US-China Relations: What to Expect from Biden and Trump Administration

2024-03-19 17:03:03

While Trump will use a unilateral and terrifying method of attacking “unpredictable” how and when to turn back and forth.

If looking back from the past Xi might look at Trump and say, “Nice to meet” Slightly more than Biden

But either way China will expect America’s next leader to violate its core interests as little as possible. Especially in the case of Taiwan

No one really knows what Xi Jinping thinks. But some analysts believe the Chinese leader may be leaning slightly towards Mr. Trump.

This is especially true given China’s past experience with associating with the two US leaders.

Hong Kong analyst Yang Khon believes that China may lean toward Trump because he might drive Europe and the United States further apart.

China wants to entice Europe to associate with it rather than tie it to the United States as Biden has tried to do.

And in this case, Biden is likely to have a better relationship with the EU than Trump.

But either way What China fundamentally expects from America’s next leader are a number of issues. that is considered “red line” Forbidden to cross

especially the idea of ​​Taiwanese independence.

China accuses Washington of trying to block China’s growth. This has caused the relationship of the two countries to remain in a state of continuous tension.

One of the signs that suspicions are increasing and may lead to debate in the US election campaign is TikTok.

When the US House of Representatives passed a bill banning this popular app if owner Bytedance didn’t sell its shares within six months, China responded fiercely.

and reaffirmed that he will protect the interests of Chinese businesses abroad to the best of his ability.

Americans must choose between “Old man” The two are Biden, 81, and Trump, 77, respectively.

About 39 percent of registered voters in a week-long Reuters/Ipsos poll that concluded on March 13 said they would vote for Mr. Biden. If the election were held today

That compares with 38 percent who voted for Mr. Trump. The survey looked at approximately 3,300 American adults, which must be considered a very close match. And they will continue to chase each other closely like this until the ballot drop day in November this year.

It is believed that among all world leaders, Xi Jinping is probably one of the people who are following this news most closely.

When Trump was in the White House from 2017 to 2021, the start seemed relatively smooth. There were face-to-face meetings in both the United States and China, but not for long. Trump and Xi stopped talking to each other in person.

Trump has accused Beijing of unfair trade practices.

And Trump eventually ordered additional tariffs on about $550 billion worth of Chinese goods. This was followed by heated arguments on both sides. This affects consumers and businesses both in and beyond the world’s two leading economies.

The effects continue to this day.

It must be acknowledged that Trump has changed the trajectory and direction of US-China relations into a highly competitive relationship and the risks have increased significantly.

It has become a structural condition of the relationship between the two superpowers that has created tensions throughout the world.

When Biden won the election, there was an expectation that he would reverse many of Trump’s policies when he took office in 2021.

But the US government’s additional tariffs on most Chinese goods remain.

Not only that, US leaders have also imposed export controls on high-end semiconductors and chipmaking equipment to China. It also encourages U.S. allies to take similar measures.

China was initially optimistic that Biden would help repair trade relations between the two countries. and may reduce some Trump-era tariffs.

But in the end China is clearly the same whether it’s Biden or Trump. America views China in a negative light anyway.

In fact, Chinese leaders have concluded that both Republicans and Democrats have similar positions on China.

Biden announced that the United States In a position to “Win the century competition. 21 With China or anyone else.” Meanwhile, Trump has pledged to toughen taxes again if elected.

Amidst a landscape like this It doesn’t matter who enters the Oval Office of the White House. The administration’s crosshairs will be training on controlling China. The difference lies in how it is carried out.

There is a possibility that if re-elected Biden will attempt to further cut China off from global high-tech supply chains.

It is equivalent to continuing to put pressure on China.

(Tomorrow: US-China relations after the elections later this year)

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