2023-12-12 08:14:52
Economy Cost of Membership
Up to 17 percent of the EU budget – study calculates consequences of Ukraine’s accession
As of: 9:14 a.m. | Reading time: 2 minutes
US support in the Ukraine war – Zelensky wants to meet Biden in the White House
The Ukrainian president is expected to meet with US President Biden at the White House. Meanwhile, Ukraine hopes that EU countries will give their consent to start accession negotiations at the end of the week. WELT correspondent Christoph Wanner summarizes the events.
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Ukraine hopes that EU countries will give their consent to start accession negotiations at the end of the week. The German Economic Institute (IW) has calculated what full membership would cost. The entire EU needs to reform, the experts write.
According to a study, if Ukraine were to join the EU, up to 17 percent of the alliance’s common budget would flow into the country. Experts from the German Economic Institute (IW) estimate the financial impact of Ukraine’s full membership in the EU on the EU’s current multi-year budget at around 130 to 190 billion euros, according to a report published on Monday. The EU’s multi-year common budget amounts to around 1.1 trillion euros from 2021 to 2027.
The exact amount depends on what assumptions are made about the arable land area and population for Ukraine, the scientists write. In their calculations, they assume 70 to 90 billion euros in agricultural subsidies for Ukraine. The so-called cohesion policy would account for 50 to 90 billion euros. These funds are intended to help structurally weak regions grow in order to compensate for economic and social differences in the European regions.
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“Given this volume, the EU should be prepared to reform,” the experts continue. Only in this way can the political decision to bind Ukraine more closely to itself with the prospect of accession be credible. This applies to both the institutional and the fiscal level, i.e. regarding the budget. For example, they propose limiting cohesion spending to the poorer member states.
At the beginning of November, the EU Commission recommended starting accession negotiations with Ukraine. Before the first round of talks, however, the country will have to complete the reforms it has begun. Whether the talks will begin must be decided unanimously by the EU states. Ukraine hopes that the heads of state and government of the EU countries will give their general consent to start accession negotiations at their last regular summit of the year this Thursday and Friday.
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