UK economy shrinks as BoE readies new rates decision

2023-12-13 07:16:29

© Archyde.com. FILE PHOTO: People shop on Oxford Street in London, Britain April 10, 2023. REUTERS/Anna Gordon/File Photo

LONDON (Archyde.com) -Britain’s economy shrank in October, official data showed on Wednesday, a day before the Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates at a 15-year high to curb still-high inflation despite the toll they are taking on growth.

Gross domestic product (GDP) fell by 0.3% from September, the Office for National Statistics said.

A Archyde.com poll of economists had pointed to no change in GDP.

It was the first time since July that GDP had shrunk on a month-by-month basis.

In the three months to October, GDP flat-lined, the ONS said, weaker than the Archyde.com poll forecast of a 0.1% increase.

Britain’s economy avoided a contraction in the July-to-September period – when it also showed no change – but some analysts think it remains at risk of a shallow recession in late 2023 and early 2024 after the BoE’s increases in interest rates.

The central bank is widely expected to keep Bank Rate at 5.25% on Thursday and signal once again that it is not close to cutting them.

The ONS data on Wednesday showed Britain’s dominant services sector shrank by 0.2% in October while manufacturing and construction contracted by 1.1% and 0.5% respectively.

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