voters don’t think Trump should run for the White House.
other battlefields
Returning to these midterm elections, another scenario was that of the governorships of 36 US states.
Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York , Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Wisconsin, and Wyoming left the following results for all 50 states:
There are 21 Republican and 17 Democratic trifectas, a term that describes when a single party achieves the governorship and a majority in both legislative chambers, while in ten states control has been divided (Nevada, Arizona, Kansas, Louisiana, Wisconsin, Kentucky, Virginia , North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Vermont), and in the two remaining states, Alaska and New Hampshire, the situation is still unclear. Before these elections, 23 states were controlled by Republican trifectas and 14 Democrats.
Qualitatively, the figures have not favored the Republicans either, who lost two governorships, which were won by the Democrats.
In addition to electing “public servants” to almost all instances, the ballots of some states featured issues for which to vote and one of the most controversial was reproductive rights, or more clearly, the right to abortion, which was taken as a flag for the Democrats and Republicans, they refrained from expressing an opinion during the electoral campaign, knowing what it could cost them at the polls.
In the referendums in Michigan, Vermont and California to protect the right to voluntary termination of pregnancy in their constitutions, the yes prevailed, but in Kentucky and Montana, where the initiative presented was to limit that right, the anti-abortionist position that As is well known, the US Supreme Court, dominated by six very conservative-thinking judges —three of them appointed by Trump—, opened the doors to the retrograde vision last June when it overturned the ruling known as Roe v. Wade, which since 1973 guaranteed the right to abortion in the country, and that prohibition was obeyed by 13 states and others have restricted it.
Decidedly, in the “toxic political atmosphere,” as some analyzes have described the situation, American voters have generally favored those who presented themselves as defenders of their democracy, over those who have undermined it with accusations of fraud since 2020 and with their participation in or support for the assault on the Capitol on January 6, 2021, read trumpism, although the clear division of American society is evident in the numbers.